Author Archive: Stephen Green

THAT’S QUITE THE EXCLUSIVE YOU HAVE THERE, REUTERS: Exclusive: Russia’s Putin to stay in power past 2024, sources say. “The sources, who spoke to Reuters on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of Kremlin politics, said that news of Putin’s decision had trickled down and that advisers were now preparing for the campaign and a Putin election.”

TRY BUILDING NUKES, INSTEAD: Offshore wind project cancellations jeopardize Biden’s clean energy goals. “The Danish wind energy developer Ørsted said this week it’s scrapping its Ocean Wind I and II projects off southern New Jersey due to problems with supply chains, higher interest rates and a failure to obtain the amount of tax credits the company wanted. Together, the projects were supposed to deliver over 2.2 gigawatts of power.”

NOW THIS IS THE 21ST CENTURY I WAS HOPING FOR: SpaceX selling ‘Starshield’ will be a gamechanger.

Space Force and SpaceX announced that they’ve reached a deal for a brand-new military capability: Starshield. Is it a new laser defense shield against nuclear missiles? An Ultron for our time to destroy alien armadas? Or Starlink, but with new branding and (probably) a new fleet of satellites?

Yup, the last one. But with how clutch Starlink is in Ukraine, a military-controlled version of the network could change operations there. And it would dramatically improve U.S. and allied military communications in future conflicts. Now, the American military will lead military space-based communications with the start of Starshield. But expect allies to clamor aboard and other nations to try developing rival platforms.

Low latency, redundancy, and plenty of lift for replacement satellites is a very good look for communications.

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Chris Christie’s Trump Tantrum Campaign Has an Audience of None. “The longer Trump lingers at the top of the polls, the more that the candidates who thought attacking him was the ticket are probably rocking back and forth in the dark on their hotel room floors, muttering ‘Why won’t they love me?'”

NATE SILVER: Free speech is in trouble.

College Pulse and FIRE — the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression, a pro-free speech advocacy group — recently published the latest edition of their annual survey. Although I don’t love using data from political groups — even ones I generally agree with — the good in this survey outweighs the bad. The methodology is detailed and transparent. And in surveying more than 55,000 undergraduates, the poll provides a look at student opinion across all sorts of colleges and universities — not just from the loudest or most privileged students at elite institutions.

Although I’ve seen a lot of media coverage about the FIRE survey, I’d never really dug into the details. I’m not sure exactly what I was expecting to see. But given my own political philosophy, I can tell you what I was hoping for: robust student support for free speech — perhaps in contrast to the often lukewarm support it receives among university administrators. Unfortunately, that’s not what the survey found. Here’s what it says instead:

College students aren’t very enthusiastic about free speech. In particular, that’s true for liberal or left-wing students, who are at best inconsistent in their support of free speech and have very little tolerance for controversial speech they disagree with.

The purpose of the Bill of Rights is to protect fundamental individual rights from overbearing government and from public passions. Free speech, in particular, isn’t popular with either one. Progressives understand this all too well and that’s why they’ve been at war with the Consitution for over a century.

COLD WAR II: Via Big Mac Index, CCP Defense Spending May Exceed America’s. “To be clear, the Big Mac Index does not suggest $1.07 trillion in CCP military spending; it describes received value. Though a nominal budget of 4% China’s GDP may seem unbelievable, let alone a PPP valuation of $1.07 trillion, the results suggest fair valuation. While the U.S. Navy fights to maintain a fleet smaller than requirements, the PLAN raised the world’s largest fleet backed by a shipbuilding capacity 2000% America’s. Additionally, the PLAN fields over 80,000 sea mines of increasing quality and various methods of deployment while American minelaying and mine countermeasure projects struggle. While American air forces face material readiness and recruitment troubles, the PLAF pushes its boundaries and the PLA Rocket Force (PLARF) fields the largest and most diverse missile force in the world – alongside 3200+ acres of reclaimed seabed bases patrolled by maritime militias. While American ground force sealift capacity struggles, China weaponizes their world class civilian maritime industry. China may be short on reliable friends and field systems of debatably lesser quality – but their 20 year military realignment shows value-for-money.”

ASHLEY MCCULLY: Hashtag Bootgate. “I have done a good bit of time in political campaign comms shops, and trust me when I say this is probably how the strategy meeting went down at MAGA HQ; let’s listen in.”

RECRUITING: Hurting for recruits, Air Force will now accept applicants as old as 42. “The Air Force said the higher maximum for non-pilots would expand the universe of potential recruits while still allowing older entrants the prospect of serving for 20 years before hitting the retirement age of 62. The service last raised its age ceiling for recruits in 2014, when it went from 27 to 39.”

THE NEW SPACE RACE: China’s Space Pioneer raise funding for its Falcon 9-class rocket.

The funds will also be used for production of the smaller Tianlong-2, which had a successful inaugural flight in April this year. That launch made the company the first Chinese commercial firm to reach orbit with a liquid propellant rocket.

Construction of a launch site for the Tianlong-3 at China’s Jiuquan spaceport in the Gobi Desert is also noted.

Space Pioneer is targeting a first Tianlong-3 launch in the first half of 2024. It aims to launch 30 times per year within three years of the debut launch.

By then, SpaceX’s Starship should have Falcon 9 completely outclassed — assuming the Biden administration gets out of the way.

EVERYTHING IS GOING SWIMMINGLY: House Rich, Cash Poor: America’s New Retirement Trap. “Wells Fargo warned on Oct. 26 in an economics research note that if interest rates remain higher for longer, it will discourage prospective sellers with low-rate mortgages from putting their homes on the market even amid a shortage of inventory and even though they need the cash. At a hair under 7.8% as of Oct. 26, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is more than double its level since the Federal Reserve began the first of 11 rate hikes in March 2022, according to Freddie Mac.”