UH-OH. Stephen Green has this worrisome observation about India and Pakistan. He says he’s a lot more worried than he was last night.

What would the impact of a nuclear war in India / Pakistan — call it 50-100 nuclear explosions in the 20-kiloton range — be on the United States? Probably fairly minimal. Nobody there has thermonukes, do they? Or extra-dirty atomics? If I recall, you need an h-bomb for nasty tricks like cobalt-jacketing.

Er, and there isn’t, like, smallpox or plague in any of those warheads. Right?

I think I’ll go back to my previous optimistic state. It’s less warranted than it was, but much more comfortable.