QUESTION ASKED AND ANSWERED: GOP Seizes Senate — But What About the House?

Right now, the GOP has a possible range of 52-55 Senate seats, and a probable range of 53-54. That’s a good night for Republicans, although perhaps a bit disappointing given Donald Trump’s apparent popular-vote victory.

That brings us to the House, where … nothing much has changed at all. Republicans went into last night with a narrow 0.3-point lead in the generic ballot in RCP’s aggregation. Anything better than a D+5 usually signals a shift of a significant number of seats to the GOP. And yet, in an environment where the House is as evenly split as any in recent history, we still didn’t see a red wave to match Trump’s momentum. CNN reports a net 5-seat gain for the GOP; our partners at DecisionDesk HQ put it at two. A number of races are still left to be resolved, and Republicans lead in most of them — but those are in GOP-held districts.

Politico reports this morning that Republicans are “bullish” on maintaining their majority in the House, but it’s gonna be close[.]

Ed Morrissey’s post from 11:20 am this morning included a tweet quoting Decision Desk HQ stating that there was a “79.4% probability of GOP control” of the next Congress. Those numbers have significantly improved: