Author Archive: Stephen Green

BUBBLES POP: OpenAI Races to Quell Concerns Over Its Finances.

Sarah Friar, OpenAI’s chief financial officer, faced widespread online pushback after she raised the prospect of government aid for the company at a Wall Street Journal technology conference on Wednesday. OpenAI has embarked on a deal spree to build computing infrastructure to power A.I. development, and Ms. Friar said the company wanted to find creative ways to finance its ambitious — and expensive — plans.

“This is where we’re looking for an ecosystem of banks, private equity, maybe even governmental, the ways governments can come to bear,” Ms. Friar said at the conference in Napa, Calif., adding that it would be “the backstop, the guarantee that allows the financing to happen.”

The last thing the AI industry needs is more money shoveled into it.

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Her comments set off concern amid rising unease over whether an industrywide A.I. spending frenzy can be sustained. OpenAI, Meta, Google, Microsoft and other A.I. companies are pouring billions of dollars into building data centers and related infrastructure to power the development of the technology, with some of the companies increasingly turning to creative financing deals to fund the expansions.

Critics have said many of these deals are circular chains of financing, with chipmakers, data center providers and A.I. labs trading cash and stock back and forth with no immediate promise of a return on investment. It also remains unclear if A.I. products can generate large enough revenues to justify the costs of the infrastructure boom, leading to fears of a potentially dangerous bubble.

Late Wednesday, Ms. Friar said in a LinkedIn post that using the word “backstop” had “muddied the point.”

“I was making the point that American strength in technology will come from building real industrial capacity which requires the private sector and government playing their part,” she wrote.

And the government “playing its part” wouldn’t be a backstop, how exactly?

IT’S DIFFERENT NOW BECAUSE REASONS: Top Democrat changes his tune on eliminating filibuster under Trump compared to Biden.

Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., avoided answering whether he would support eliminating the filibuster, as he did under President Joe Biden on Wednesday.

Raskin was asked by CNN’s Dana Bash about President Donald Trump’s recent comments regarding several Republican losses nationwide Tuesday night and the ongoing government shutdown.

“One of the things that he has been talking about for the last couple of days more intensely is getting rid of the filibuster. That’s actually something that you wanted to do when Joe Biden was president. Things weren’t getting through the Senate. So is that an area where you agree with him?” Bash asked.

“Look, we don’t need a procedural fix at this point,” Raskin answered.

“We” only need it when the Democrats do.

STAY FROSTY:

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Gosh, Whatever Will We Do Without Nancy Pelosi? “Despite the derision I heap upon her, I always give Pelosi the credit she deserves. In her two stints as Speaker of the House of Representatives, she was one of the most powerful people to ever hold the position. She got people to give up their careers to get Obamacare passed. After the shellacking that the Democrats took in the 2010 midterms, a lesser politician would have been kept away from party leadership forever. She clung to power so firmly that she was once again Speaker Pelosi eight years later.”

ANTISOCIAL MEDIA: Bombshell report exposes how Meta relied on scam ad profits to fund AI.

Documents showed that internally, Meta was hesitant to abruptly remove accounts, even those considered some of the “scammiest scammers,” out of concern that a drop in revenue could diminish resources needed for artificial intelligence growth.

Instead of promptly removing bad actors, Meta allowed “high value accounts” to “accrue more than 500 strikes without Meta shutting them down,” Reuters reported. The more strikes a bad actor accrued, the more Meta could charge to run ads, as Meta’s documents showed the company “penalized” scammers by charging higher ad rates. Meanwhile, Meta acknowledged in documents that its systems helped scammers target users most likely to click on their ads.

“Users who click on scam ads are likely to see more of them because of Meta’s ad-personalization system, which tries to deliver ads based on a user’s interests,” Reuters reported.

Internally, Meta estimates that users across its apps in total encounter 15 billion “high risk” scam ads a day. That’s on top of 22 billion organic scam attempts that Meta users are exposed to daily, a 2024 document showed. Last year, the company projected that about $16 billion, which represents about 10 percent of its revenue, would come from scam ads.

Delete your Facebook. I would have deleted my account years, but I haven’t been able to log in even to do that since the company demanded my phone number for the privilege.

ICYMI, IT’S MY THURSDAY ESSAY FOR VIP SUBSCRIBERS: Kinetic Sanctions, Shadow Fleets, and the Long, Slow Bleeding of Russia.

The war on Russian oil just went global, and the question now might not be whether President Donald Trump’s new sanctions will work, but whether they’ll work fast enough to matter.

Since we first discussed Ukraine’s war on Russian energy production back in August with what some call “kinetic sanctions” on refineries, depots, and export facilities, Trump launched a new and serious round of traditional sanctions on Russia’s ability to sell crude oil and refined products.

How’s it going? As your neighbors with marital troubles say on Facebook, “It’s complicated.”

Much more at the link.

IT’S GOOD TO BE THE NOMENKLATURA: Congressional Perks: Congress spends on pricey airfare, lodging and private jets.

Members of Congress regularly commute between Washington, D.C., and their home districts with taxpayers paying the tab, but some choose to spend more than others – a few even charter private jets, an investigation by The Center Square found.

