JAY COST ASKS, ARE THE POLLS BIASED AGAINST TRUMP?

It’s also important to keep in mind the perspective of scale. Barack Obama’s rallies filled whole stadiums in 2008, but he still won a smaller share of the vote than George H.W. Bush in 1988 and even Warren G. Harding in 1920. Approximately 130 million Americans will participate in the November election—a number that dwarfs even the largest political rally, a thousand of times over. Using crowd sizes to gauge general election support is like using a twelve-inch ruler to measure the height of the Empire State building; it’s a bad tool.

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