THE STARK WARNINGS ARE USUALLY WRONG:
TRUMP'S TRANS CIVIL RIGHTS TRIUMPH: New data show a predicted Trump-era targeting of trans people failed to materialize, even as LGBTQ leaders warned of an ‘epidemic’ of ‘danger,’ ‘violence,’ ‘murder’ and even ‘terrorism.’ https://t.co/4lZKr7G9oK
— David Mastio (@DavidMastio) October 3, 2026
This isn’t what was expected. When Mr. Trump began his second term by unleashing a barrage of policies that infuriated LGBTQ groups — on the military, identity documents, housing, health care and more — trans advocates thought that the “genocide” they had been warning of for more than a decade would soon arrive. They issued stark warnings. . . .
As the nearly 200 state laws piled up, one of America’s oldest civil rights groups, the American Civil Liberties Union, sounded the alarm. “Anti-transgender laws endanger LGBTQ+ people and their allies. Research also points to … [an] increase in antiLGBTQ+ violence as a result of these laws. Trend analysis of FBI crime data and social media harassment indicate an uptick in violence against LGBTQ+ people following anti-transgender legislation,” the group’s researchers warned.
That wave of violence didn’t happen, either, an absence attributed by an ACLU spokeswoman, Gillian Bransetter, to an overall pattern of declining crime across the country. “If violence is down for everyone else (and it is) it only makes sense that it is down for trans people, too, and that doesn’t change or contradict the impact of anti-trans laws on our risk for violence or our overall higher risk for violence when compared to our cisgender peers,” Ms. Branstetter told the Sun.
Well, Trump has brought down crime in major urban areas, which benefits everyone, but the alarmism of many “rights” groups in his administration has generally been bogus.