When it came to charter – or private airplane – travel, U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson, R-S.D., was the top spender with nearly $63,000 paid for charter flights since 2019. U.S. Rep. Sam Graves, R-Mo., was second, paying $18,295 in the same time period for five flights from Executive Aircraft Leasing, LLC., data from the Members’ Representational Allowance data shows.

When it comes to overall travel expenses, the office of U.S. Rep. Lance Gooden, R-Texas, was in the top three of both airfare and lodging for all of Congress since 2019, including some pricey reimbursements to himself – not airline or charter companies – for flights.

David Williams, president of the Taxpayers Protection Alliance, said there have to be better controls on travel to avoid abuses.

Maybe don’t let them anywhere near DC. Couldn’t hurt.

IT’S MY THURSDAY ESSAY FOR VIP SUBSCRIBERS: Kinetic Sanctions, Shadow Fleets, and the Long, Slow Bleeding of Russia.

The war on Russian oil just went global, and the question now might not be whether President Donald Trump’s new sanctions will work, but whether they’ll work fast enough to matter.

Since we first discussed Ukraine’s war on Russian energy production back in August with what some call “kinetic sanctions” on refineries, depots, and export facilities, Trump launched a new and serious round of traditional sanctions on Russia’s ability to sell crude oil and refined products.

How’s it going? As your neighbors with marital troubles say on Facebook, “It’s complicated.”

Much more at the link.

AN ACE THREAD:

Read the whole thing.

WE GOT BEAT IN THE FIELD:

THE NEW SPACE RACE: Astronauts stranded in space after their capsule is struck by mystery object.

Wang Jie, Chen Zhongrui and Chen Dong, who were part of the Shenzhou-20 space mission, flew to the Tiangong space station in April.

They were expected to return yesterday after a six-month mission, and the Shenzhou-21 crew, who were sent to replace them, had already arrived on the weekend.

The China Manned Space Agency said: ‘The Shenzhou-20 crewed spacecraft is suspected to have been struck by a small piece of orbital debris, and assessment of the impact and associated risks is currently underway.

‘To ensure the health and safety of the astronauts and the successful completion of the mission, it has been decided that the originally planned return of Shenzhou-20 on November 5 will be postponed.’

The two crews remain on board Tiangong. A risk assessment is currently underway.

Godspeed.

THIS IS A REAL PROBLEM:

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COMMIES NEED TO BE THE ONLY ONE WITH GUNS: Mamdani May Be the Most Anti-Gun Mayor in New York City’s History. “The anti-gun media has constantly tried to stamp-out those who support the Second Amendment. Their only problem has been finding the right sources. However, once Mamdani is sworn in as Mayor, the media’s wait is over. Mamdani will become a loud national anti-gun voice.”

HOMESCHOOL: Maryland school district asks 11-year-olds to define trans terms like ‘gender expression’ and ‘sex assigned at birth.’

The worksheet, revealed by the group Defending Education, defined “gender identity” as referring “to a person’s internal sense of being male, female, or transgender… How you feel. Girl, boy, both or neither.” The definition for “transgender” read: “When your gender identity (how you feel) is different than what doctors/midwives assigned to you when you were born…”

The matching definition for “sex assigned at birth” stated, “when a baby is born, a doctor or midwife looks at the baby’s body/anatomy and says they are a girl, boy, or intersex.”

The lesson was part of a “family life” instruction conducted last month for middle school students in the district, ages 11-12.

The revelation of this lesson comes despite the fact that Montgomery County Public Schools has faced scrutiny recently for its emphasis on radical gender and LGBT ideology.

Groomers gotta groom.

JAMIE K WILSON: The Shape of Joy: How Beauty Once Defined Us and Can Define Us Again. “Beneath the practicality lies something cultural. The old exuberance came from confidence, a belief that life was good and getting better, that the future belonged to the brave and the inventive. Today’s restraint comes from anxiety. We design for safety, not splendor; for approval, not expression. The boldness that once marked prosperity has been replaced by a kind of managerial caution. Our world looks the way it feels: competent, optimized, and joyless.”

SCHUMER SHUTDOWN UPDATE: U.S. will reduce airline traffic by 10% at 40 locations beginning Friday due to shutdown.

Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy and FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford said the federal government would reduce airline traffic by 10% at 40 locations beginning on Friday if the shutdown continues. The reductions are aimed at reducing the stress on air traffic controllers who have continued to work without pay.

“We’ve identified 40 high-traffic-environment markets,” Bedford said, adding that the list would be released later. “We have decided that a 10% reduction in scheduled capacity would be appropriate to continue to take the pressure off of our controllers. And as we continue to see staffing triggers, there will be additional measures that will be taken in those specific markets.”

Bedford said the reductions are being driven by “issues of fatigue that our flight controllers are experiencing,” as evidenced by “voluntary safety disclosure reports coming in from commercial air transport pilots.” Those reports have allowed regulators to focus on throttling traffic on specific markets, and not the country as a whole, Bedford said.

For now, that is.