Author Archive: Stephen Green

“THEY ARE ALL DIFFERENT FACES OF THE SAME MANIA”:

CHANGE: AI tokens could become the kilowatt-hour of the AI age.

Earlier this year, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman declared, “We see a future where intelligence is a utility, like electricity or water, and people buy it from us on a meter.”

Many other AI companies seem to be betting on a similar future. If that vision actually comes to be, then “AI tokens” may break out of the world of nerdy tech and econ conversations and become a much more familiar part of our lives. The number of AI tokens businesses and consumers use could even become one of the defining measures of a new industrial age — the AI equivalent of the kilowatt-hour for electricity: the standard way we measure and pay for AI usage.

Think of tokens as the meter running in the background every time you use AI. Every time an AI model reads your prompt, writes an answer, or does a task, that work is measured in tokens. They are the tiny chunks of text and other data that AI models read and generate. In general, the more work a model does, the more tokens it typically processes.

While AI companies still tend to offer flat-rate subscriptions to average consumers, they’re increasingly charging businesses and developers based on the number of tokens they use. At the same time, companies, particularly in the tech sector, have been using AI in more and more of their work. As their AI usage has soared, many businesses have discovered just how expensive token-based pricing can become.

AI upends the old software business model of basically zero marginal cost per additional unit sold. Tokens are much cheaper than they used to be, but each one still requires compute to generate. Not sure how that shakes out, but it’s difficult to imagine demand for chips and energy slacking off any time soon.

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: It’s a Shame We Can’t Jail Dems for Torturing the Truth. “I run into that a lot here in my deep blue pinko commie neighborhood. There are ‘Stop the kidnappings! Report ICE…’ signs up all over the place. Of course, ICE agents aren’t kidnapping anyone. Leftists are incapable of dealing with anything intellectually, all they can do is rile up the low-info base with nonsensical emotional hysteria.”

NOVEMBER PREVIEW: Nine Republicans seeking Graham’s Senate seat.

Twelve attempted to get on the ballot; three were not certified by the state party.

Glenda Gail Parker and Danny Ford II, son of the former legendary football coach at Clemson, each filed before Tuesday’s deadline to a list led by Graham’s sister, two members of the U.S. House of Representatives, and a former congressman and governor who briefly ran for president. Ford, however, was not certified and will not appear on the ballot.

Graham died July 11, two days after his 71st birthday, and would have been seeking a fifth term.

Per state law, the filing period is one week, followed by the primary two weeks later on Aug. 11. If a runoff is needed, meaning no candidate gets 50% of the vote plus one, it happens Aug. 25.

The successful candidate in the primary will take Graham’s spot on the ballot on Nov. 3. Dr. Annie Andrews, a Charleston pediatrician, is the Democratic opponent in November and is joined on the ballot by Libertarian Kasie Whitener.

Gov. Henry McMaster appointed Graham’s sister, Darline Graham Nardone, to finish his term until the 120th Congress is seated in January. The 62-year-old Graham filed Friday and is backed for the six-year term by second-term Republican President Donald Trump.

Stay tuned…

VIGILANTISM IS MAN’S NATURAL STATE…:

…and we return to it when the authorities that were supposed to supplant it with something better fail.

BREAKING: ICE performs basic ICE functions, film at 11.

You should probably rate the Community Note as Helpful: “That’s how visas work. Once expired, the holder is required to get a new one to reenter.”

SUPPLY, MEET DEMAND: Ukrainian drone boat deal to build in US could be ‘one of the most consequential partnerships.’

The Ukrainian company responsible for developing and manufacturing an autonomous drone boat used to sink several Russian navy warships has agreed to a deal with an American company to produce them in the United States for the U.S. military.

UFORCE produces the family of Magura drone boats, formally known as unmanned surface vessels, and it has become “one of the most capable platforms for [Ukraine’s] naval dominance of the Black Sea,” Sean Plankey, the company’s Chief Executive Officer for the U.S., told the Washington Examiner.

Ukrainian forces have used Magura drone boats to sink more than a dozen Russian warships and to shoot down Russian aircraft and helicopters as well. Between Ukraine’s use of the Magura USV and other drone boats, they have forced much larger and more expensive Russian warships to retreat from the Black Sea. They’ve also hit oil tankers and bridges.

The company came to a deal earlier this month with ReconCraft, an American-based boat manufacturer, to produce these vessels domestically.

Assuming Ukraine survives this war, they’ll end up a contracting powerhouse.

I CAN IMAGINE QUITE A BIT… BUT NOT THAT MUCH: Imagine Thinking More Gun Control is the Answer to California’s Crime Problem.

