CYNICAL PUBLIUS: The Trump Doctrine (aka the Businessman’s Way of War).
As the dust and smoke settle over Iran’s devastated nuclear weapons program, President Donald Trump’s method of waging war is coming into focus. We had hints of what I call the “Trump Doctrine” in his first term as he annihilated ISIS in Syria, but the two-decade war in Afghanistan that he had inherited initially obscured what has now become a coherent doctrine. In his second term, the freedom of navigation attacks against Yemen’s Houthis were once again a hint of Trump’s way of war, but Saturday’s attack on Iran—and the events leading up to it—tell us much about the deliberate and precise manner in which Trump seeks to conduct American wars. Similar to (but different from) the famous “Powell Doctrine” promulgated by former Secretary of State Colin Powell (more on that later), the Trump Doctrine is the doctrine of a businessman serving his stockholders. Explained another way, the Trump Doctrine is the “Businessman’s Way of War.”
To preview succinctly, the Trump Doctrine consists of a series of business-like, iterative steps for all uses of American military force, and it performs as follows:
1. Identify America’s national interest.
2. Bargain with the prospective enemy.
3. If/when negotiations fail, conceal & misdirect.
4. Strike with precision and overwhelming force.
5. Achieve submission.
6. Bargain again (from a position of complete strength) with the defeated enemy.
I’ll now examine each of these escalating steps in detail.
After breaking Trump’s ceasefire, Iran apparently has a way to go before reaching 5.
And do read the whole thing.