PAKISTANI HONEY TRAPS FOR INDIAN ARMY SOLDIERS: A sordid tale of a “classic espionage technique that has adapted to the Internet Age.”

Sample:

The Pakistanis have been very creative in their use of honey-traps. This was demonstrated in early 2018 when a female Pakistani agent called an Indian army staff officer serving in the headquarters of a unit stationed in northern India. The Pakistan spy said she was from the Army Wives Welfare Association but was informed that the officer she wanted was away from the office. Her call was transferred to a 25-year-old corporal. The Pakistani agent found the corporal suitable for entrapment and during their brief phone call persuaded him to contact her via her Internet accounts on WhatsApp and Instagram to continue their conversation. That was how the Pakistani agent “developed” the corporal as a provider of information on Indian army troop movements.

Indian military intelligence was, by then, well aware of how these Pakistani “honey traps” worked and knew what signs to look for. Soon the Indian counterintelligence operatives were monitoring the corporals’ activities and did so for over five months before making an arrest. None of the information the corporal passed on was of high value so Indian intelligence was apparently hoping to gather more information on this female Pakistani agent and what kinds of tradecraft (techniques) the Pakistanis were currently using.

Yes, virtual sex and violence.

A VOLCANO WITH AN INSTANT MINEFIELD ON THE SIDE: A 25th Infantry Division UH-60 Black Hawk conducts Volcano minefield system training at Makua Range, Hawaii. The dispenser system gives soldiers a scatterable mine capability that can be mounted on a helicopter or land vehicle. The system can rapidly lay up to 960 anti-tank (AT) mines. Anti-personnel mines can be mixed with the AT mines. In the photo the M139 Volcano Mine Dispenser is mounted on the sides of the aircraft. The helicopter is approaching the target area. The Army placed the Volcano in “storage” in 2001 but brought the system back in 2017.

ETHIOPIA AND EGYPT WAGE SLOW WAR OVER NILE RIVER WATER RIGHTS: Whiskey’s for drinking. Water’s for fighting. When it comes to the world’s longest river, there’s a lot of water to fight about.

Human survival, individual and societal, requires water. Just ask Egyptians. At least 7,000 years of life on the Nile has proven the adage “Egypt is the Nile” to be true. From Aswan north to Alexandria, the green band bordering the great river is home to 90% of Egypt’s population.

Twenty-first-century Egypt still confronts pharaoh-era East African geographic and climactic facts. Egypt gets 80% to 90% of its annual water needs from the Nile.

Egypt and Ethiopia have been confronting each other for well over a decade, as Ethiopia built the GERD, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. The GERD now dams “the Blue Nile River near the Sudan border. This month, Ethiopia began filling the dam’s reservoir, which could ultimately hold 75 billion cubic meters of water.”

The column discusses the water conflict and a framework for resolving it.

ROCKETS AWAY: An AH-64 Apache fires rockets downrange during aerial gunnery tables at Grafenwoehr, Germany.

SITTING PRETTY IN THE BALABAC STRAIT: Aircraft assigned to the carrier USS Nimitz wait on the flight deck. Balabac Strait? Glad you asked. The Balabac Strait connects the Sulu Sea to the South China Sea. The strait passes between a Filipino island and several small Malaysian islands just north of Borneo. This column discusses the “strengthened” American policy in the South China Sea U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo announced last week.

AHOY, ALL INSTA-COMMENTERS WHO THINK THE U.S. NAVY COMMAND STRUCTURE AND TRAINING REGIMEN IS LOUSY: The latest StrategyPage Leadership post – China Cripples Naval Officers.

When dealing with Chinese navy or coast guard ships, foreign naval commanders have learned to take into account the dual command structure of Chinese crews. In effect, Chinese warships except for smaller (less than 2,000 tons) ones, have dual commanders and a naval command system that is more premeditated and slower to respond to unexpected conditions.

This comes as a surprise to many Western naval officers. Although the Chinese military has achieved many visible signs of modernizing, like new weapons, equipment, uniforms, tactics and officer training, it is still having problems in several key areas. When it comes to leadership there are problems with the political officers.

More:

There’s another leadership problem China has to deal with, a problem similar to the one that seriously hurt Japan’s effort against the United States during World War II. This is the fact that the Japanese Army then, like the Chinese Army now, is the senior service to the extent that generals can overrule admirals and generally interfere in navy matters that the army generals really know little about. This is already causing China problems and there is no solution in sight. This is particularly true when it comes to joint training. In wartime, this “army runs the show” sort of thing is a serious problem, just read any history that covers the Japanese army and navy relationships during World War II.

A military problem? Sure, but an insight into Communist China’s deep political and social problems. Yes, it mentions the Soviet Union’s problems with political officers in military organizations. StrategyPage Editor Jim Dunnigan wrote the analysis and it’s well worth reading.

