PARTY TIME, D.O.J. STYLE: Free Pizza, and a Dancing Loretta Lynch.
Author Archive: Stephen Green
November 4, 2016
THE NEXT REPUBLICAN AGENDA: How to strike a balance between populism and free enterprise.
That’s like trying to strike a balance between cancer and chemo.
RESET: Serbian FM Says Belgrade Plans To Sign Pact With Russian-Led Eurasian Economic Union.
Serbian Foreign Minister Ivica Dacic said Belgrade plans on signing an integrated agreement with the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU).
Dacic said during a visit to the Russia city of Suzdal on November 3 that Serbia has “free-trade-zone agreements with certain EAEU members, but they differ.”
He added that Belgrade is now planning to sign a common agreement good for all members of the EAEU.
Dacic said his government would work to find a “unification with all of these [separate] agreements [with individual EAEU members].”
Serbia has traditionally close ties to Russia but also hopes to become a member of the European Union.
And Moscow continues chipping away at Europe from every possible angle, no matter how small.
IN DA HOUSE:

This morning’s map from RealClearPolitics. If Florida flips, the count changes to 269-269 and then the madness begins.
CLINTON’S STATE DEPARTMENT: A RICO Enterprise.
Whatever the relevance of the new e-mails to the probe of Clinton’s classified-information transgressions and attempt to destroy thousands of emails, these offenses may pale in comparison with Hillary Clinton’s most audacious violations of law: Crimes that should still be under investigation; crimes that will, in fitting Watergate parlance, be a cancer on the presidency if she manages to win on November 8.
Mrs. Clinton appears to have converted the office of secretary of state into a racketeering enterprise. This would be a violation of the RICO law — the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act of 1971 (codified in the U.S. penal code at sections 1961 et seq.).
Hillary and her husband, former president Bill Clinton, operated the Clinton Foundation. Ostensibly a charity, the foundation was a de facto fraud scheme to monetize Hillary’s power as secretary of state (among other aspects of the Clintons’ political influence). The scheme involved (a) the exchange of political favors, access, and influence for millions of dollars in donations; (b) the circumvention of campaign-finance laws that prohibit political donations by foreign sources; (c) a vehicle for Mrs. Clinton to shield her State Department e-mail communications from public and congressional scrutiny while she and her husband exploited the fundraising potential of her position; and (d) a means for Clinton insiders to receive private-sector compensation and explore lucrative employment opportunities while drawing taxpayer-funded government salaries.
Read the whole thing.
CULTURE OF CORRUPTION: Senior Gov. Official Says Obama Made Quid Pro Quo Deal With FEC Commissioner.
“I believe it is improper for an FEC commissioner to be having a discussion and making deals with a sitting President, who is in essence the leader of the Democratic Party,” Hans von Spakovsky, a former FEC commissioner under President George W. Bush and currently a senior legal fellow at the Heritage Foundation, told TheDC. “Given the fact that the FEC commissioner everyday is dealing with cases that directly and indirectly effect that same political party.”
Von Spakosky added, “In my time as a commissioner I never had a single meeting with the president in the White House, and I would consider it wrong to do so because of the fact we handle so many matters involving his political party.”
Less than a month after her meeting with President Obama, [FEC Commissioner Ann] Ravel voted to dismiss an enforcement action against Obama and the Democratic National Committee for allegedly taking foreign money at a fundraiser.
Of course she did.
STRAIGHT-UP, HARD-HITTING REPORTING FROM THE LOS ANGELES TIMES: Bill Clinton, the natural, reaches out to voters in places that love Trump.
He seems to be enjoying every moment, every speck of attention, as he campaigns in battleground states for his wife, Hillary, who is seeking the presidency. Over two days last week, he visited six cities and towns in Ohio and Pennsylvania. He popped into universities, union halls, churches and auditoriums.
“They send me to where her opponent is strong,” he told a crowd of still-sleepy students one morning in Cleveland.
Onstage, sometimes he pauses, midsentence, and it seems like maybe he’s lost his thread. That can happen at the dawn of your eighth decade. But he’s just considering his next line, and he always finishes his thought.
He no longer fires up a crowd like the Obamas, undisputed rock stars of the Democratic campaign trail.
But he brings something to the race that the Obamas cannot: his white, working-class bona fides.
