March 6, 2020

PREDICTION: Universities, etc. will close, but about two weeks later than would do the most good. After a couple of months, we’ll reach a point at which there will be a pivot, and we’ll just go on like it was a flu outbreak. This won’t so much be because there’s no problem, as because we can’t keep things closed any longer. With luck, what closings, etc. we’ve had will push the main outbreak into the warm months, when it will — probably — not be as bad. Long-term, there will be a boost for online education and telecommuting, not so much out of fear of future outbreaks as because people will get used to it and see the benefits.

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