THIS IS NO SURPRISE:
Another "fun" detail from today's Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel meeting concerning the ISS. If the space station's lifetime is extended from 2030 to 2032, it is likely the US Deorbit Vehicle (a modified Dragon spacecraft) would launch on a non-Falcon rocket.
— Eric Berger (@SciGuySpace) October 22, 2026
Not only is SpaceX retiring Falcon 9, but the overwhelming majority Starship launches will likely be devoted to in-house Starlink and Starmind deployments.