HOW BIG is the Chinese property bubble? “Property investment in China in 2009 was 10% of GDP, up from 8% in 2007. In Japan, at the peak of its bubble, it did not exceed 9%; in the U.S. it never exceeded 6%. . . . As usual, the identifcation of the bubble is not the hardest part, it’s the timing of the pop. Bubbles have a habit of going on a lot longer than most think they can and given the political pressure to keep it going and the financial resources available to the central planners, this bubble may have a way to go yet.” This is a couple of weeks old, but still seems pretty relevant. It’s not like things in China have improved since. . . .
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