September 17, 2015

ROLL CALL: Predictive Markets Still Bullish on Bush.

Seasoned political operatives are dismayed at Donald Trump’s staying power in the Republican presidential primary.

But for those Republicans waiting for Trump’s surge to crest and more establishment candidates to rise to challenge him, there’s reason not to dump their Jeb Bush stock.

At least, that’s what political prediction markets suggest.

Going into the second GOP debate, PredictIt, an online political prediction site, shows the former Florida governor leading the GOP pack, followed by Florida Sen. Marco Rubio.

Contrast that with the double-digit lead Trump holds over Bush in Real Clear Politics’ polling average, and it looks like prediction markets know something the rest of America doesn’t.

Well, or they just have faith in the establishment’s continuing power.

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