BY THE NUMBERS: 5 Historical Trends That Show It’s Utterly Shocking If Trump Lost In 2020. “If I told you an incumbent president had 52 percent approval on Election Day and ended up winning 10 million more votes than during his first election, would you predict victory? What if 56 percent of voters felt they were better off since the president had entered office? What if you knew that the incumbent had a nearly 30 percent enthusiasm edge over his opponent, or that when asked for whom they thought their neighbors were voting, nearly 10 percent more Americans expected the president to be re-elected than to lose?”

Virtually every indicator that is difficult or impossible to cheat shows a Trump win.