Archive for 2025

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: England Continues to Hemorrhage Cautionary Tales for the U.S. “This is a fight for the soul of a once-great nation that, honestly, may not work out so well for the people who are fans of the principles that made it great. Free speech is also under relentless assault across the pond, where people are being detained, arrested, and jailed for their social media activity.”

TIP OF THE ICEBERG:

We will find, I predict, that quite a few were not merely complicit, but active participants.

JOEL KOTKIN: AI revolution will crush the blue states.

In the class I teach with Marshall Koplansky at Chapman University, several students predicted that the jobs they currently hold will soon disappear. Among them were a game designer, two human-resources executives, and a manufacturing and warehouse manager.

My engineering colleagues report a similar trend. While opportunities remain strong for mechanical and chemical engineers, as well as for those designing robotics, the outlook is far less certain for computer science students. Despite soaring profits at the largest tech companies, AI programming tools have enabled sweeping layoffs at firms such as Amazon, Intel, Meta and Microsoft. Today, among college graduates aged 22-27, computer science and computer engineering majors face some of the highest unemployment rates, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

In response, many firms are now focusing on building tangible products rather than merely shifting algorithms for commerce or generating more social media. In the aerospace and defence sectors, for example, AI is seen not as an end but a tool. It is a means to enhance human creativity and productivity rather than replace it. “Software is not in the greatest position with AI,” Delian Asparouhov, who runs a firm focused on in-space manufacturing, told me. “Now people are shifting to hard tech. Designing and building spaceships still needs people.”

This could spell trouble for elite universities, but represents a major advantage for schools that teach the practical skills companies actually need. So far, these opportunities are largely concentrated in red and purple states in the Midwest and South — the regions most focused on reshoring manufacturing and other industries from overseas.

Gavin Newsom can boast about California having the fourth-largest GDP in the world, thanks largely to the tech giants. But the benefits will keep trickling down to normal-sized people in places like Texas and Florida.

FIGHT THE POWER: Brits Are Out Flaggin.’ “This is turning into one of the most subversive and colorful patriotic campaigns ever. And it’s really chapping the knickers off of the pissy, prissy ‘minders’ who keep an eye on everyone and tell them how to behave.”

UPDATE:

And if one goal of the revolution is to make the authorities look ridiculous (and it is), well, the authorities are certainly playing along:

CIVIL RIGHTS UPDATE: Cornyn Is Learning Meaning of FAFO. “It came after Uvalde, which I guess he thought Texans would be so irrational about that they’d suddenly support gun control, and he was just making the savvy political move. Unfortunately, he’s learning all about how, if one f**** around, one finds out.”

HMM: University Of Oregon Investigation Finds Law Review Discriminated Against Israeli Author, But Clears Law School Administrator.

Response: “As someone who is intimately familiar with the facts in this case, and as the person who actually filed the complaint, I find it surprising that the law school administrator involved in the episode was found “not responsible for any policy violation.” The conclusion seems irreconcilable with the information I have. . . . Needless to say, it is a serious matter when a pedagogic legal institution experiences lawlessness from within.”

HAHA:

If you actually read the Executive Order, it doesn’t do nearly as much as critics seem to think. Here it is, and here is the key bit:

Notwithstanding the Supreme Court’s rulings on First Amendment protections, the Court has never held that American Flag desecration conducted in a manner that is likely to incite imminent lawless action or that is an action amounting to “fighting words” is constitutionally protected. See Texas v. Johnson, 491 U.S. 397, 408-10 (1989).

He’s not trying to override the First Amendment caselaw, and he’s not making new law here. He is suckering Democrats into burning a lot of flags, and endorsing flag-burning, in order to “stick it to Trump.”

FINGER ON THE PULSE OF THE NATION:

And:

WHEN PURPLE STATES TURN BLUE: Coloradans getting first-hand taste of progressive squalor.

Have you noticed recently how trash-laden the Denver-area highways have become? It never used to be that way. It’s a sign of social and governmental breakdown. The last time I saw anything like it was in Greece in 2015 when the country was in the midst of a debt crisis brought on by socialist overspending. The last time before that was in Oklahoma in the mid-1980s, when government corruption coupled with an oil price crash devastated the state’s economy.

Colorado started on a pretty high plane, so thus far the rot is not as visible as in Bolivia, or as it was in Greece or Oklahoma. But the incipient signs are everywhere. First, of course, soaring taxes—oops, I mean soaring “fees” and “enterprises” (labeled that way so the people don’t get a chance to vote on them). Drugged-out zombies wandering around. Unsafe schools, with teachers who don’t dare to enforce discipline. Crumbling roads and traffic jams from projects that seem to take forever—projects of repair and showcase schemes of “progressive” virtue like the ongoing Colfax Avenue mess.

No wonder stores in Wyoming are selling bumber stickers that announce: “COLORADO — WYOMING’S MEXICO!”

If you have any doubts about how bad Colorado’s roads are, drive from our state into Kansas, Nebraska, Wyoming, or Utah. (I haven’t been to New Mexico or Arizona recently.) Once you are over the border you actually can drive around smoothly. Your teeth don’t rattle and your tires don’t fall into potholes. It’s really nice.

When I told a lady at the Kansas Welcome Center that their roads were a lot better than those in Colorado, she responded, “That’s the most common thing we hear from people who just left Colorado.”

And did I mention the highway trash? Oh, I see that I did.

When Bill Whittle dropped by from Los Angeles on his way to a conference here about a decade ago, he marveled at how clean our highways are.

But that was a decade ago.

WHY DOES THE WEST’S RULING CLASS WANT TO MAKE EVERYTHING WORSE?

OPEN THREAD: All these worlds are yours, except Europa. Attempt no threading there.

YOU CAN SEE THE SPACEX LAUNCH ATTEMPT HERE:

UPDATE: No launch today due to weather, dammit.

MILTON FRIEDMAN SMILES: Welfare state is not sustainable, says German chancellor.

The German welfare state is no longer financially sustainable, Friedrich Merz said on Saturday.

The chancellor argued for a fundamental reassessment of the benefits system as spending continues to soar past last year’s record of €47bn (£40bn).

In a state-level party conference meeting on Saturday, Mr Merz said: “The welfare state as we have it today can no longer be financed with what we can economically afford.”

Once the export champion of Europe, Germany’s economy has slowed dramatically since 2017, with GDP growing by only 1.6 per cent since then versus 9.5 per cent for the rest of the eurozone.

Germany’s economy shrank by 0.2 per cent last year following a 0.3 per cent dip in 2023 – the first time since the early 2000s the economy has retreated two years in a row.

Industrial production fell under the Left-leaning “traffic light” coalition of Olaf Scholz and continues to slide under the new government, with GDP declining by 0.3 per cent in the second quarter of 2025.

Meanwhile, spending on social welfare has exploded, and is set to increase further this year as Germany’s population ages and unemployment rises. Although the majority of benefit recipients are German, large numbers are non-German citizens.

In 2022, AP reported that “The U.N. refugee agency said Tuesday it’s giving its highest award to former German Chancellor Angela Merkel for her efforts to welcome more than 1 million refugees — mostly from Syria — into Germany, despite some criticism both at home and abroad.” Ten years ago, Jim Geraghty quipped:

But as Milton Friedman said in 1997, “It’s just obvious you can’t have free immigration and a welfare state.” But hey, Merkel was Time magazine’s Person of the Year in 2015, so that’s got to count for something, right? (Her Time magazine encomium reads like it was piped in from Bizarro World in retrospect.)

UPDATE:

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