Archive for 2016

THE WORD “UNEXPECTEDLY” MAKES ITS EXPECTED APPEARANCE IN THIS STORY: Weak U.S. retail sales, inflation data reinforce Fed caution on rates.

U.S. retail sales unexpectedly fell in March as households cut back on purchases of automobiles and other items, further evidence that economic growth stumbled in the first quarter.

Other data on Wednesday showed a surprise drop in producer prices last month as rising energy prices were offset by a decline in the cost of services.

The two reports suggested the Federal Reserve will probably not raise interest rates until later this year.

“The data solidifies the well-entrenched narrative of a very weak first quarter for the U.S. economy. For the Federal Reserve … it argues for continued caution,” said Millan Mulraine, deputy chief economist at TD Securities in New York.

But maybe this is the year we finally get that Summer of Recovery.

RESET: Russian fighter jets in extremely close overflights with U.S. destroyer.

Navy officials are not commenting publicly, but inside the Pentagon there is an intense discussion about releasing video and still photos of the Russian encounter to demonstrate the danger the jets posed to the ship, a U.S. official told CNN.

The initial reports indicate the two concerning encounters occurred Tuesday night in international waters. A third overflight, at a more acceptable distance, happened Sunday, according to the source.

The ship, an Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer, also had a Polish helicopter on board as part of routine training, according to the official, leading to some speculation in military circles that the Russians were also “sending a message to Poland,” the official said.

We, too, can send messages. One message be a reminder of some kind that the Arleigh Burke-class was designed to shoot down dangerous aircraft.

ARE WE IN THE AGE OF DECADENCE?  “Not the decadence of pure debauchery — there’s some of that available today, but public morals in the West probably hit bottom in the 1970s, not in our own era of stagnation. Rather it’s decadence as defined by Jacques Barzun: All that is meant by Decadence is ‘falling off.’ ‘. . . The forms of art as of life seem exhausted, the stages of development have been run through. Institutions function painfully. Repetition and frustration are the intolerable result.’”

Read the whole thing.

(Via Ace.)

I WANT FAST FOOD WORKERS TO MAKE $15 AN HOUR:

Obviously (or rather, it should be obvious) minimum wage hikes bring a bevy of economically catastrophic consequences. Just as obviously (or rather, it should be just as obvious) adherence to free market principles creates enough wealth for fast food workers to legitimately make more money. I want low-income workers to make $15 an hour—and more, for that matter. This is why I support the free market and why I’m opposed to artificially raising wages. Maybe more low-income workers would begin listening to conservatives if conservatives stopped telling them that they don’t “deserve” $15 an hour. Maybe more low-income workers would embrace economic principles that will actually help them if more conservatives would stop demonstrating a tone-deaf moralism in relation to the wages of low-income workers. As conservatives, we hold to an economic theory that allows for all to benefit from the growing wealth. That’s what conservatives should be compassionately preaching instead of lecturing fast food workers about how they’re not worth a certain amount of money.

Read the whole thing.

MEET ZARI, THE NEWEST ADDITION TO THE AFGHAN VERSION OF ‘SESAME STREET.’

Talk about burying the lede – isn’t the real story for the vast majority of readers that there’s an “Afghanistan version of ‘Sesame Street,’ made in Kabul, [and] partially funded by The United States State Department?”

BLUE MODEL EXCESSES: Business Bears The Weight Of New York’s Benefits.

New York state has always been a very expensive place to do business. Soon, it will be more expensive still, as the state begins implementing two new programs just signed into law by Governor Andrew Cuomo: a $15 minimum wage and 12 weeks of paid family leave.

I hardly need to explain why requiring employers to pay at least $15 an hour is bound to be expensive for businesses. But the family-leave policy may require some explaining, because the governor insists it will not cost businesses anything at all.

So let’s start by explaining what the benefit is. When fully implemented, in 2021, it will cover 67 percent of a worker’s weekly salary, capped at 67 percent of the state’s average weekly wage (which is currently about $1,200 a week, making for a maximum weekly benefit of about $800). This is supposed to be fully paid for by a payroll deduction, which is allegedly going to be a little over a dollar a week.

In other words, it is supposed to be structured more as a mandatory insurance program than as a free benefit. I don’t see how the promised insurance can possibly be provided on a little over a dollar a week: An employee making the New York state average weekly wage, having an average two children, and perhaps caring for a sick parent or spouse once would collect a lifetime benefit of almost $30,000, while paying in about $2,300 over a 40-year career. But the premiums can be adjusted to make the math work out without forcing employers to cough up. (Though I suspect enthusiasm for the program among its beneficiaries would dim if it started docking substantial amounts from monthly checks.)

But this doesn’t mean there is no cost to employers. If the new law encourages people to take more leave, then employers are going to have to find someone to do their work. That means colleagues working harder to pick up the slack, or temporary employees who will need to be trained. There will be paperwork. All of this adds to the cost of doing business. The lower the profit margins, the more these costs will hurt.

