IGNORE THE NUMBERS AND JUST VOTE, PART II: “Believe me, as someone whose job it is to predict elections for a living, that hurt me more than it hurt you.”

I don’t know what else we can tell you. The modelers are effectively 50-50. Our tipping point state average has Trump up 0.3%, which is effectively 50-50. Everything beyond that is a vibe or, arguably worse, anecdata. No one should have any confidence. Sorry.

— Sean T at RCP (@SeanTrende) November 5, 2024