China is apparently planning an “out-of-the-blue” (OOTB) attack on Taiwan, that will initially consist mainly of missiles, warplanes, paratroopers and troops out on “training exercises”. What this means is that, during what appears to be peacetime maneuvers, the troops involved will suddenly move against a nearby nation and invade. This tactic was developed by Russia during the Cold War, but never used.
If I were the Taiwanese, I’d be looking to buy nuclear weapons from North Korea . . . .
MORE: Reader Jeff Cook emails:
I expect it within the next two years. We should be selling nuking up to Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea, and let it slip out that we’re doing it. Within a decade a China with 1 billion citizens and 9% economic growth will be able to afford armed forces and weapons systems we can only dream about. They will be a threat to all of South Asia, Phillipines, Indonesia, and, who knows, Australia.
Unless we build a buffer of reasonably friendly and well-armed states, including Iran, Pakistan, and Russia, we will find ourselves in a war we cannot win. I have no strategic competencies, and no qualifications. It’s just seems obvious.
Macchiavellian plan: Give nukes to Taiwan. Have Taiwan explode one in the Pacific as a “test.” Have Taiwan announce that it got them from North Korea and Iran and will acquire more. Watch China deal with both countries . . . .