IT’S ALMOST LIKE PUBLIC POLLS TEND TO BE DISINFORMATION.

Really interesting work from Patrick Ruffini. Across 3,312 Senate polls over four cycles, he finds a D+3.7 average error, with 73% overstating Democrats. Even more interesting is that the error peaks around D+5.9 in late July before narrowing toward Election Day.

That adds an… https://t.co/c1nC4baSiU pic.twitter.com/CIIWLgNFj3

— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) August 18, 2026