Archive for 2024

XI’S GOTTA HAVE IT: China’s Flood of Cheap Goods Is Angering Its Allies, Too.

With President-elect Donald Trump saying he plans to significantly increase tariffs on China, Beijing is hoping to unload more of its excess factory production to developing-world countries, from Indonesia to Pakistan to Brazil.

But many of those countries are pushing back, as cut-price Chinese imports put pressure on their factories, killing jobs and blocking efforts to grow manufacturing at home. Many poorer countries have been counting on expanding manufacturing as the best way to propel their rise up the development ladder.

For China, the emerging backlash threatens to undermine its goal of being a leader of the developing world, whose support it has courted as a means of building its own alliances to counter the U.S.

Many developing countries now fear they will endure the same kind of “China Shock” that gutted U.S. industry starting a quarter-century ago. Economists estimate the U.S. lost more than two million jobs between 1999 and 2011 as makers of furniture, toys and clothes buckled under competition from Chinese imports.

China has a huge excess of industrial capacity, which isn’t the worst problem to have. But Xi can’t afford the political risk of economic restructuring, so those factories have to keep flooding foreign markets — even friendly ones.

“China is asshoe,” as they say.

NETFLIX’S NEW CHURCHILL DOCUMENTARY: Churchill at War review: superficial primer is tailor-made for US audiences.

Every decent historical documentary series these days needs a gimmick to set it apart from the rest. Churchill at War (Netflix) arguably has three. The four-part series, which skims over Winston Churchill’s early life before giving us a highlights package of the Second World War, features a battalion of wonderfully restored and colourised wartime footage. Not a new trick, perhaps, but a good one.

Its second flourish, befitting a series produced by Hollywood big dogs Ron Howard and Brian Grazer, is to assemble a mighty war cabinet of talking heads. Not only do we have the expected coterie of historians, but a former British prime minister (Boris Johnson), a former US president (George W Bush) and the current British foreign secretary (David Lammy). This trio adds tremendous value.

At the very beginning of the first episode, Boris Johnson tells an unseen interviewer, “Churchill believed in freedom, free speech, democracy. Those ideals are not uncontested today — far from it.”

Does the Boris of 2024 remember the Boris of 2020? Boris Johnson Missed His Churchill Moment.

When Johnson’s idol, Winston Churchill, first came to power in 1940, France was in the process of falling to Nazi Germany. Most of the other great European powers had already fallen. For a time, Britain stood alone in the world, the sole defender of the West, with Churchill at its helm. Even when his own ministers urged him to accept Hitler’s peace offer, Churchill held firm to his convictions and chose to fight on.

This is the laudable mantle that Johnson has, all his life, aspired to shoulder. He faced just such a defining moment in March of 2020. The entire world had surrendered to the People’s Republic of China, adopting its totalitarian disease-control strategy, and unlike France or Poland in World War II, we surrendered without a shot being fired. If any man in the world was well-positioned to stand against this, it was the garrulous British renegade, Boris Johnson.

Instead, the United Kingdom became a police state.

“Freedom, free speech, democracy. Those ideals are not uncontested today — far from it.”

Related: How a Netflix Doc Used AI Winston Churchill.

THE MORAL DEGENERACY OF AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL: Here is the very first paragraph of the executive summary of Amnesty’s new report on Israel’s supposed “genocide” in Gaza. You will notice that Amnesty traces Israel’s offensive in Gaza to October 7, 2023. In fact, Israel was too busy fighting off genocidal Hamas terrorists committing unspeakable atrocities within Israel on 10/7 to be launching any forces into Gaza. Amnesty surely knows that, and thus (a) shows immediately that it has no concern for factual accuracy; and (b) is intentionally trying to blur the sequence of events so that readers forget what really happened on October 7, turning a genocidal assault *on* Israel into the beginning of a supposed genocide by Israel. H/T @elderofziyon. And a reminder: while Israel is the immediate target, the ultimate goal is to render the entire West incapable of defending itself militarily.

UPDATE: And I failed to note another lie in the same paragraph. No Israeli troops or civilians, except a few kidnap victims, were in Gaza on October 7, and thus Gaza was not “occupied” except in the most tendentious of imaginations.

ANALYSIS: TRUE.

Also: “Trumpflation,” really?

