Author Archive: Stephen Green

SCOTT MCCAY: The Polls, or the Fundamentals?

We don’t really need to go back through all of the double-digit leads Hillary Clinton had on Trump, and the alleged mathematical certainties of a Hillary win and so on. Everybody knows the pollsters blew it then.

What’s different now? Anything?

Not really. Not fundamentally.

There were shy Trump voters in 2016 that pollsters couldn’t pick up. There are just as many now. Probably more — if anything the Left has been more oppressive and more fearsome in its attempts to shame and disparage Trump voters where it can. Deranged Democrats are recording themselves vandalizing Trump signs, some even on private property. Cars with Trump bumper stickers get keyed. People attack strangers for wearing MAGA hats.

What we found out in 2016 is those tactics don’t persuade people not to vote for Trump. Such tactics drive those votes underground, and they resurface in the secrecy of the voting booth. There is no penalty for straight-up lying to a pollster, at least not yet.

In 2016 it was Hillary Clinton calling those voters deplorables. This year it’s Antifa beating them up in the streets.

Do you not think Trump’s voters are even more shy than they were before?

Enthusiasm is if anything even greater than it was in 2016 among uncloseted Trump voters, but for quieter voters, genuine physical fear of being outed as a Trump voter must be greater than it was four years ago.

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEF: Veep Debate Was a Painfully Boring Overcorrection. “So much for what I wrote yesterday about the 2020 vice-presidential debate being one to actually look forward to. You’d think after 2016 I would have learned to stop making any predictions about politics. It’s a good thing I’m not a gambler, I’d be eating dry ramen for every meal.”

WHAT COULD GO WRONG? Denver City Council approves delivery fee cap.

Denver City Council voted unanimously Monday night to cap delivery fees that restaurants pay to third party services like Door Dash and Uber Eats.

The cap is 15 percent. The ordinance aims to help struggling restaurants in the midst of a pandemic.

The ordinance, which would apply for four months, would also require that 100 percent of tips go to the delivery driver, and that driver pay not be reduced in an effort to make up for the commission cap. Restaurants would also have to opt in to appear on the third-party ordering websites.

Pro Tip: Always tip your drivers cash.

As for the rest, reduced delivery options for the very people the Denver City Council is trying to help will be met with plenty of unexpectedlies.

ANALYSIS: TRUE. Hyper-political Hollywood gives us little reason to return to theaters.

Twitter isn’t real life, but chances are the cacophony of vile, divisive messages coming from Celebrity Nation seeped into the national consciousness.

It’s one thing to swallow hard and watch a new Samuel L. Jackson film at home. It’s another to snag a sitter and/or fork over $30-plus for a Jackson movie knowing he just insulted anyone voting Trump on “Jimmy Kimmel Live.”

Think that sentiment isn’t a factor in the anemic box office receipts we’re seeing these days?

Stars got hyper-political, and nasty, at the worst possible time. The theatrical model is on life support thanks to COVID, and media outlets which have scared us silly by downplaying hopeful news and exaggerating terrifying tidbits.

Will anyone be itching to pay $15 for an overhyped sequel coming Spring time, knowing they can watch it on their big-screen TV in a few weeks?

Christian Toto, so read the whole thing.