COMBATANT CRAFT IN THE MED: Two USN combatant craft medium (CCM) operate in the Mediterranean Sea near the amphibious transport dock ship USS New York. Photo taken June 18, 2020. From June 2019, a Naval Special Boat Team CCM conducts a patrol during a U.S. Special Operations Command multi-nation exercise in the Black Sea. The second photo shows the boat from a side angle. From February 2019, an article discussing the Navy’s renewed interest in coastal patrol boats and small combat craft. Here’s a photo of a Cyclone-class coastal patrol boat, the USS Thunderbolt. It is really a small warship, huge in comparison to the CCM.

UPDATE: Second link fixed. Thanks.

VIPER FLYOVER: The commander of the USAF’s F-16 Viper Demonstration Team performs a dedication pass over Shaw Air Force Base, S.C. Photo taken July 16, 2020.

REFURBISHING IRAN’S FAKE NIMITZ CARRIER: The story of a target barge used for target practice and propaganda photos.

Iran has repaired its six-year-old replica of an American Nimitz Class aircraft carrier. Originally built in 2013-15, the unpowered mockup of the Nimitz hull and flight deck which also had several replicas of American carrier aircraft on the deck. The target barge was built using the materials technology used to build the many Iranian off-shore oil platforms. In short, there was a shell with a metal lattice underneath. Parts of the outer shell could burn, but basically the target barge was built to survive a lot of hit from missiles and bombs, remain afloat and be towed back to port.

The article’s a chuckle.

HONORING THE FALLEN: While flying over Joint Base Charleston, S.C., airmen in a C-17 display the American flag in honor of 1st Lt. David Schmitz, a 77th Fighter Squadron pilot. Two F-16 Fighting Falcons trail the C-17. Schmitz was recently killed in an F-16 crash at Shaw AFB. Photo taken July 4.

RUSSIANS SELLING OUT TO CHINA: StrategyPage discusses reports of Chinese spying in Russia. The bottom line is that money buys secrets. But then China has been doing that in the U.S., too, hasn’t it? China’s pervasive spying and buying targets American creativity.

FIGHTING THE BONHOMME RICHARD FIRE: Another Navy photo taken July 12. This one shows a line of fireboats operating at Naval Base San Diego.

FROM THE AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE: China’s global investment vanishes under Covid-19. That’s the title of the study.

A key point:

As expected given COVID-19, China’s construction and, especially, investment around the world plunged in the first half of 2020. The decline may be exaggerated by Chinese firms not wanting to report global activity, but Beijing’s happy numbers are not credible.

Another:

The data show decline in the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) global activity predates the pandemic. Activity peaked in 2016–17. The peak was an unsustainable drain on China’s foreign currency reserves, and Beijing belatedly tightened controls on capital outflow.2 A second blow, starting in 2018, stemmed from growing foreign doubts about benefits of Chinese investment.3 This trend is evident in both CGIT and government numbers.

The CGIT stands for China Global Investment Tracker, an analytic tool used by the American Enterprise Institute and the Heritage Foundation.

A slice from the 12-page long pdf:

Beijing recognized in 2017 that it did not have the money to buy all it wanted. A foreign exchange squeeze has limited and will continue to limit China’s global investment and construction. Foreign currency holdings remain the highest in the world yet are also insecure. Reserves hit $4 trillion in spring 2014 but tested $3 trillion lows in early 2017 and have held steady near $3.1 trillion since (say official data). This is why tight controls on out-bound capital were imposed and remain in place. Foreign exchange is required because no one wants the RMB. Its share in global reserves is 2 percent, not far ahead of the Canadian dollar. A steady $3 trillion is more than enough to cover basic import needs, but not enough for constant acquisitions in developed economies and engineering projects in more than 140 developing economies. Over the past few years, Beijing’s choice about where to concentrate its reduced resources was preempted by first the US and then other rich countries. Most of the developed world has become more hostile to Chinese enterprises, a hostility the COVID-19 outbreak is almost certain to intensify.

Economic push back — and so richly deserved.

RELATED: When the Chinese Communist Party declared war on international order. (bumped)

AMERICA MOVES TO PROTECT THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FROM COMMUNIST CHINA: This week the U.S. made it clear it is prepared to stop Communist China’s slow invasion of the South China Sea.

Four years ago this week, the Chinese Communist Party declared war on international order in the form of a blunt rejection.

On July 12, 2016, The Hague’s international arbitral tribunal, relying on the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea treaty (UNCLOS), issued a ruling supporting the Philippines’ claims that China had violated Filipino territory in the South China Sea by seizing islets and “sea features.” China had also plundered resources in the Philippines’ maritime Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ).

Despite having signed the sea treaty (which meant accepting the arbitration process), the Chinese government callously ignored the verdict and disdained the court’s authority.

