Archive for 2022

THIS IS BIG: House GOP Poised for Late Redistricting Rebound.

Republicans only need to flip a handful of seats across the country this fall to take over the House and give them the power to stop the White House from passing President Biden’s agenda for the last two years of his term. With the GOP favored to win the House, Democrats are limping toward November but have sought solace in several early redistricting wins.

But any early Democratic advantage – perceived or actual – was threatened last week after a judge threw out New York’s new district lines written by the Democratic-controlled legislature after an independent commission tasked with the job deadlocked last fall. That ruling followed a similar one a week earlier by a Maryland judge who struck down the Democratic-drawn map in that state as unconstitutional. They were the first two maps written by Democrats to be thrown out by the courts this cycle. Judges have previously intervened to block what they deemed to be GOP gerrymanders in North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

“This is a big win for the people, the state of New York,” former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who co-chairs the GOP redistricting efforts, told reporters Thursday following the judge’s decision. The judge enforced a constitutional amendment New York voters passed in 2014 aimed at preventing partisan district drawing.

“We feel very good about the way so far for us because we’re out there protecting maps that we believe are constitutional,” Christie said about Republicans’ legal wrangling over the maps.

Still, don’t get cocky.

DON’T GET COCKY: Democrats Are in Big Trouble With Their Dedicated Base According to New Focus Group Data. “The focus groups dispensed with the fiction that voters only care about unemployment numbers or economic growth when they pay significantly more for groceries and gas personally. According to Lizza and Daniels, participants used words like ‘exhausted,’ ‘uptight,’ ‘unsure,’ ‘concerned,’ and ‘anxious’ to describe their feelings about the current environment.”

CHANGE? Republicans Wallop Democrats in Spending on Tuesday’s Wisconsin School Board Races.

Wisconsin voters are headed to the polls Tuesday to vote in critical local elections for mayors, school boards, and county executives in what may give an early preview of where the battleground state’s electorate stands on issues that could prove critical to statewide and national races decided in November.

With school boards especially, eyes are on these hyper-local races to see if the success Glenn Youngkin had in Virginia last November by championing parental rights and school transparency translates to voters in other states.

While Wisconsin Democrats have been largely complacent when it comes to school board races — spending less than $10,000 to protect incumbents or elect their party’s candidates — local Republican parties have been spending big — more than $70,000 according to The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel — ahead of Tuesday’s elections.

Democrat control of school boards isn’t just bad because it gives them control of education, but because they use those elections to groom candidates for higher office.

HMM: Israel’s coalition loses majority as Yamina MK Silman quits government: Bennett and Lapid to meet over coalition crisis, Netanyahu congratulates Silman’s decision. “With this, Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s government loses its majority in the Knesset, leaving it neck-and-neck with the opposition at 60-60. If another MK were to leave the coalition, the government could be brought down in a law brought by the opposition that would disperse the Knesset. Should the opposition have a majority, they would be able to attempt to form a government without even needing to go to elections. The more coalition members that defect, the easier this option becomes for them.”

THIS COULD HAPPEN IN A LOT OF COUNTRIES: As Le Pen Surges in Polls, France Faces Danger of a Red-Black Coalition in Its National Assembly. “What is emerging in France is a wide Resentment Coalition that pits the ‘peripheral nation,’ Right and Left, against the ‘elites,’ and which, potentially, might attract more than 60 percent of the vote.”

The problem is, when your elites behave so contemptibly, people begin to view them with contempt.

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Obama Returns to White House and Biden Can’t Find a Friend. “When this trip was announced it was obvious that Biden’s puppetmasters were hoping that a visit from The Lightbringer would inject some energy into an administration that can’t even aspire to be moribund right now. What they got was Barack Obama being Barack Obama and Joe Biden wandering around like the sad boy who can’t get anyone to play with him at his own birthday party.”

I’VE SEEN THE LOCKDOWNS AND THE DAMAGE DONE: Teen Girls Aren’t Going to Forget. “All of their freedom and autonomy went away with the lockdowns.”