JOE GANDELMAN looks at the Bush/GOP polls and observes: “It is no longer a ‘given’ that the Democrats will gain at least one house of Congress in the November elections — and the latest poll shows trend that should make Democrats nervous.” It was never really a given that the Dems would take back Congress, and these polls certainly don’t make it a given that they won’t. Beware of poll fever!

In the short term, however, these polls may reduce the extent of GOP defection from Bush’s legislative agenda, which may actually help the Republicans hold on to Congress.