Author Archive: Glenn Reynolds

ERIC COWPERTHWAITE: A Few Thoughts On Paris: In Response To Kurt Schlichter. “Overall, I think some of what we hear about France “falling” is very much untrue, and some is quite true. But it is a long way from reality that France is nearly overrun by Islam and Sharia. Germany was much worse, from that perspective, which we visited in August of 2022.”

HE’S KIND OF AN ARGUMENT AGAINST IMMIGRATION:

I mean, with all that America gave him, we wind up with “Fuck your freedoms” and the endorsement of a sad apparatchik with a girly-man running mate.

OPEN THREAD: Stop and smell the roses.

THEY’VE FOCUSED RATHER MORE ON LITIGATION AND THREATS THEREOF THAN ON PRODUCT IMPROVEMENT, I BELIEVE: Dominion Keeps Popping Up In All the Wrong Places–Including Passwords Made Public. On the other hand, the notion that Dems are setting things up to challenge an election they expect to lose is interesting. And it’s certainly possible that Dominion could stink and that Democrats are taking advantage to set up for a disputed election.

WELL, FASTER, PLEASE: Forgotten Antibiotic From Decades Past Could Be a Superbug Killer. “This compound is still highly effective at killing drug-resistant gram-negative bacteria but at concentrations that are not toxic. In mouse models, S-F actually managed to kill off a strain of bacteria that has proved resistant to numerous existing drugs, all with minimal to no toxicity.”

HMM: What the Hell is Going On in Michigan? “‘Vote early and often’ is one of those election campaign jokes politicians like to indulge in, but one Michigan voter ID reportedly has voted 29 times so far — and one expert just found 164,568 little anomalies.”

FROM YOUR KEYBOARD TO GOD’S EAR: This Election Might Not Be Close.

And what we think is happening is that Donald Trump is doing far better than many of the polls, and the print and broadcast media coverage, are letting on. If we’re wrong, we’ll be the first to admit it, and you can feel free to come back here next week and heckle us in the comments.

The first point to make is that despite some razor-thin poll margins and talk of a “coin-flip” election, the environment is extremely favorable to Republicans. For one thing, the GOP has made significant party registration gains since the last election cycle. In Pennsylvania, widely considered to be the key to the election, Republicans have cut the Democrats’ registration advantage from more than 685,000 in 2020 to less than 300,000 this year—a gain of more than 385,000 in a state that Biden took by only about 80,000 votes. And in late September, Gallup released the results of its survey on the 2024 election environment, concluding that “nearly all Gallup measures that have shown some relationship to past presidential outcomes … favor the Republican Party over the Democratic Party.” . . .

We have also, for a couple of weeks now, been receiving early vote (EV) numbers in some of the major swing states. The conventional wisdom is that you can’t pay attention to EV numbers because EV totals have historically been misleading in predicting final results, not to mention that elections have changed in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. We think some of that is being overstated, but sure—don’t take the EV numbers as gospel truth. Still, they give us a chance to look at real-life voter behavior and shouldn’t be ignored.

What the EV numbers show right now is that Trump is doing much better than anyone anticipated. This is exactly what we might have expected if we’d tuned out every media story about Trump: Hitler II and looked at fundamentals like registration, party ID, and the electoral environment—which is another reason to take these numbers seriously. . . . Again, anything could happen, so don’t bet the house. But as we read headline and X post after headline and X post this morning, suggesting the closest election of our lifetime, we thought it might be helpful to at least offer an opposing view: Trump is doing extremely well right now, and the final result may not even be that close.

If it’s not close, they can’t cheat. And if it is close, they will. So I hope this is right, but: 1, 2, 3: Don’t Get Cocky!

And we’ll know the truth soon enough.

