Author Archive: Stephen Green

LET’S GET BACK TO WORK: Wall Street Explains Why Despite A “Second Wave” In COVID Cases, Deaths Have Barely Budged.

Picking up on this point at a time when many countries in Europe are suffering from a second wave of covid infections (as shown in the chart above) DB’s Jim Reid writes that “in recent days and weeks, concern has risen that Europe could be at the beginning of a second wave of the pandemic.” He adds that just in his native UK “the number of confirmed cases rose by 2,988 yesterday, which was the largest daily increase since May 22.”

Yet noting the point brought up by Goldman above, Reid then counters that even as case numbers have risen, “hospitalizations and deaths have thankfully not.”

A key reason for this – as we first discussed in July in “The Under-40s Dilemma” – is that it’s now younger people who are more likely to get the virus.

As Reid points out, while most of this evidence has been anecdotal across the world the attached chart from Public Health England provides some telling statistics: back at the peak of the pandemic in late March, 61% of the confirmed cases were among those over 60. But they now make up just 11% of cases. For over 80 year olds it’s dropped from 28% to 3%. For those under 40 it’s the reverse picture with cases increasing from 14% to 67% of the total.

By and large, COVID doesn’t kill under-40s.

YOU’RE GONNA NEED A BIGGER BLOG: 6 Reasons Why the Oscar Diversity Rules Are a Total Disaster. “Imagine the hoops future productions will jump through to meet all the necessary quotas. The average film production must juggle dozens of precarious elements as is, from casting the right stars to raising the necessary funds. Other factors include on-set creative differences, marketing strategies and release date consideration.”

MINNEAPOLIS: Cold Feet On Police Defunding? “It turns out that Minneapolis City Council is incompetent as well as insane.”

Harsh, but fair.

VODKAPUNDIT PRESENTS YOUR DAILY INSANITY WRAP: Antifa/BLM Launch ‘Bring Your Daughter to Riot Day.’

Insanity Wrap needs to know: What kind of parent brings their small children to a riot?

Answer: One who thinks indoctrination is more important than their child’s safety and wellbeing.

Before we get to the sordid details, a quick preview of today’s Wrap.

Is Portland finally getting serious about prosecuting rioters?

ABC News says mostly peaceful protests are still mostly peaceful even when they’re somewhat murderous riots.

Joe Biden has been sniffing the gaslight.

And so much more at the link, you’d have to be crazy to miss it.

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEF: Democrats Keep Letting BLM Rage Mob Ruin Police Careers. “The anti-police sentiment in cities run by Democrats is getting worse by the day. Those of us who write about this stuff all the time have been speculating for months about how many law enforcement officers would be leaving the profession altogether because of this crap. As we saw in Seattle, cops are getting abandoned and thrown under the bus by progressive loon politicians who would rather side with rioters than law enforcement.”

DECOUPLING: Samsung reportedly cutting off chip sales to Huawei. “Samsung and SK Hynix will reportedly stop selling components to Huawei as the Trump administration tightens sanctions on the Chinese phone maker. According to Chosun Ilbo and other Korean news outlets, the companies will suspend trade on September 15th, the day a new set of rules limits dealing with Huawei.”

Related? Huawei planning to produce far fewer phones in 2021. “This is a 74% drop compared to projected shipments in 2020.”

IT’S GOOD TO BE THE NOMENKLATURA: Biden Surrogate Builds Wall, Makes Michigan Taxpayers Pay For It. “Gov. Gretchen Whitmer has long questioned the effectiveness of physical barriers, but is asking Michigan taxpayers to foot the bill for a seven-figure project to keep out uninvited guests.”

NEWS YOU CAN USE: Your Definitive Guide to Understanding Polling (and Why Most Polls Are Garbage). “When reviewing polls in 2016, I came across bad poll after bad poll as a result of oversampling problems as well as push-poll lines of questions or questions that are framed in a way to influence the way someone answers. For instance, if a polling firm asked a question ‘Do you agree with Joe Biden’s call for all Americans to unite?’, it doesn’t leave any room for someone saying they disagree with the premise of the question, that is, Joe Biden even having that ability in the first place. Another example of a push poll question is ‘Do you support Donald Trump’s divisive rhetoric?’ Maybe the respondent doesn’t believe Trump’s rhetoric is divisive. Maybe the respondent thinks the Democrats’ rhetoric is divisive. Either way, a respondent is less likely to respond in the affirmative to supporting divisive rhetoric and therefore would lead to a skewing of the results.”

Read the whole thing.