HMM: Tariff Backlash Could Cost Republicans the Senate.

Heading into the mid-term elections the Real Clear Politics Battle for the Senate map suggests it it is extremely unlikely for Democrats to take control of the Senate.

The Republicans have 46 safe or not up seats, and two more likely. To take control of the Senate, Democrats would have to win all nine likely or leans, plus six of seven tossups.

The math is not as daunting as it looks. Democrats are leading in Florida, Tennessee, and Nevada. I expect those leads to hold. That Republicans were only up by 1 percentage point in Indiana looks problematic for Republicans to say the least. For the sake of argument, put that in the Democrat column.

That just gets things to 49 where things stand right now.

This is some in-depth analysis from a Hillary-hating Trump voter, so if you have the time I recommend you read the whole thing.

From where I sit, the Senate playing field is so tilted towards the GOP that it’s practically a wall — but walls do get breached.