Tragically, a murderer opened fire at a Fourth of July weekend block party in Compton, California earlier this month, killing 37-year-old Eric Washington and 19-year-old Meah Bordenave-Jenkins and wounding three others. The victims and their loved ones deserve justice. Police arrested one suspect, 54 year-old Antoine Jones, two weeks later and charged him with murder in Bordenave-Jenkins’ death. He deserves prosecution and punishment to the fullest extent of the law. The suspect in Washington’s death is still at large.

California state Democratic Assemblymember Mike Gipson, however, quickly used this latest tragedy to call for…stronger state and federal gun control laws. He cited background checks, age restrictions and so-called “red flag” laws as “basics” that would reduce criminal violence.

The problem with Assemblyman Gipson’s demands, though, is that California already has all three.

Yes, but the next law, fee, tax, restriction, or requirement will work for sure.

DISPATCHES FROM THE OCCUPIED ZONES:

OH FER CRYIN’ OUT LOUD: Women do more water chores due to ‘neocolonial gender blind spot,’ UCLA study says.

Society isn’t paying enough attention to how American women are disproportionately burdened by home tap water use, according to a new study from the UCLA Streisand Center’s Gender and Water research hub.

That’s when I thought I’d accidentally stumbled into a Babylon Bee article, but no:

Even though women in the study claimed not to be unfairly burdened, anthropology Professor Jessica Cattelino and her research team made the case that they still are.

The study “Gender and residential water use in Los Angeles: Ingrained, untapped, and porous,” was published in June in the journal Environment and Planning E: Nature and Space. It followed 36 families in the Los Angeles area for several years, tracking their residential water use through interviews and water diary entries.

Related: Unintentional fatal injuries arising from unpaid work at home.

Unpaid work in and around the home is a common and potentially high risk activity, yet there is limited information about the circumstances surrounding resulting injuries. This study aimed to describe circumstances surrounding fatal injuries resulting from home duties activities, in order to identify and prioritise areas for prevention. Coroners’ reports on all unintentional deaths in Australia from 1989-92 inclusive were inspected to identify deaths of interest. Rates were calculated using population data and incorporating measures of time engaged in particular home duties activities. There were 296 home duties deaths over the four year period. Most (83%) deaths were of males, and males had 10 times the risk of fatal injury compared with females.

Care to trade, ladies?

DISPATCHES FROM THE EDUCATION APOCALYPSE:

Background here: Plagiarism or jealousy? Youngest black professor in Cambridge history set to publish extraordinary life story – including how he couldn’t speak, read or write during childhood – as he’s now accused of copying others’ work.

21ST CENTURY PROBLEMS: Tech Giants Voltron Up Against AI Safety Threats. “Nvidia and a host of tech giants on Monday launched a new artificial intelligence safety initiative focused on open models, as the fallout from a cyberattack committed by rogue OpenAI models continues.”

More:

A pretty extensive list of (mostly) American tech giants (NAVER and SK Telecom are South Korean companies, and SAP and Siemens are German). Hell, I’ve even worked for three companies on that list.

Notable omissions? OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic, all of whom used closed rather than open AI models. Plus Apple, which made the conscious decision not to be a player in the AI space.

That’s an awful lot of collective brainpower to address the problem, but I wonder if the very size will make it unwieldy.

Also, I’m not sure how much I trust any of these guys — but there isn’t much choice.

WOEING: Boeing posts wider loss than expected as Air Force One costs weigh on results. “Boeing took a $280 million loss on the program to deliver two 747s that will serve as the next-generation Air Force One aircraft to the U.S. government as it said it ramped up investment for that plane. It said it still expects the first delivery in 2028.”

The order was formalized eight years ago this month — following a 2017 handshake deal — with delivery of the first aircraft due in 2024.

“BRITISH” DOES AN AWFUL LOT OF WORK IN THIS POST:

LOW-COST PROBLEMS REQUIRE LOW-COST SOLUTIONS: Marines Just Added AI That Turns M240 Machine Guns Into Drone Killers. “The move pairs the AI-powered robotic mount with the M240 machine gun already familiar to Marines, giving the service’s most expeditionary counter-drone platform a kinetic option that can detect, track and engage Group 1 through Group 3 unmanned aircraft systems at a fraction of the cost of missile interceptors.”

IT’S LIKE A WHO’S WHO OF EVERYBODY YOU FIGURED WAS ON THE CCP DOLE:

Ezra Klein as the first name on the list is one of those chef’s kiss moments. And as Miranda Devine added, “Note nobody from the New York Post, Fox or WSJ.”

Full thread with all the names here.