BRIAN DUNN’S PREDICTION: “The Chinese will invade Taiwan.” I certainly hope not.

UPDATE: Many readers are skeptical of Dunn’s analysis, but reader Jim Satterfield isn’t:

Think on this possible scenario. The Chinese consider it a very minor possibility that we would do anything to defend Taiwan. But just to cover their bases they won’t move until we represent a small enough portion of their foreign trade to where they think they can take the hit by appealing to nationalism. First they will launch a massive distraction by nationalizing every American company in China and simultaneously flooding the world currency markets with their dollar reserves while stopping the acquisition of dollars. The resultant economic crash in the U.S. will pretty much guarantee that there won’t be any military action taken except if America was to be attacked directly. Tyrants full of themselves and desirous of retaking what they view as their wayward territory won’t necessarily stop long enough to think through the long term economic repercussions even to themselves.

Seems we could short-circuit the possibility by giving the Taiwanese nukes. And it would be payback for Iran . . . .