Author Archive: Stephen Green

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEF: Burn Commie Academia to the Ground. “The current environment was created by an academic class that’s grown fat, rich and free all the while demonizing the very economic system and country that has allowed them to do so. They spawn people like Elizabeth Warren, a pathological liar who vilifies wealthy people whilst sitting on top of a $12 million net worth.”

DELUSIONS OF GLANDEUR: Why Elizabeth Warren is staying in the race.

Pressure is mounting on Warren to drop out as well, but so far, she seems determined to stick with it, though it’s unclear how her performance on Super Tuesday, including a third-place finish in her home state of Massachusetts, may change her calculation. Warren’s campaign rolled out a lengthy memo over the weekend about her plans to continue throughout the spring and summer.

What Warren deciding to stay in the race means isn’t as clear-cut as you might think — voters aren’t super-ideological, and Sanders isn’t all of her supporters’ second choice, nor are all the Buttigieg and Klobuchar backers going to go to Biden.

“Possibly the biggest beneficiary of Pete and Amy suspending their campaigns is Elizabeth Warren,” said Adam Green, co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, which backs Warren. “She, in general, was people’s first or second choice, but she was also particularly Amy and Pete [voters’] second choice.”

And yet, she hasn’t placed as high as second anywhere.

MEANWHILE, OVER AT VODKAPUNDIT: After Action Report: Super Tuesday’s Lessons.

South Carolina voted just five days ago. The week prior — the date I’ve highlighted on the chart — polls seemed to confirm that Biden’s longterm decline in SC had accelerated, maybe into a collapse. Meanwhile, Sanders had been inching up for months. By February 21, the two candidates were in a statistical tie.

But that’s not what happened on primary day, not by a longshot. The final result was that Biden did slightly better than his best poll numbers during the entire race, all the way back in November. Texas tells a similar story. In polls there, Biden appeared as though his campaign had stumbled like the Three Stooges trying to walk across a field full of rakes. And yet, he won convincingly on primary day.

Forecasting guru Harry Enten tweeted that the move to Biden in the hours — mere hours — before Super Tuesday was triple the normal bounce after a big win like South Carolina.

Much more at the link, but this one is just for our VIP members. The VODKAPUNDIT promo code will still get you a discount, if you’ve been thinking of joining.

My regular column is coming up later this afternoon, but last night’s drunkblog on top of the dreaded CPAC CPLAGUE led to a slow start.

COLORADO: Inmate’s filing of red flag petition shows issues with law.

Weld County Sheriff Steve Reams has been one of the most vocal critics against red flag laws since Colorado legislators started considering one in 2019.

When he learned an inmate in the Weld County Jail used the law to ask a judge to remove weapons from Reams and a unit in the jail, he was frustrated to see it being abused in the ways against which he warned.

Sometimes it sucks to be right.