Author Archive: Stephen Green

NOTHING IS CERTAIN: Is Iran Losing Control Of Kurds and Lurs?

A friend sent a video showing police joining protestors as a sign the regime was crumbling.

Tiny problem: The city of Ilam is overwhelmingly Kurdish and very far from Tehran. So we can’t use Ilam as proof that the mullahs are on the brink of losing power, as much as that is a consummation devoutly to be wished.

But it’s an interesting data point, as is Kanal 13’s video on the Islamic regime losing control of Abdanan as well.

More at the link, but until Khamenei is confirmed on a flight to Moscow, I’m not getting my hopes up.

WELL, THIS IS THE 21ST CENTURY, YOU KNOW: Air Force says AI tools outperform human planners in ‘battle management’ experiment.

In the service’s latest “DASH” experiment this past fall, the Air Force pitted AI tools from half a dozen companies against military personnel from the US, Canada and UK and asked each to solve hypothetical “battle management” problems, from standard Air Force tasks like planning an airstrike or rerouting aircraft whose home base had been damaged, to more obscure scenarios like gathering intelligence on an anomalous electromagnetic signal or protecting a disabled and drifting Navy vessel.

When the Air Force evaluated the resulting proposed Courses of Action (COAs), it found that at least one of the AI algorithms not only generated more COAs in less time than the humans, but it actually made fewer errors than the humans did as well.

“These machine-generated recommendations were up to 90 percent faster than traditional methods, with the best in machine-class solutions showing 97 percent viability and tactical validity,” said Col. John Ohlund, director of the Air Force’s Advanced Battle Management System Cross-Functional Team (ABMS CFT), according to an official article published by the Air Force on Monday about DASH-3 (Decision Advantage Sprint for Human-Machine Teaming).

The article said that human-generated courses of action took about 19 minutes, with 48 percent of the options “being considered viable and tactically valid.”

“And our team didn’t observe hallucinations during the experiment,” Ohlund said.

This is exactly why the AI arms race with China is real, and not just something dreamed up by sci-fi writers.

THE YEAR IS YOUNG: This is the Worst Anti-Gun Story of 2026… So Far. “The New Year’s Day story was written by the wonderfully named Jude Folly, who according to his short bio, ‘explores politics, art & the human condition. Featured in Sensual Enchantment, Politics: Fast & Slow, Inky Blue Allusions, & The Innovation.'”

Why is it that the most earnest and committed lefties always sound like rightwing parodies of lefties?

A RARE MOMENT OF UNDERSTATEMENT FROM THE FEDERALIST: The Only People Dumber Than Tim Walz Are The Media Sycophants Who Shilled For Him.

There is no version of the story in which Walz escapes culpability. He was governor while the fraud flourished. Either his administration was grossly incompetent at best, or it deliberately looked the other way — but neither possibility jives with the glowing national profile that Walz has enjoyed in recent years after being catapulted to the spotlight when then-Vice President Kamala Harris tapped him to be her running mate in 2024.

Democrats and their media allies treated Walz as a serious national political contender up until, well, now. The propaganda press spent months in 2024 telling voters Walz was competent, steady, and battle-tested, even as his state was being looted by Somalians.

This looting was further exposed after a 20-something-year-old YouTuber did the work that the propaganda press clearly didn’t — that is, simply investigate. But the legacy media didn’t miss the story because it was hard to find. They missed it because they weren’t looking, since they were too busy running puff pieces and fluff about Walz in order to present Walz as a viable vice president.

Politico is a prime example of this.

If you’re looking for media culpability/complicity, you can’t go wrong looking at Politico first.

GOODER AND HARDER, SEATTLE: Seattle police union blasts city’s new socialist mayor for allegedly redirecting drug cases: ‘Insane direction.’

Wilson, 43, a self-proclaimed democratic socialist, ran on a platform of seemingly impossible guarantees — including a promise to “Trump-proof Seattle,” according to her campaign website.

The Seattle Police Officers Guild said it was blindsided by a directive from Wilson’s team to pause open drug use arrests, in a statement issued Sunday.

The union said that an internal memo ordered the police department to funnel related cases through the city’s Law Enforcement Assisted Diversion program, which aims to steer offenders engaged in low-level drug crime away from the criminal justice system.

Maybe recent event have created new options:

FACE, MEET PALM:

I understand the Times will print or run with anything to make Trump look bad, but Klein’s desperation here doesn’t even rise to the level of comical.

NICE: Law enforcement deaths hit 80-year low in 2025. “The 111 line-of-duty deaths in 2025 represents a near-historic low. The last time annual officer fatalities were at a comparable level was in 1943, when 94 officers were killed in the line of duty.”

