REMEMBER EVAN THOMAS’S FAMOUS “FIFTEEN PERCENT” REMARK FROM 2004? “The media, I think, wants Kerry to win and I think they’re going to portray Kerry and Edwards I’m talking about the establishment media, not Fox. They’re going to portray Kerry and Edwards as being young and dynamic and optimistic and there’s going to be this glow about them, collective glow, the two of them, that’s going to be worth maybe 15 points.”

Thomas later revised his estimate to five points. So the media’s trying much harder this time around, and Obama and Romney are basically tied. Does that mean that without the media’s help, Obama would be 5 points behind?