HMM: Trump-Vance Campaign Discovers Leftist Activists Impersonating Election Officials. “Democrat activists in Philadelphia have been wearing fake badges claiming to be “Voter Protection” agents and impersonating election officials to suppress the vote. Radical leftists are trying to intimidate voters and interfere with Pennsylvanians’ right to cast their ballots. These are a few examples of an activists throughout Pennsylvania. These are not election officials and should not interfere with voters casting ballots.”

LOL:

Related: Biden calls Trump supporters ‘garbage,’ reminding us what most Dems think.

UPDATE:

@davidgokhshtein

🚨JUST IN: Vivek is out here working a shift as a garbage man after Biden called all MAGA supporters “garbage.” Talk about making a statement!

♬ original sound – David Gokhshtein

GOOD, MALARIA IS BAD: Noninvasive malaria test could aid in global reduction efforts.

Flashback:

Swiss chemist Paul Müller discovered the insecticidal power of a compound called dichloro-diphenyl-trichloroethane, better known as DDT. Müller was awarded the 1948 Nobel Prize in medicine for his discovery, for nothing in the history of insect control had ever worked like DDT. Microscopic amounts could kill mosquitoes for months, long enough to disrupt the cycle of malaria transmission. It lasted twice as long as the next best insecticide, and cost one-fourth as much.

Armed with the twin weapons of chloroquine and DDT, the World Health Organization in 1955 launched the Global Malaria Eradication Programme. The goal was to eliminate the disease within ten years. More than a billion dollars was spent. Tens of thousands of tons of DDT were applied each year to control mosquitoes. India, where malaria had long been a plague, hired 150,000 workers, full-time, to spray homes. Chloroquine was widely distributed. It was probably the most elaborate international health initiative ever undertaken.

The campaign was inspired by early successes in Brazil and the United States. The U.S. had recorded millions of malaria cases during the 1930s, mostly in southern states. Then an intensive antimalaria program was launched. More than three million acres (1.2 million hectares) of wetlands were drained, DDT was sprayed in hundreds of thousands of homes, and in 1946 the Centers for Disease Control was founded in Atlanta specifically to combat malaria.

America’s affluence was a major asset. Almost everyone could get to a doctor; windows could be screened; resources were available to bulldoze mosquito-breeding swamps. There’s also the lucky fact that the country’s two most common species of Anopheles mosquitoes prefer feeding on cattle rather than humans. By 1950, transmission of malaria was halted in the U.S.

The global eradication effort did achieve some notable successes. Malaria was virtually wiped out in much of the Caribbean and South Pacific, from the Balkans, from Taiwan. In Sri Lanka, there were 2.8 million cases of malaria in 1946, and a total of 17 in 1963. In India, malaria deaths plummeted from 800,000 a year to scarcely any. . . .

Soon after the program collapsed, mosquito control lost access to its crucial tool, DDT. The problem was overuse—not by malaria fighters but by farmers, especially cotton growers, trying to protect their crops. The spray was so cheap that many times the necessary doses were sometimes applied. The insecticide accumulated in the soil and tainted watercourses. Though nontoxic to humans, DDT harmed peregrine falcons, sea lions, and salmon. In 1962 Rachel Carson published Silent Spring, documenting this abuse and painting so damning a picture that the chemical was eventually outlawed by most of the world for agricultural use. Exceptions were made for malaria control, but DDT became nearly impossible to procure. “The ban on DDT,” says Gwadz of the National Institutes of Health, “may have killed 20 million children.”

Rachel Carson is a historical criminal.

Related: Nick Kristof: It’s Time to Spray DDT. “Mosquitoes kill 20 times more people each year than the tsunami did, and in the long war between humans and mosquitoes it looks as if mosquitoes are winning. One reason is that the U.S. and other rich countries are siding with the mosquitoes against the world’s poor — by opposing the use of DDT.”

COVERUP:

Plus: “I was sent that by someone who said, ‘Something that looked this much like a hate crime against a black person would not be answered with a statement that is equivalent to saying all lives matter.’ . . . And the shooter yelled something — something the police don’t want to say.”