STRATEGYPAGE notes that the Muslims-killing-Muslims strategy isn’t working for Al Qaeda:

Even outside of Iraq, many Sunni Arabs were getting disenchanted with al Qaeda terrorism. In a war of symbols, blowing up Moslem women and children is not a winning tactic.

Another major difference between 2003 and 2004, was the shifting of al Qaeda support from people in Moslem countries to expatriate Moslems in Europe. Many al Qaeda members had fled their native countries, because of the increasingly hostile atmosphere, for the relative sanctuary of Europe. Going into 2005, al Qaeda is dying in Iraq and plotting in Europe.

Europe has become a safer haven. That’s certainly consistent with this alleged Zarqawi letter, complaining about poor morale in Iraq. Yeah, guys, why would everyone there hate you? It’s not like you keep blowing up their relatives and acting like thugs, is it?

Meanwhile, there’s another big capture in Pakistan. I don’t usually bother to mention those “senior Al Qaeda aide captured” stories, because individually they’re not news. But over time, they make a difference, and they are. The terror war isn’t over, but the strategy of making Al Qaeda fight it on their own turf, not ours, seems to have worked out pretty well.

UPDATE: Here’s an interesting look at where terror attacks actually occur. And here’s a useful Iraq roundup from the Christian Science Monitor.