IT’S MY THURSDAY ESSAY FOR VIP SUBSCRIBERS: So Who’s Winning the Air War? “Back in January, I wrote a Thursday Essay headlined, “So How’s That Russo-Ukraine Oil War Going?” I won’t drag you through the whole thing, but my conclusion back then could be fairly summed up as, ‘Not very well because Kyiv remains too obsessed with Crimea to wage an effective, systematic campaign on Russia’s energy infrastructure.’ Well, times change.”