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Team Trump 47 Is Working Like Its First 100 Days Have Already Started. “This is precisely the way to deal with Democrats and their flying monkeys in the mainstream media. The Dem governors and mayors who have been getting in front of cameras threatening to fight Trump were hoping to get no pushback until next year. The New Trump Order (I’m running with this for a while) doesn’t play that way. This crew doesn’t let the Democrats suck all of the oxygen out of every room while trying to create a perverse public relations advantage. It pushes back.”

HMM: Police appear to be closing in on name of gunman who shot CEO. “Bullet casings found at the scene had the words ‘deny,’ ‘defend’ and ‘depose’ written on them, police sources said.”

I asked GrokAI if those words had significance, and it reported:

The phrase “deny, defend, depose” refers to a political or legal strategy sometimes observed in response to allegations or scandals, particularly against public officials or prominent figures. Here’s what each component typically means:

Deny – Initially, the accused or their representatives outright deny any wrongdoing or involvement in the alleged activities. This step is often about damage control, where the denial aims to cast doubt on the accusations themselves.

Defend – After the initial denial, if evidence starts to mount or public pressure increases, the strategy shifts to defending the actions. This might involve explaining away the behavior, claiming it was within the law or ethical bounds, or arguing that there was a misunderstanding or misrepresentation of the facts.

Depose – If the situation escalates to the point where the accusations can no longer be effectively denied or defended, this could lead to the person being deposed from their position. This might happen through resignation, impeachment, or being voted out. “Depose” here implies a removal from office or position of power.

This sequence outlines a common progression in how entities or individuals might respond to scandals or allegations:

First, they deny the accusations to maintain innocence and control narrative damage.

Then, they might transition into defending their actions if denial becomes untenable, trying to justify or minimize the impact.

Finally, if the situation worsens, the individual might be forced out or choose to step down to prevent further damage to themselves or their associated organizations.

This pattern isn’t universal and doesn’t apply to all cases, but it has been observed enough times in political, corporate, and other high-profile scenarios to give it a sort of colloquial recognition in discussing crisis management or political maneuvering.

Claude responded something similar, except that it said “Depose: This refers to the process of taking sworn testimony from a witness or party to a lawsuit before the actual trial. During a deposition, the person being deposed (the deponent) answers questions under oath, and their testimony can be used later in court proceedings. This phrase is commonly used in legal contexts to describe the typical response of a defendant when facing a lawsuit or legal challenge. It outlines the standard progression of how a defendant might respond to legal accusations: first denying the claims, then mounting a legal defense, and potentially providing sworn testimony during the legal process.”

Obviously the shooter meant for the bullets to be found. Sounds like he might be a disappointed litigant.

When I gave Grok more context, including a link to the story above, I got this answer:

Yes, in the context where “deny, defend, depose” are found written on unfired bullets at the scene of Brian Thompson’s shooting, the meaning could shift to take on a more symbolic or message-driven interpretation:

Deny: Here, “deny” might reflect a critique or accusation of denial of insurance claims or services, which is a common grievance against insurance companies. It could be suggesting that the CEO or the company he led was involved in denying rightful claims to individuals.

Defend: This could imply the defense of the company’s practices or policies, possibly seen as aggressive or unethical by critics. It might be a commentary on how insurance companies defend their decisions against claimants or in legal battles.

Depose: In this context, “depose” might not just refer to removal from office but could also symbolize being brought down or metaphorically assassinated for one’s actions or policies. It might imply that the act of killing was a form of ultimate retribution or judgment against the CEO for the broader implications of his role or the decisions made by his company.

The presence of these words on bullets at the scene of a targeted assassination could be interpreted as a deliberate message from the shooter, suggesting a motive linked to dissatisfaction or grievances against the insurance industry or specifically against UnitedHealthcare’s practices. This act could be seen as an extreme form of protest or revenge, where the shooter is symbolically or literally ‘deposing’ the CEO through murder, with the words serving as a chilling manifesto or commentary on corporate malfeasance.

The choice of unfired bullets might also add another layer of symbolism, perhaps indicating that the message itself was the intent, rather than the bullets being used in the act, or it could be seen as bullets left for others to ‘pick up’ the fight against the perceived injustices.

Nothing here that many of us couldn’t have come up with on our own, but interesting.

HMM: Russia is evacuating naval assets from its base in Tartus, Syria, which may suggest that Russia does not intend to send significant reinforcements to support Syrian President Bashar al Assad’s regime in the near term.

OSINT analyst MT Anderson reported on December 2 that satellite imagery from November 30 and December 1 showed that the Russian Admiral Gorshkov and Admiral Golovko Gorskhov-class frigates, the Admiral Grigorovich Grigorovich-class frigate, the Novorossiysk Kilo-class submarine, the Yelnya Altay-class oiler, and the Vyazma Kaliningradneft-class oiler were at the Russian base in Tartus. Anderson then reported that satellite imagery from December 3 showed that Russia removed the three frigates, the submarine, and two unnamed auxiliary vessels (likely the Yelnya and Vyazma) from the base — amounting to all of the vessels that Russia had stationed at Tartus. Russia cannot redeploy these vessels to its Black Sea ports because Turkey is enforcing the Montreux Convention, which prevents Russian warships from passing through the Turkish Straits. Russia will likely therefore redeploy the vessels to its bases in northwestern Russia and Kaliningrad Oblast.

Russian power projection in the Med just took a big hit but it remains to be seen what that means for Bashar Assad.

Previously: It’s complicated.

IT’S A SCAM.

I’M BEGINNING TO LOSE CONFIDENCE IN THE “PUBLIC HEALTH” COMMUNITY:

THE LAST GASPS OF BIDEN’S BANANA REPUBLIC ANTICS: Biden White House Is Discussing Preemptive Pardons for Those in Trump’s Crosshairs.

This is Politico so of course the report is framed exactly as the Biden White House would want. But there are still good tidbits in here:

Biden’s aides are deeply concerned about a range of current and former officials who could find themselves facing inquiries and even indictments, a sense of alarm which has only accelerated since Trump last weekend announced the appointment of Kash Patel to lead the FBI. Patel has publicly vowed to pursue Trump’s critics.

The White House officials, however, are carefully weighing the extraordinary step of handing out blanket pardons to those who’ve committed no crimes, both because it could suggest impropriety, only fueling Trump’s criticisms, and because those offered preemptive pardons may reject them.

The deliberations touch on pardoning those currently in office, elected and appointed, as well as former officials who’ve angered Trump and his loyalists.

Those who could face exposure include such members of Congress’ Jan. 6 Committee as Sen.-elect Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) and former GOP Rep. Liz Cheney of Wyoming. Trump has previously said Cheney “should go to Jail along with the rest of the Unselect Committee!” Also mentioned by Biden’s aides for a pardon is Anthony Fauci, the former head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases who became a lightning rod for criticism from the right during the Covid-19 pandemic.

The West Wing deliberations have been organized by White House counsel Ed Siskel but include a range of other aides, including chief of staff Jeff Zients. The president himself, who was intensely focused on his son’s pardon, has not been brought into the broader pardon discussions yet, according to people familiar with the deliberations.

Related:

VERY SUSPICIOUS, TO SAY THE LEAST.

HE WAS CERTAINLY USED BY HIS OWN FATHER AT THE VERY LEAST: Was Hunter Biden a Tool of the CIA? “When congressional committees wanted to know what Hunter Biden’s new ‘sugar bro’ motive was in paying millions of the princeling’s back taxes, they were stiffed-armed, Heisman-like, from those in the Deep State intelligence community (IC) who told them to back off. The ‘or else’ was a given.”

GEORGE KORDA: National news media won’t get out of steamroller’s way.

National news media outlets today are like the security guard in the movie “Austin Powers: International Man of Mystery,” who stands, screaming, as toward him creeps an Austin-driven steamroller. Eventually, the guard is squished. The scene parodies every movie or TV show in which a person in danger, wide-eyed and shrieking, is still as danger approaches, leaving the audience thinking, “Why not get out of the way?”

In this scenario, Americans are the steamroller, the hapless security guard is the national news media, now at historically low levels of public confidence, according to Gallup: “Americans continue to register record-low trust in the mass media, with 31% expressing a ‘great deal’ or ‘fair amount’ of confidence in the media to report the news ‘fully, accurately and fairly,’ similar to last year’s 32%.” In the mid-1970s, confidence was at 70%.

Media organizations have become less trusted as they have become more politically and ideologically partisan. No sentient being can spend time watching or reading MSNBC, FOX News, CNN, The New York Times, the three major networks, the Washington Post, and other major outlets, and not see that they’re becoming more like social media rather than news reporting organizations, with attendant biases.

However, when I said to someone in the news business, “News coverage without objectivity is propaganda,” the response was, “You need to explain that more fully.” He suggested that was too undefined a standard.

Is it, now?

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