BOB KRUMM: Did The VP Debate Start A Trend? “I don’t know where the race really stands: whether it’s Obama up by a couple or Romney up by a few. But what I do know is that no matter where we started, an 11 or 12 point swing is a rout. Finally, if the change holds, what could have caused it? Given the timing I would guess that it was the Vice Presidential debate last Thursday night.”