Archive for 2020

IT’LL BE OUT IN OCTOBER: Just sent off the final pages for my next book, America’s New Destiny in Space. All about where we’re going and why it matters. Short summary: There have been three phases of space activity, and we’re entering the third now. First was the visionary phase of Tsiolkovsky and Goddard. Then was the “command economy” phase of Von Braun and Korolev. Now we’re entering the “sustainable” phase of Musk and Bezos, where spaceflight becomes cheap and reliable enough to pay for itself without taxpayer dollars, making the visionaries’ visions affordable.

INDEED: Portland’s Pottery Barn Rule: If a mayor won’t stop violence in his city, why should Trump let him off the hook?

Exhibit A is Portland, Ore. Like many American cities, Portland has been consumed by protests. This is an overwhelmingly white city—African-Americans make up less than 6% of the population—run by a progressive white mayor, Ted Wheeler. In the Portland context he may be the moderate: his rival in the coming election is a woman who has said, “I am Antifa.” . . .

It’s not lack of resources that keeps such mayors from maintaining order. It’s lack of will. As South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott pointed out after Democrats sank his crime bill, the communities suffering most from the urban unrest “have been run by Democrats for decades. Decades.”

Portland is a bastion of white supremacy, according to The Atlantic, and Trump’s action is comparable to Ike’s in sending paratroopers to Little Rock.

OPEN THREAD: After all is said and done, gotta move while it’s still fun.

BRYAN PRESTON: Prosecutors File Charges Against McCloskeys But Their ‘Case’ May Have Already Fallen Apart. 

Earlier: Missouri Governor Says He’ll Likely Pardon Armed St. Louis Couple If They Are Charged.

Related: “Kimberly Gardner, one of four Democrats running for St. Louis circuit attorney in the Aug. 2 primary, is taking heat for a new political ad paid for with money from a national super PAC that is at least partly funded by liberal billionaire George Soros.”

More: Soros-Backed Foundation Invests $220 Million to Support Racial Justice.

THE TRUTH ABOUT THE US-CHINA THUCYDIDES TRAP:

We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher. And like all great philosophers, he has many things to teach us, even if his teaching is inappropriately applied. Thousands of years after the war was fought between Sparta and Athens, observers argued that it showed that an authoritarian government would defeat a democracy. This was widely said in the early stages of World War II and repeated throughout the Cold War. In truth, what Thucydides said about democracies and oppressive regimes was far more sophisticated and complex than a simplistic slogan invoked by defeatists.

Jacek Bartosiak, who wrote of the Thucydides trap for us last week, is never simplistic, but I think he is wrong in some respects. The error is the idea that China is a rising power. He is certainly correct if by rising he means it has surged since Mao Zedong died. But he is implying more: that China is rising to the point that it can even challenge the United States. The argument that the U.S. may overreact is based on this error. The U.S. is choosing to press China hard, but the risk of doing so is low.

Read the whole thing.

IN 2020, DEMOCRATS DEFINITELY DESERVE THE SCARE QUOTES: Trump to send federal forces to more ‘Democrat’ cities, a Reuters headline notes.

Trump, a Republican, cited New York, Chicago, Philadelphia, Detroit, Baltimore and Oakland, California, as places to send federal agents, noting the cities’ mayors were “liberal Democrats.” Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot frequently blasts Trump on Twitter.

“We’re sending law enforcement,” Trump told reporters at the White House. “We can’t let this happen to the cities.”

State and local leaders in Oregon, as well as members of Congress, have called for Trump to remove Department of Homeland Security secret police forces from Portland, Oregon, after videos showed unidentified federal personnel rounding up people and whisking them away in black minivans.

“Not only do I believe he is breaking the law, but he is also endangering the lives of Portlanders,” the city’s mayor, Ted Wheeler, tweeted, having previously called the federal presence “political theater” in an election year.

As opposed to five straight weeks of riots and violence Wheeler let go unabated until the “unidentified federal personnel” showed up: