Author Archive: Stephen Green

“NEVER LET A CRISIS GO TO WASTE,” RAHM EMANUEL ONCE SAID…:

…And “even if you have to invent it” was strongly implied.

THE ONLY QUESTION IS WHEN: Social Security and Medicare cuts are coming because the bond market will eventually bring Congress to its knees, economist says.

The insolvency of the trust funds next decade will be the key driver for reforms, just as it was in the early 1980s when lawmakers hiked taxes to shore them up, Yaros said.

“For lawmakers to feel the urgency to take corrective fiscal action, voters need to connect the dots between the unsustainability of the federal budget and their own financial wellbeing,” he explained.

But the tightening that he predicts in the 2030s will mostly take the form of cuts to non-discretionary programs, like Social Security, because discretionary spending is a smaller share of total government outlays, he noted.

Without some reductions, the trust funds will run out of money and retirees would face even more draconian cuts, including a sudden 19% drop across the board for Social Security, as payroll tax revenue becomes the sole funding source for entitlements.

“Therefore, a return to fiscal responsibility in the forecast will be more painful than in prior episodes as it will fall heaviest on federal transfer payments to individuals, which have historically been spared from past belt-tightening,” Yaros said.
…
The ability of bond investors to force lawmakers to change course has earned them the “bond vigilantes” moniker, which was coined by Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni in the 1980s.

James Carville, 1994: “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the President or the Pope or as a 400 basball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.”

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Trump Might End Hugo Chávez’s Posthumous Reign of Error in Venezuela. “Nicolás Maduro is the current commie dictator of Venezuela, but he’s pretty much just the ghost of Hugo Chávez, carrying on the work of destroying his country that his predecessor started early this century. The Venezuelan people haven’t been able to stop the madness, but the United States might soon give them an assist.”

BETTER LATE THAN NEVER: Pentagon to build new task force to counter drone threats.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the Department of Defense wants to address the growing threat and to improve its systems to protect people and equipment at home and overseas.

“We’re moving fast – cutting through bureaucracy, consolidating resources, and empowering this task force with the utmost authority to outpace our adversaries,” Hegseth said. “We will innovate, we will lead and we will win.”

Hegseth directed Secretary of the Army Dan Driscoll to establish the Joint Interagency Task Force 401. The task force will gather top talent from across agencies, according to a memo.

The Pentagon said drones, which it calls unmanned aircraft systems or UAS, pose a particularly dangerous threat.

Well, yes.

#METOO: Trump Has No Problem Seeing Comey, Brennan Behind Bars For Russiagate Hoax. “What they did is a disgrace. They cheated, they lied, they did so many bad things, evil things that were so bad for the country, and because they did something to me that should have never been done, nobody thought they’d ever do that. Actually, when I left, nobody thought that would happen. They get – they just went crazy. They’re bad people. They’re sick people. They’re the ones that committed all the crimes. We didn’t commit crimes. They committed all the crimes, there should be, I can’t tell you whether or not because I really I don’t have to stay uninvolved. I’m allowed to stay involved, but I purposely don’t get involved. I can say that they should be arrested.”

GOOD LORD: A general and an admiral turned down last-minute chances to keep Taliban out of Kabul.

A top U.S. general and a key U.S. rear admiral both turned down last-minute chances which potentially could have kept the Taliban out of Kabul during the August 2021 fiasco of evacuation from Afghanistan. General Frank McKenzie rejected a proposal from the Taliban to keep the enemy forces out of Kabul, while Rear Admiral Peter Vasely shot down an overture from allied Afghan commanders that may have saved the nation’s capital from the utter chaos that ensued.

McKenzie, the now-former commander of CENTCOM, held a mid-August 2021 meeting with Taliban leader Mullah Baradar in Doha, Qatar which would end with the Taliban taking control of Kabul and the U.S. relying upon the goodwill of Taliban fighters to provide security at the Kabul airport during the evacuation.

During that meeting, Baradar said the Taliban was willing to withdraw its forces from in and around Kabul and would let the U.S. send in as many troops as it wanted to secure the Afghan capital and conduct the U.S. evacuation free from Taliban interference, but McKenzie admits that he turned the offer down on the spot.

Neither McKenzie nor Vasely responded to Jerry Dunleavy’s requests for a comment.

FLORIDA MAN FRIDAY [VIP]: That’s a Gun in My Pants AND I’m Happy to See You. “It’s time for your much-needed break from the serious news, and this week, we’ll learn how to get the police’s attention with undo haste, the uncomfortable truth about freelance dentistry, and why Kentucky Woman is your next ex-girlfriend.”

MORE NUKES IS GOOD NUKES: America’s first modular nuclear reactor begins construction near Idaho lab.

The facility, called Aalo-X, is being built next to the Idaho National Laboratory’s Materials and Fuels Complex in Idaho Falls. Aalo expects to complete construction and reach criticality by July 4, 2026, a timeline the company says demonstrates the speed at which small, modular nuclear reactors can be deployed.

The groundbreaking comes just two weeks after the Department of Energy (DOE) selected Aalo to participate in President Trump’s Nuclear Reactor Pilot Program, announced in June 2025.

The initiative is designed to fast-track the testing and approval of next-generation nuclear designs outside of national labs, clearing a quicker path toward commercial deployment.

Would it be rude to add a “Faster, please,” anyway?

KURT WARNED THEM ABOUT THEIR NEW RULES, TIME AND TIME AGAIN:

RAGE FOR THE MACHINE: ‘Dark money’ group paying pro-Dem influencers up to $8K a month.

The “Chorus Creator Incubator Program” is said to be funded by the “Sixteen Thirty Fund,” a nonprofit sometimes portrayed as the left’s answer to the Koch network and which has funneled money to dozens of Democratic-friendly influencers, according to WIRED magazine.

The names attached to the program span some of the most recognizable liberal voices online.

They include Olivia Julianna, the Gen Z activist who spoke at the 2024 Democratic National Convention; Loren Piretra, a former Playboy executive turned Occupy Democrats YouTuber; and Barrett Adair, the content creator who runs a viral American Girl Doll–themed meme account.

Nice work if you can stomach it, I suppose.

SCARIER THAN TIM WALZ? Meet the Latest Gun-Totin’ Christian Democrat Who Has Republicans Running Scared! “Now, in the 2026 midterm elections, the left imagines it will win back normal men with their latest great white hope, Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand. Sand is running as a Democrat to replace retiring Gov. Kim Reynolds, a Republican who has held the office since 2017.”

INSURRECTION, STRAIGHT UP:

CIVIL RIGHTS UPDATE: Gun buyer licensing law giving some Colorado sheriffs heartburn.

Not enforcing it, [Weld County Sheriff Steve Reams] said, makes it harder on his constituents, not easier.

“If I ignore this and don’t issue these permits, I’m creating a bigger barrier for them to exercise their constitutional right to buy a gun,” Reams said. “I’m just trying to get out of the way. It is unconstitutional. But until someone sues, I can at least not be a roadblock. Sheriffs are squarely in the middle of a gun conflict that we didn’t ask to be in.”

Reams was referring to the steps added to purchase semi-automatic guns that accept detachable magazines, which amounts to a huge number of commonly owned handguns and rifles.

Hopeful buyers must first get fingerprinted to prove eligibility to own a gun, then taking that proof to the local sheriff, who then gives them a card that approves them to take a special class by a certified instructor (the details of which are not yet in place). Once the applicant passes that test, they will be put into a statewide database for five years, which gun dealers will then need to access to confirm the person is legally able to purchase the firearm.

However, the added workload and costs to sheriff’s offices across the state are what are of concern for many – but not all – sheriffs. Reams said at this point he’s planning to request two more full time employees to manage the increase. But those numbers are not guaranteed. He said it could be more.

“Weld County has 27,000 concealed-carry permit holders,” Reams said. “That keeps my front office staff busy enough as it is. My guess is there will be four to five times as many people who will want to exercise their right to take that class to go buy a gun.”

I imagine that underfunding/understaffing the required two-day class might prove to be another one of Denver’s infringements.

SCHLICHTER: Which Democrat Will Merge Into the 2028 Sane Lane?

What does the Sane Lane look like? Well, it looks a lot like the way we ended up with Bill Clinton. For those of you who weren’t around when Bill Clinton came out of nowhere in 1992 – he had been the governor of a southern state and was known primarily for giving the longest and most boring Democrat convention speech in history. He did it despite having a libido limited only by the angle of his Peyronie’s disease. He did it because he had some charisma, and he took the radical position that crime is bad and people should work instead of getting welfare.

Yes, at the time, most Democrats were saying the same kind of thing that the Democrats now are saying about crime and people working instead of being on welfare. They were for crime and against people working instead of being on welfare. But Bill Clinton understood that normal Americans did not see things that way.

Like Clinton in 1990, if there’s a “sane lane” Democrat for 2028, they might not be on many people’s radar yet.

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Democrats Want to Kill You If You Pray. “I’m now going to be carrying a gun to Mass every Sunday. It’s insane that we’ve gotten to this point, but the Democrats are, in fact, insane. People of faith have to protect ourselves from the Trump Derangement Syndrome psychosis that plagues the Democrats. As long as they are telling the faithful that violence is a valid response, every conservative is at risk.”

UPDATE (FROM GLENN):

THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC AREN’T THE MOATS THEY USED TO BE: