Poll Madness on the Hugh Hewitt Show: Qunnipiac’s own Peter Brown admitted to me on August 2 that a 9 point Democrat turnout advantage “is probably unlikely,” but his latest poll didn’t correct for this absurd sample, which still has 9 point Democratic turnout advantages in their Ohio and Florida numbers and 11 points in Pennsylvania. So, like Zogby, Strategic Vision and the Minnesota Poll before them, Quinnipiac seems destined for the heap of ruined reputations when Ds and Rs vote in roughly equal numbers on November 6. The lefties out in defense of Quinnipiac were the same ones who were loving on the exit polls on Election Day 2004, and on the Research 2000 ginned up for Kos or the Strategic Vision polls of questionable validity. If pollsters cannot defend their sample, the warning flag is out. Stick with gallup and Rasmussen.
Author Archive: Sarah Hoyt
September 26, 2012
The New Media creates new paths to success. Randall Monroe of XKCD fame is one of the people who made it in an improbable way and this interview with him is fascinating. Personally, I read XKCD to avoid my kids disowning me. (Yes, we’re an enormously geeky family.)
A universal striving towards freedom. Oh, okay, fine. That’s an excuse to post it. (Though the point could be made.) It’s a cool article, about ants.
Everything you wanted to know about elections but were really, really really afraid to ask. And if you’re not afraid you should be, because this is a piece by Frank J. Flemming. Swallow whatever you have in your mouth, then read. You’ve been warned. We’re not responsible for sprayed monitors or damage done to nasal passages by hot coffee.
Jay Cost: Yes, Most Polls (The Ones The Media Prefers) Are Giving Obama a Phantom 3-4 Point Edge — from Ace of Spades. Read the whole thing and pay particular attention to what Ace says:
I fret myself. I feel like I’m on tenterhooks. I want Romney to break big so I can relax.
I think a lot of us have this bubbling frustration and anxiety, and we wind up blaming Romney for not just winning this already.
Pay attention to it because I’m starting to get snarky at the backseat campaign driving in blog comments. And no one wants me to get snarky.
Broke is broke. In Spain or here, the consequences can only be avoided so long. Aid will only delay the reckoning. And the reckoning always has to get paid in the end.
When you’ve got nothing else, you run a dirty “whisper and rumor” campaign. Don’t let them get away with it.
Finally, a weight loss plan I can get behind!
September 25, 2012
If you have a choice, work for the capitalist
And… a good reason to vote for Romney.
All those of you who want Romney to attack, note what happens when he so much as makes a joke.
No Jewish People Without Israel. Something to ponder as Israel becomes just “one of our allies in the region” to the current administration.
September 24, 2012
Wasted food, hungry kids, aka the wonders of central planning.
It’s a miracle! Like Ace of Spades, I no longer know what to say.
YOO-HOO, ANTIQUE MEDIA: You figured out yet that everything the White House told you about Benghazi was a lie? Including a and the.
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! Not the Bacon! Take the electricity, take the oil, but NOT the bacon!
The Fantasy House Of Barrack Obama let’s send him to play house elsewhere….
My friend Larry Correia’s Monster Hunter Legion is out. Larry coined the phrase “If a vampire sparkles, he’d better be on fire” and Larry’s books are JUST fun.
September 23, 2012
Just when you find the perfect presidential candidate, you find he’s foreign born!
Obama can’t close the sale. (Possibly because the wheels are coming off the bus.)