THIS SEEMS LIKELY: The Fed Has Made a U.S. Recession Inevitable.

Of course, White House policy and Capitol Hill spending played the major parts.

DON’T GET COCKY: Poll finds GOP favored to win House; has 6-point lead over Democrats.

IT WOULD BE FUNNIER IF IT WEREN’T BASICALLY TRUE: Psaki Reminds Reporters That Biden Doesn’t Speak For The President Of The United States.

21ST CENTURY RELATIONSHIPS: Is getting married young back in vogue? Anecdotally, it seems like I’m seeing more people marrying in their 20s.

MEALYMOUTHED AND INADEQUATE: A Message From Yale Dean Gerken On The March 10 Protest. There should have been discipline.

UKRAINE WAR: ‘Russia Really F***ed Up,’ is the Battle for Kyiv Over? “While Moscow is rotating troops away from Kyiv, they aren’t abandoning their positions around the city. Anything Ukraine wants back, they’ll have to fight for. So if I had to guess, Moscow’s Plan B for Kyiv is just more of the subtle Russian operational art of firing shells and artillery at stuff until even the rubble stops bouncing.”

OKAY, GROOMERS: ‘I was just wherever I could adding queerness:’ Christopher Rufo has video from Disney’s all-hands meeting.

MORE FROM THE NEW CIVIL LIBERTIES ALLIANCE: NCLA just filed a preliminary injunction asking a federal court to immediately halt the U.S. Surgeon General’s initiative, which (1) directs technology companies to censor viewpoints that conflict with Government messaging on COVID-19, and (2) demands information about individuals who voice those contrary opinions on social media by May 2, 2022.

The filing is here.

Here is the original complaint, which was filed on Thursday.

Reminder: I’m on the board of the NCLA.

HOW’S THAT ‘ZERO TOLERANCE’ STUFF WORKIN’ OUT FOR YA? Shanghai in lockdown as officials work to test all 26M residents.

SHUT UP, MITTENS: Romney: NATO would rethink U.S. relationship if Trump wins in 2024. “Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah, said Tuesday in a CNN interview that if former President Donald Trump won the 2024 election, the NATO alliance would be significantly damaged. Romney, the 2012 GOP presidential nominee, said NATO members would wonder whether they could continue to count on the United States.”

You helped install the gang of crooks, incompetents, and dotards who have brought us to the edge of World War III, and you’re still trying to pretend that the adults are in charge? Resign.

KEVIN DOWNEY JR: As if the Left Hasn’t Hurt Comedy Enough, Now We Comedians Brace for Will Smith Copycats. “What can the left do to give stand-up comedy a coup de grace? How about allowing one of the biggest actors in Hollywood to assault and curse out one of the biggest comedians of our time on stage?”

UPGRADE YOUR OFFICE CHAIR: Modway EEI-757-BLK Articulate Ergonomic Mesh Office Chair in Black. CommissionEarned

CONFORMITY CAN GET US ALL KILLED: Stella Morabito, writing in The Federalist, offers this bracing suggestion:

“Sure, a certain level of conformity is normal for a society to function. But an unchecked conformity impulse in a technological society like ours acts more like slow-motion suicide than a survival mechanism. We think we’re saving ourselves by conforming, but in the long run the opposite is true.”

Helps explain the high level of American conformity with, for example, mask mandates that clearly aren’t effective at preventing the spread of COVID-19. May also say something about why Wokeism is so difficult to resist for so many people. And perhaps even why this kind of mindless savagery is becoming such a commonplace on American campuses.

SPOILER: SHE HAS NONE. Kamala Offers Some Deep Thoughts to Encourage Suffering Americans. “We’ve been, um, you know, understanding that it is a real issue, um, what we have done is we’ve actually released some of the reserves…gas is just part of the issue of the cost of living, right?”

RENAME IT ‘GEORGETOWN AGIT-PROP FACTORY:’ The lunatics are clearly in charge now at Georgetown University Law School.

I GUESS WE NEED TO ABOLISH HIGHER EDUCATION: Professors survey 17 black women and conclude academia struggles with ‘racial violence.’

THERE HE GOES AGAIN: White House Walks Back Biden’s Clarification of an Earlier Misstatement.

FIGHT THE POWER: Socialists’ protest to ‘FREE KARL MARX’ falls flat as conservative students hold counter-protest.

JOE DID THAT: Blistering New Report Takes Down Media’s Gas Price Narrative, Reveals 81 Ways Biden Has Sent Prices Sky High.

DELIVERED: Five Thousand SpaceX Starlink Terminals for Ukraine. “I’m impressed by the speed of delivery of this aid to Ukraine as well as its scope.”

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Liberal Perv Parade Proving Exactly Why Florida Law Is Needed. “When did the world become so insane that kindergarteners needed to know what teachers did for fun over the weekend? I come from an era when it was nigh on impossible to imagine my teachers existing outside of the school when I was that young. And we certainly weren’t going deep on gender issues then. We were mostly playing tag and eating boogers.”

BE PREPARED: LifeStraw Personal Water Filter for Hiking, Camping, Travel, and Emergency Preparedness, 1 Pack, Blue. #CommissionEarned

TURNAROUND: Ukraine appears to have begun shelling Russian territory.

Related: “The Russians really f—ed this up.”

ANALYSIS: TRUE. Gas Tax Rebates, Suspensions Are Gimmicky ‘Solutions’ to Problem Government Caused.

ENVOYS OF MANKIND: Space Station Return: The U.S.-Russian crew of the Soyuz MS-19 spacecraft is in good health and spirits after their smooth landing on the steppes of Kazakhstan.