More:

China’s blunt rejection of the decision stunned the Filipino government and alerted other nations on the Pacific Rim. The Beijing regime not only broke a major treaty it had ratified but also openly maligned legal procedures created to promote peaceful resolution of international disputes. Beijing’s thuggish rebuke sent the message that Chinese whim backed by China’s enormous military and economic power determined sovereignty in the South China Sea.

Even more:

Reneging on treaties, spurning just verdicts and, of course, seizing territory without suffering severe consequences tells China’s leaders that its opponents are weak and lack the will to resist. Undermining, co-opting and ultimately dominating global diplomatic and economic institutions; public and private organizations; and methods of interaction is another CCP goal. Revealing weakness forwards this line of operation.

And:

On July 13, 2020, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced a “strengthened” U.S. policy in the South China Sea that specifically aligns American policy with the tribunal’s decision. “Beijing’s claims to offshore resources across most of the South China Sea are completely unlawful, as is its campaign of bullying to control them,” Pompeo said.

For the wind up, read the entire column.

RELATED: The South China Morning Post comments on America’s new policy. Take it as another indicator the SCMP is becoming another Beijing mouthpiece.

VERY RELATED: A U.S. Navy photo taken July 2.

USS BONHOMME RICHARD IN FLAMES: This is a photo taken July 12 showing the fire aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Bonhomme Richard. The smoke is indicative of the extent of the fire and the damage.

RELATED: Why ship fires can be difficult to control.

A MODEST SWAMP DRAINING PROPOSAL: From John Hinderaker at Powerline, a quick look at Great Britain’s emerging plans to disperse “some government offices Northward and away from London.” He mentions a law partner of his once “wrote an op-ed in the Minneapolis Star Tribune, arguing that we should disperse federal agencies around the country rather than centralizing them in Washington.” The post is well worth reading. John doesn’t say how many years ago his friend wrote the essay, but the moving the headquarters of federal agencies from Washington, DC to cities in “fly over” country has been around quite awhile. I first heard it mentioned in the late 1960s. If I recall correctly, the advocate said Kansas was an ideal place for the Department of Agriculture.

TRYING TO SAVE THE BONNIE: An MH-60S Sea Hawk helicopter combats a fire aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Bonhomme Richard.

THE HAGUE COURT’S 2016 DECISION EXPOSED COMMUNIST CHINA’S PREDATORY WAR ON WORLD ORDER:

Four years ago this week, the Chinese Communist Party declared war on international order in the form of a blunt rejection.

My latest Creators Syndicate column.

SOF INSERTION BY HELOCAST: A photo depicting a tactic that, in non-combat circumstances, looks like fun if you know how to swim and can handle the rotorwash. From the DOD caption: “A Green Beret assigned to 1st Special Forces Group (Airborne) helocasts into American Lake from a CH-47 Chinook helicopter at Joint Base Lewis-McChord, Washington, June 30, 2020. A helocast is an airborne technique that allows Special Operation forces to insert into an area by jumping directly from a helicopter into water.” This photo shows a helocast event from 2019— an event in the annual U.S. Army Reserve Best Warrior Competition. From 2006, 1st Force Recon Company Marines helocasting off the Hawaiian coast— note the caption hyphenates the term. In the 2006 exercise the Marines then swam 750 meters.

A LESSON FROM SOUTHERN AFRICA IN OBSERVING CONSTITUTIONAL PROCESS: Malawi shows the world wow to fix a crooked election, avoid anarchy and keep the peace. It’s a complex story, with twists and turns. But the thugs fail to intimidate — and they lose. (bumped)

DIVER PROPULSION DEVICE: U.S. Marines with Force Reconnaissance Company, 3rd Reconnaissance Battalion, 3rd Marine Division, complete an open circuit dive during a Diver Propulsion Device certification course at Camp Schwab, Okinawa, Japan. Photo taken June 23, 2020.

PARANOIA CENTRAL: A detailed post discussing North Korea’s new three-year long intelligence course for international information warfare specialists. Indeed, an Information Warfare major for North Korean spies offered by the Mangyongdae Revolutionary Academy.

The post also discusses specialized training for agents operating in foreign countries:

These agents are trained to hunt down high-level defectors in foreign countries and either arrange to kill the defector or at least find out how the defector is doing, how many secrets they have divulged and, if possible, persuade the defector to shut up or even return to North Korea.

To accomplish this “defector remediation” task the Mangyongdae students are taught the latest hacking techniques and what tools and mercenary hackers are available in the hacker underground and how to deal with the tools, and the mercs, to put together specialized efforts to track down defectors and monitor them.

The entire post’s worth reading.

HERITAGE FLIGHT PRACTICE: An A-10 Thunderbolt II, F-35 Lightning II and a P-51 Mustang, practice formation flying for a heritage flight during the upcoming Cedar Creek Lake Air Show. The air show took place July 3 at Cedar Creek Lake, Texas.