His working-class fides must be bona indeed, to command up to half a million dollars a speech.
HE GOT US OUT OF IRAQ: Army to Deploy 1,700 Paratroopers to Iraq.
For a short while, anyway.
CLAIM: Democratic Insiders Say Clinton’s ground game will sink Trump.
It’s 2016; anything can happen.
QUESTION ASKED: Has the US prepared for the day after a Mosul victory?
The US on Thursday reported that Iraqi troops, backed by US airpower and Special Forces, had stormed toward Mosul with unexpected speed. While that success is welcome, it is intensifying concerns that the US and its partners have not adequately prepared for the biggest challenge yet to come: finding a way to keep the peace in the city after two years of ISIS domination.
The battle is expected to lead to a major refugee exodus, a possible ISIS insurgency should fighters opt to blend in with the local population rather than flee or fight to the death, and power struggles among Mosul’s diverse ethnic, tribal and religious groups.
Some Western diplomats have privately voiced to CNN concern that not enough planning had been done in the run-up to the assault, even when it wasn’t ahead of schedule.
I wrote a couple weeks ago that “the eventual ‘peace’ between Kurdish, Turkish, and Iraqi forces could prove uglier” than the fight for Mosul — and that was before learning that Turkish President Recep Erdoğan was talking up a map showing Turkey in possession of the Kurdish areas of Iraq and Syria — including Mosul.
NATE SILVER: Why Clinton’s Position Is Worse Than Obama’s.
If Clinton lost New Hampshire but won her other firewall states, each candidate would finish with 269 electoral votes, taking the election to the House of Representatives. Or maybe not — if Clinton also lost the 2nd Congressional District of Maine, where polls show a tight race and where the demographics are unfavorable to her, Trump would win the Electoral College 270-268, probably despite losing the popular vote.
Couldn’t Clinton win Nevada to make up for the loss of New Hampshire? Or Florida? Or North Carolina? Well … of course she could. All those states remain highly competitive. The point, as we’ve said before, is just that Clinton’s so-called firewall is not very robust. If you’re only ahead in exactly enough states to win the Electoral College, and you’d lose if any one of them gets away, that’s less of a firewall and more of a rusting, chain-link fence.
To illustrate this, let’s compare Clinton’s current position in our polls-plus forecast1 — which gives her a 65 percent chance of winning the Electoral College — to FiveThirtyEight’s final election forecast in 2012, which gave President Obama a 91 percent chance. How could the model be so much more confident in Obama’s chances than in Clinton’s, even though we projected he’d win by 2.5 percentage points nationally and she’s ahead by 2.8? Part of it is because there are far more undecided and third-party voters this year, which could lead to a last-minute swing, or a polling error, and makes the model more cautious.
The answer is much simpler than Silver lets on.
Clinton is a terrible campaigner with a terrible record as Secretary of State and with no record as a Senator. She’s only gone as far as she has because of underhanded support from the MSM and the DNC, because the GOP nominated someone with similar weaknesses, and because she inherited the Obama machine’s impressive digital tools.
Take those away and the Democrats would be looking at a Dukakis-size loss on Tuesday.
HOLLYWOOD NOCTURNE: Chris Pine Is the Worst Co-Worker Ever (and Also a Republican Congressman) in the New Joss Whedon Video.
It can’t be as disappointing as last summer’s Star Trek Beyond.
THE END OF KEMAL’S DREAM: Murder of Women in Turkey Skyrocketing as Country Islamicizes.
November 3, 2016
SKYNET SMILES: Microsoft’s HoloLens could power tanks on a battlefield.
IF WE’RE GETTING NIXON II, WE MIGHT AS WELL GET SATURDAY NIGHT MASSACRE II: Yes, the President May Fire the FBI Director.
TIGHTEN UP: GOP internal polling in New Hampshire also shows sharp movement towards Trump.
The big news in this report is the redshift going on in Colorado and New Hampshire, both of which we talked about in yesterday’s probably-no-longer-final edition of Wargaming the Electoral College.
REGULATORY CAPTURE: Global tobacco treaty leaders propose ejecting delegates with ties to industry.
The proposed restriction highlights a growing battle between the industry and backers of the treaty, which went into effect in 2005 to guide national laws and policies in an effort to curb tobacco use, which kills an estimated 6 million people a year worldwide.
