Archive for 2024

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Let the Election 2024 ‘Anomalies’ Begin! “What stinks here is that we ever got to the point where the powers that be thought it was OK to treat ballots with the same level of concern that we treat used clothing deposits. Actually, the clothing donation boxes that were all over my old neighborhood in Los Angeles were probably more secure than the ballot drop boxes.”

LAST SATURDAY AN ILLEGAL IMMIGRANT, SIDI MOHAMED ABDALLAHI, SHOT A JEWISH MAN WALKING TO SYNAGOGUE IN AN APPARENT LONE WOLF ISLAMIST TERRORIST ATTACK: Big news, especially just before the election, right? Right?

IT ISN’T THE MONEY: Teach the children well: From rural Oregon to Houston, students are learning more.

Third-graders at Adrian Elementary School, in the poorest county in Oregon, have the highest reading proficiency scores in the state, reports Steven Mitchell of The Enterprise. Test scores were low before the pandemic in rural Malheur County. But four years ago, the district hired a reading specialist and began teaching students the sounds that go with letters, also known as phonics, he writes.

Last school year, 81.3% of Adrian third graders were proficient readers, compared to 39% of third graders statewide.

This year’s third graders are the best prepared she’s ever taught, says Kelsey Zimmerman. On the walls of her classroom are posters showing how to use punctuation marks, reminders on skills such as comparing and contrasting and cause and effect, and “big idea words,” such as “loyal” sovereignty,” democracy,” and “civic.”

Phonics works. Huge budgets for layers of unnecessary administrators pushing untested experiments don’t.

MARK JUDGE: Michelle Obama’s limitless resentment.

Lasch also contrasted those who live with limits, who spend their lives working, raising children, going to church, and living their lives “a long way from the centers of metropolitan culture,” with a “new class of elites” that pursues a “heady vision of unlimited possibilities.” These elites “view life as an experiment.”

Lasch believed that the people who accepted the reality of limits paradoxically ended up living more hopeful lives.

Christopher Lasch saw all this coming.

I DON’T THINK THE DEMOCRATS ARE FEELING GOOD ABOUT THIS ELECTION: You Are No Longer Deplorable. You Are a NAZI! “What will Republicans be in 2028? Probably genocidal cannibals from space who want to ‘serve man.'”

It’s a cookbook!

And yet:

ONCE UNLEASHED, INFLATION IS A DIFFICULT BEAST TO TAME: Economists Warn of New Inflation Hazards After Election.

Inflation has fallen thanks to higher interest rates and big assists from healed supply chains and an influx of workers. But whether borrowing costs and price growth continue to ease next year could turn heavily on policy choices by Donald Trump or Kamala Harris.

Both candidates support policies to boost growth that might keep inflation from falling any farther. But economists and even conservative-leaning advisers worry that the ideas backed by Trump, in particular, risk stoking the embers of inflation. Those include his proposals to slap across-the-board tariffs on imported goods, to deport workers, and to lean on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.

“Put them all together, these levers are moving more in an inflationary direction. I’m legitimately worried about inflation worsening in 2025,” said Brian Riedl, a former Republican Senate aide now at the conservative Manhattan Institute.

I don’t know who Riedl is but I’m thinking the guy in this video has a better sense of what Trump wants to do:

Q: What do you call ripping $2 trillion out of the federal budget?

A: A good start.

But without cuts, Jeffrey Carter is right: All Roads Lead to Inflation. There Is No Way Out.

BRYAN CAPLAN: The Obvious-Once-You-Think-About-It Reason Why Education Cuts Fertility.

Education changes students’ values. Never mind rare heavy-handed propaganda about overpopulation. Education dethrones fertility via emphasis. Telling kids that academic and career success should be their top priority implicitly says, “And having kids should be a lower priority.” Not teaching religion and traditional values implicitly says, “Religion and traditional values aren’t very important.” And so on.

Though I’ve long preferred the latter story to the former, only recently did I realize that I’ve been overlooking a far simpler and practically bulletproof mechanism that explains why education reduces fertility. Namely: Almost everyone wants to finish their education before having kids — and there is a strong stigma against those who do otherwise.

If school ends in 12th grade, this norm lets you start having kids at 19 or 20.

If school ends after you get your B.A., this norm lets you start having kids at 23 or 24. (And since most students don’t finish on time, that should usually get bumped up to 26 or 27).

If school ends after your get your second Ph.D., this norm lets you start having kids around the age of 38.

Key point: Staying in school longer does nothing to alter the effect of biological age on fertility. The later you start having kids, therefore, the fewer kids you are ever likely to have. Late fertility almost automatically means low fertility.

One of many reasons why we should not mindlessly extend the years of schooling.

HAHA: “Why is Donald Trump going to win? The people he’s about to defeat have no idea.” “The first reason that people like Donald Trump is because he likes them…. Affection is something you can’t fake…. And the second reason that people love Trump… is because he’s liberated us in the deepest and truest sense. And the liberation he has brought to us is the liberation from the obligation to tell lies…. If you want to enslave people — if you want to degrade them — force them to tell lies, and they have they forced us to lie about everything at gunpoint, effectively they put people in prison, for refusing to lie….”

THIS MAN’S STORY IS REMARKABLE: There are lots of people who live amazing lives, and then there is Steventen Holland, who for decades wondered why his mother didn’t want him.

WHO ARE THE ACTUAL FASCISTS IN THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE:  Let’s Talk Fascism.