2026 PREVIEW: The Canaries in the Coalmine: In Just 63 Days, We’ll Know If the GOP Will Win the 2026 Midterms. “If the GOP wins either Virginia or New Jersey, it will likely mean that the national realignment is still ongoing, and the Republicans are still on the upswing. That, coupled with the Democrats’ disastrous brand identity, would give the GOP a solid 50%-50% shot at winning the midterms and keeping the House.”