Author Archive: Glenn Reynolds

CHANGE:

DON SURBER: Temu Radar failed Venezuela: Chairman Xi lost the war without Trump firing a shot at him.

The utter failure of Chinese air defenses inspires these thoughts from Eric S. Raymond: “Before this went down I was figuring a very high probability that the Chinese make their move on Taiwan in 2027. Now? I guarantee you that their confidence in their previous risk assessments has evaporated. They no longer know what they’ll be facing, and there’s a significant possibility that mainland China’s domestic air defenses are worthless too. Now I’m going to suggest that you juxtapose two phrases: ‘thermobaric bombs’ and ‘Three Gorges Dam.’ A China that’s naked from the air has the biggest glass jaw in human history. Now I think there’s pretty good odds that the invasion of Taiwan will never happen at all.”

Not sure a thermobaric bomb is the best ordnance for that job, but the point is sound.

TRUTH:

ROGER KIMBALL: The Case For Annexing Greenland.

Anyway, the talk in Trump world about Greenland has given mouthpieces like Jake Tapper a case of the sads. After Katie Miller’s post, Tapper anxiously pestered her husband Stephen Miller about Greenland. “Can you,” quoth Tapper, “rule out that the US is ever going to try to take Greenland by force?” “Greenland should be part of the United States,” replied Miller. He then offered him a lesson in realpolitik. “We live in a world, in the real world, Jake, that is governed by strength, that is governed by force, that is governed by power,” he said. “These are the iron laws of the world since the beginning of time.” Has Miller been reading his Thucydides (see Book 5.89)? Miller then asked an interesting question: by what right does Denmark have Greenland? Is it because Erik the Red founded a settlement there around AD 1000? I think the Danes will have to do better than that.

And besides, Jake Tapper can rest easy. Trump will not be sending in a Delta Force squadron to seize Greenland. That’s not how things will evolve. How will they evolve? Trump wrote about it in The Art of the Deal. There will be tears and some foot stamping by the Danes and other members of the EU. But Greenland will soon come under the orbit of the United States. Maybe Trump will make the sort of deal that Arthur Guinness struck when, in 1759, he leased St. James’s Gate for his brewery for £45 per year for 9,000 years.

I am sure a tidy sum will change hands over Greenland. Maybe Trump will also extend some face-saving tokens. But Greenland is essential to America’s, and Europe’s, security in the region. Therefore, notwithstanding the Jakes and the Margarets of the world, Greenland will be ours.

My take is that Trump has written off Europe, and expects it to go Islamist, and is fortifying North America against that prospect.

WELL, BYE.

SALENA ZITO:

OPEN THREAD: Hump day.

TO BE FAIR, THE DAVIDIANS WERE MORE VICTIMS OF VIOLENCE THAN PERPETRATORS:

IRAN:

(That’s the old Monarchy’s flag, not the Islamic Republic version.)

PAYBACK IS A BITCH:

NEWS FROM THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF MINNESOTASTAN: Minneapolis Protester Shot Dead; UPDATE: Car Apparently Hit Agent; Riots Soon? I dunno, but it’s not 2020 and riots won’t play out like they did then.

UPDATE: Walz Threatens Civil War.

ANOTHER UPDATE: Tim Walz: Minnesota Is at ‘War’ With the Federal Government, Calls Out National Guard; More Violence? “From everything I can see, Walz and Frey have been egging on the confrontations to distract from the disastrous fraud investigations and have been cooperating with the very people who have been assaulting officers and impeding operations. Mayor Frey, just the other day, threatened violence, and here we have it.”

Insurrection Act time?

Related question: I suppose there’s no chance we could trade Minnesota for Greenland …