Archive for 2018

HEALTH: CDC Warns Residents in Eight U.S. States of Cut-Fruit Salmonella Outbreak.

On Friday, Caito Foods LLC, a unit of SpartanNash Co, recalled fresh-cut watermelon, honeydew melon, cantaloupe and fresh-cut mixed fruit products containing one of those melons produced at a Caito Foods facility in Indianapolis.

The recalled products were distributed to Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio and sold in clear, plastic containers at stores including Costco Wholesale Corp, Kroger Co, Payless, Owen’s, Sprouts, Trader Joe’s, Walgreens, Walmart Inc, and Whole Foods, a unit of Amazon.com Inc.

Check your fridge.

BACKGROUND TO SINGAPORE: The Trump Administration’s maximum pressure effort, March 2017 to March 2018 — with a nod to 1999. (Old column with context.)

THE ART OF THE DEAL? Trump Agrees to Stop U.S.-South Korea Military Exercises, Says He Trusts ‘Very Talented’ Kim.

“We’re prepared to start a new history and prepared to write a new chapter between our nations,” Trump said at a press conference in Singapore after daylong meetings with Kim and a joint signing of a declaration between the two that Trump said could lead to Kim being “remembered as the leader who ushered in a glorious new era.”

The two leaders did not discuss the contents of the document at the signing; Trump only called it “comprehensive.” The White House released the document about halfway through Trump’s press conference.

“President Trump committed to provide security guarantees to the DPRK, and Chairman Kim Jong Un reaffirmed his firm and unwavering commitment to complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula,” the document states, not elaborating on the security guarantees. It also said the two parties “commit to recovering POW/MIA remains, including the immediate repatriation of those already identified” and would “commit to establish new U.S.–DPRK relations in accordance with the desire of the peoples of the two countries for peace and prosperity,” but Trump did not say what those new relations would look like.

Much more to come.

WINNING: Donald Trump is wooing black voters and killing the Democratic party.

He doesn’t really have to do much.

He does it by inviting the presidents of some of nation’s historically black colleges to gather in the Oval for a photo op, and watch them do it, because their schools are struggling or dying.

He does it by freeing the Johnsons — freeing the history of Jack and commuting the sentence of Alice.

Anyone who thinks that Trump didn’t gain some black votes by those actions last week doesn’t understand the power of connecting with the disconnected.

In Detroit, and other urban areas – where we can’t get more than 14% to 20% of registered voters to turn out for a municipal election — and where many people still love Kanye West (though he thinks slavery was a choice) or R. Kelly (who is avoiding jail by inexplicable means) — Trump may be resonating.

And now he’s considering pardoning Muhammad Ali, who doesn’t need his support, but that won’t stop Trump from claiming that he saved his reputation.

As I wrote yesterday, this isn’t dumb.

In any election there are five main classes of voters, listed here from the easiest to most difficult to win:

• Your devoted party loyalists.

• Your leaners.

• Undecideds.

• Their leaners.

• Their party loyalists.

Turnout matters greatly — that’s how you get your leaners to act like loyalists. But so do results and salesmanship, which, if successful move the undecideds into your column.

A booming economy and a popular leader can even suppress “enemy” leaner turnout, or even win a few over. This usually results in a blowout, like Reagan in 1984.

The most difficult voters to win are the other side’s loyalists. They’re also the most valuable, since stealing one of those is effectively winning two votes. The vote you won for yourself and the vote you took from the other guy. Sustained efforts at winning over party loyalists results in a landslide, obviously. But doing so may also result in that most elusive gain: Realignment.

If Trump can crack the black vote by 15% or more, then we might just witness a once-in-a-generation political realignment.

While it’s uncertain if it can be done, Trump would be stupid not to try. Black Americans were sorely disappointed by Barack Obama, and millions live in the Rust Belt states Trump is attempting to revitalize. That makes this the perfect moment to try, and whatever other flaws Trump may have, he’s not stupid.

TRUMP VS. GERMAN HILLARY, OR HOW THE NARRATIVE IS SHAPED: This link.  And this one.