The global tobacco industry is estimated to be worth nearly US$800 billion this year.
The International Tobacco Growers Association, a nonprofit group partly funded by big international cigarette companies, said the proposal was “beyond the wildest imagination”.
António Abrunhosa, chief executive of the group and a Portuguese tobacco grower, said in an email to Reuters that such a step was “unthinkable for a United Nations agency”.
We have wars on tobacco, drugs, poverty, terrorism — and we aren’t winning any of them.
NEWS YOU CAN USE: Here’s how the impending ObamaCare disaster affects you.
Insured through work? The law forces employers to provide a one-size-fits-all benefits package costing much more than pre-ObamaCare coverage. The law also imposes a slew of new taxes. No surprise, employers are offsetting these costs by raising deductibles and reducing family coverage. In 2017, many companies will eliminate insurance for spouses.
Working part-time? Hundreds of thousands of workers have had their hours cut because ObamaCare requires employers to cover full-time employees, meaning those working 30 hours a week or more. Ironically, colleges, where Democrats outnumber Republicans, are major culprits, slashing hours for adjuncts and student workers to evade providing insurance.
Job-hunting? ObamaCare dampens the job market. In New York, 17 percent of service companies and 21 percent of manufacturers are reducing their workforces to stay below 50 full-time workers and dodge the employer mandate, according to the New York Federal Reserve.
Sixty-five or older? ObamaCare awards bonus points to hospitals that spend the least per senior. Researchers found that at 231 hospitals getting bonuses for low spending, seniors died needlessly because of inadequate care. For example, seniors having heart attacks were forced to wait too long for angioplasties and died before they could get the procedure.
More at the link.
CULTURE OF CORRUPTION:
Proof that Hillary got the exact question after it was stolen for her by Donna Brazile. #PodestaEmails27 pic.twitter.com/JAyEGAidqJ
— Paul Joseph Watson (@PrisonPlanet) November 3, 2016
How out of it is a candidate who requires a heads-up on a softball “explain to us your wonderful position” question?
WHAT CLINTONWORLD THINKS ABOUT THE LATEST ABEDIN-WEINER SCANDAL: “If Weiner hadn’t taken pictures of his weiner, we wouldn’t be in this thing.”
More:
Despite her absence on the trail, Clinton is unlikely to abandon Abedin, who separated from Weiner earlier this year after his most recent sexting scandal erupted. “She’s clearly a daughter to Hillary,” the top adviser told me, before continuing, “Don’t trust anyone who tells you they know what’s going on in Huma’s head or about her relationship to the campaign. I have no doubt she is very much pivotal to Hillary and pivotal to the campaign. She is still very close to Hillary, and in in many ways she is a victim, too. You can say she had a lack of judgment, but she’s a victim, too.”
“Bottom line to the whole discussion,” he said, is that the Clinton camp views “Anthony as a very sick, disturbed person, and people are absolutely fed up with the drama and the headache and the sloppiness.”
Long before Abedin hitched her wagon to the Weiner Sexting Machine, the Democrats hitched theirs to the Clinton Scandal Machine.
HOW “CONVENIENT.” Sources: 99 percent chance foreign intel agencies breached Clinton server.
The revelation led House Homeland Security Committee Chairman Michael McCaul to describe Clinton’s handling of her email system during her tenure as secretary of state as “treason.”
“She exposed [information] to our enemies,” McCaul said on “Fox & Friends” Thursday morning. “Our adversaries have this very sensitive information. … In my opinion, quite frankly, it’s treason.”
McCaul, R-Texas, said that FBI Director James Comey told him previously that foreign adversaries likely had gotten into her server. When Comey publicly discussed the Clinton email case back in July, he also said that while there was no evidence hostile actors breached the server, it was “possible” they had gained access.
I’m no “source,” but I’ve been saying the same thing since the middle of 2015.
BLOXIT UPDATE FROM MICHAEL WALSH:
The Ruling Class does not take lightly any challenge to its dictatorial authority. As long as peasants can amuse themselves with the trappings of democracy, but don’t do any real damage to the “European Project,” it’s content. But let the unwashed chuck a spanner in the works, then look out.
The same could be said of the Hopenchange Project.
UPDATE: Sorry, forgot the link — fixed!