HOW HARD WOULD IT BE for avian flu to spread? “The virus that scientists made more contagious was the A(H5N1) avian flu. In its natural form, it is known to have infected only about 600 people since its discovery in 1997, but it killed more than half of them. Humans almost never transmit it to one another. But if that ever were to change, bird flu could become one of history’s worst pandemics.”