And those 1943 deaths were from a population roughly 40% the size of today’s.

CORN, POPPED:

When the American middle class finally learns how badly they’ve been robbed, and in how many ways, there’s no telling what might happen next.

GOOD QUESTION:

WITAH?

Still developing — and quickly.

UPDATE: Here’s some background from an OSINT account:

Yesterday I published an analysis on the tanker MARINERA arguing that this was not a routine sanctions evasion case and not a simple oil shipment problem because the behavior around this vessel did not fit commercial logic and instead tracked with mission logic. Three hours later, the Wall Street Journal confirmed that Russia has deployed naval units, including a submarine, to escort MARINERA through the North Atlantic and deter any U.S. attempt to board or seize her, which materially changes how this transit should be understood.

States do not assign submarines to protect fuel cargo, and they do not escalate naval posture to defend a marginal tanker.. A submarine escort is not asset protection and it is not commercial risk management but deterrence signaling used when cargo, passengers, or onboard capability are politically or strategically sensitive. In my report, I assessed that MARINERA was likely tied to the movement of high value personnel, ISR capability, or sensitive mission equipment, and that the early U.S. interest combined with Russia’s political response suggested this was being treated as a protected transfer rather than a commercial shipment.

The Russian decision to deploy naval escorts, including a submarine, aligns with that assessment because oil and a rusty hull are replaceable while people and capabilities are not. This is why this case is now being handled as a contested movement operation rather than a shipping issue. This is also why it is drawing military assets, why it is being defended in the open, and why it should be analyzed as a strategic transfer problem rather than protecting a comparatively worthless shadow fleet asset.

The escort, as I predicted in my report, confirms that “Marinera” is not about sanctioned oil and never was.

If this were fiction, it might be the start of a Clancy thriller.

ANOTHER UPDATE:

Iran’s missing nuclear materials, maybe? The only people who know aren’t talking — and shouldn’t be.

LAST ONE:

Whatever it is, it’s ours now.

AND ANOTHER ONE: Trans athlete at center of Supreme Court case accused of sexual harassment, intimidation tactics against girls.

Bridgeport High School female student Adaleia Cross, who is a former track and field teammate of the trans athlete when the two were at Bridgeport Middle School, alleges the trans athlete made comments to her that constituted sexual harassment in the girls’ locker room.

Cross, who is one year older than the trans athlete, said she quit the track and field team at Bridgeport High School last year as a sophomore to avoid sharing a locker room again with the trans athlete once that athlete reached high school.

Cross’s mother, Abby, told Fox News Digital what the trans athlete allegedly said to her daughter when they shared the girls’ locker room during the 2022-23 school year. Adaleia was in eighth grade, and the trans athlete was in seventh.

“When Adaleia first told us, she told us that [the trans athlete] was telling her and other girls ‘s— my d—,’” Abby Cross alleged. “[The trans athlete] was saying to her, coming up and saying to her, ‘I’m going to stick my d— in your p—- and also in your a–.’ At different times [the trans athlete] was saying these things to her.”

The mother said the comments were reported to the school.

Exit quote: “The Cross family said when they reported the alleged harassment to the school, nothing was done to reprimand the trans athlete, to their knowledge.”

COURAGE:

THERE’S WEIRD STUFF GOING ON IN THE NORTH SEA:

Developing…

THE ART OF THE DEAL: Caribbean nation Dominica agrees to take US asylum seekers as Trump expands deportation deals.

The U.S. has reached an agreement with the Commonwealth of Dominica that could allow some asylum seekers arriving at the U.S. border to be transferred to the Caribbean nation, per reporting by The Associated Press.

Dominica’s Prime Minister Roosevelt Skerrit described the agreement as “one of the primary areas of collaboration” between the two governments following recent U.S. entry restrictions imposed on Dominican nationals.

Skerrit said he has been in ongoing discussions with U.S. officials after the White House announced partial visa limitations announced on Dec. 16, but declined to provide details on how many asylum seekers could be sent to Dominica or when the transfers might begin.

Skerrit’s engagement with U.S. authorities has led to what he called “careful deliberations of the need to avoid receiving violent individuals or individuals who will compromise the security of Dominica,” underscoring concerns about public safety.

Dominica’s government continues to publicly address the larger framework of U.S. travel restrictions, even going as far as to say it “continues its engagement with the United States Embassy in Bridgetown and the State Department in Washington … in an effort to reverse a decision announced by the White House to impose partial travel restrictions on Dominican nationals, effective January 1, 2026.”

I had been assured by all the very best people that we were just going to have to accept our illegal invaders, and probably give them amnesty.