By itself, adding mandatory family leave to the schedule of benefits is unlikely to bring many employers to their knees. But, of course, it is not as if this is the only cost that the government has seen fit to impose. It is also mandating that employers must soon start paying their workers a higher minimum wage.

The important thing, though, is that it gave politicians a talking point this election cycle.

DISPATCHES FROM THE LEFT’S WAR ON BATHROOMS: These Celebrities Boycotting North Carolina Are Huge Hypocrites.

Related: Maggie’s Farm on “The Springsteen Moment:

Both Bruce and Paypal have the right to do what they did, and make morally superior statements about their high-minded motives.  But they are ignoring the damage they have done, and also ignoring how they could have been more effective by not changing their plans.

Read the whole thing.

ASHE SCHOW: Hillary Clinton Exposes the Left’s Own Abortion Extremism: Republicans aren’t the only ones who can be extreme on this issue.

Polls on the issue continually show that the American people by and large do not like late-term abortions, even many who are fine with abortions for any reason within the first trimester. A majority of Americans support abortion in the first trimester, while a large majority (usually in the 60-plus percent range) do not support abortions in the second trimester, and an even larger percentage (more than 80 percent) oppose abortions in the third trimester.

So if Ms. Clinton is suggesting that it is okay to abort up until birth, she is wildly out of line with the American people and most state’s current laws. Yet she will not be forced to follow up her comments and expand on them or explain them away.

Actually, it’s amazing that Chick Todd even asked her one question.

“FOR THESE PEOPLE, WE ARE ALWAYS ECO-SINNERS IN THE HANDS OF AN ANGRY GAIA:”

Even weirder, they have no intention of actually suffering for their faith. Instead, they want to make you suffer. Al Gore can buy “green credits” like indulgences because he is worth close to a billion. That means he gets to live like a royal, enjoying your suffering as you try to work the new gas can. His mansion is lit up like Versailles, while you squint in the florescent haze of your eco-friendly CFL. It’s suffering by proxy, where they sacrifice their time to watch you suffer as a result of their policies.

What strikes me about it is the utter pointlessness of it. The endless posing and posturing has no end because it has no end point. A faithful Christian at least has the serenity of his communion with God. The Muslim, at the click of the detonator, knows he will be with Allah. Climate change fanatics have nothing but a hopeless misery. Even if all of their policies are enacted, nothing comes of it.

Don’t discount the smug satisfaction the eco-fascist takes in knowing he’s coerced entire cities to ban shopping bags, begin mandatory composting and in bankrupting entire industries, coupled with the Gnostic belief that he can see the world more clearly than those non-believers, whom he views as the equivalent of Holocaust deniers, if not something even worse. All that crony corporatism means he’s got his — and all the new laws he’s passed are the equivalent of raising the drawbridge up behind him. Not to mention all the exciting cocktail parties with Leonardo, Al, Barry, and the rest of the (private) jet-set in Paris, Davos, and Bali. Sure it’s all nihilism — but nobody said that nihilism couldn’t be awfully swank as well.

Related: EPA Administrator: Climate Change Impacts Your Happiness.

Analysis: True, given that EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy certainly never looks happy, despite having far too much influence over the American economy.

WASHINGTON POST: Cruz likely to block Trump on a second ballot at the GOP convention.

Republican presidential candidate Ted Cruz is close to ensuring that Donald Trump cannot win the GOP nomination on a second ballot at the party’s July convention in Cleveland, scooping up scores of delegates who have pledged to vote for him instead of the front-runner if given the chance.

The push by Cruz means that it is more essential than ever for Trump to clinch the nomination by winning a majority of delegates to avoid a contested and drawn-out convention fight, which Trump seems almost certain to lose.

The GOP race now rests on two cliffhangers: Can Trump lock up the nomination before Cleveland? And if not, can Cruz cobble together enough delegates to win a second convention vote if Trump fails in the first?

During my political lifetime, Republican conventions haven’t been much more than an opportunity to fill a stadium with people wearing outrageous hats while voting for the man everybody knows will win already.

2016 promises to be slightly more interesting.

OH, THAT LIBERAL FASCISM: “Communist Cuba is supposedly the hottest fashion destination this year. Fashion powerhouses like Chanel have staked out the tyrannical tropical island to showcase the latest in fashion. As a result, fashionistas are looking to break into Havana this spring. Who knew that a communist country could be so chic with its omnipresent poverty, human rights abuses, and tyranny?”

Oh, I don’t know — Walter Duranty, Jane Fonda, John Kerry, Jim McDermott, Eason Jordan, and Anna Wintour all immediately spring to mind. And there are countless others on the left suffering from Cuban-American blogger Val Prieto once “omnipotent tourist syndrome.”