Archive for 2020

ZOMG, THAT TRUMP IS A FASCIST WHO WILL STEAL THE ELECTION, I KNEW IT!!!!! Homeland eyes special declaration to take charge of elections.

Even before the FBI identified new cyberattacks on two separate state election boards, the Department of Homeland Security began considering declaring the election a “critical infrastructure,” giving it the same control over security it has over Wall Street and the electric power grid.

The latest admissions of attacks could speed up that effort possibly including the upcoming presidential election, according to officials.

Hey, wait:

Special CNN correspondent Emily Litella: “Never mind!”

JOSEPH CAMPBELL: Why polling failure is often journalistic failure.

For confirmation, we need to look no further than 2016, when polls misfired in key states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Narrow wins there propelled Trump to an unexpected Electoral College victory, despite his losing the national popular vote.

State polls were important to the forecast models of, among others, HuffPost, which declared just before the election that Clinton’s probability of victory was 98.2 percent, that she would “fairly easily hold onto Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania,” and that Trump had “essentially no path to an Electoral College victory.”

In a brave and revealing mea culpa two days after the election, HuffPost’s polling director, Natalie Jackson, wrote: “The problem was that I placed way too much faith in polls. I assumed they would be right. … I kept looking at the consistency of the polls. They wavered in the exact margins, sure, but always showed Clinton winning in the key states that she needed to win. I saw no reason to question that the polls would be accurate overall. So I defended and stood by the numbers — as anyone who trusts their work does. That’s left me eating some crow.”

Read the whole thing, which is an excerpt from Campbell’s new book, Lost in a Gallup: Polling Failure in U.S. Presidential Elections.

THE VICKY OSTERWEIL DELUSION: In Defense of Looting: A Riotous History of Uncivil Action by Vicky Osterweil reviewed.

Such hot bias pervades Osterweil’s treatment of history as well. On page 3, as Pranesh Prakash pointed out, a quote that the word ‘loot’ was used as a ‘bond of union’ in India is attributed to an English colonial officer but actually comes from Amir Khan, Nawab of Potok. Another small example — but a telling one in how it illustrates the firmness and narrowness of Osterweil’s blinkers — comes when she bangs on about McCarthyism for pages but does not spend as much as a sentence admitting that there was extensive Soviet infiltration of the US. If you are going to reference the execution of Julius Rosenberg in the context of a long rant about ‘paranoid fear-mongering’ I think you are obliged to admit that he was guilty.

Osterweil spends a lot of time arguing that violence and destruction are not bad per se. I agree! Armed self-defense? Good! Resisting illegitimate authority? Often good! But when it comes to arguing that violence and destruction in modern-day America is justifiable, Osterweil is not merely unpersuasive but actually makes me think she might be an undercover conservative trying to make the left look bad. Consider this emoting:

‘We can no longer let the police, that despicable occupying army, seem “natural,” nor let anyone paint resistance to the settler state as an enemy of peace. Their peace is the peace of the grave.’

Eh? I’m not sure if that pseudo-poetic flourish merits a response but it might be worth pointing out that less than one-fifth of the black Americans that Osterweil does a lot of speaking for in In Defence of Looting want fewer police on their streets.

Osterweil “actually makes me think she might be an undercover conservative trying to make the left look bad”? At this point, to add to what Glenn has written, this entire summer of BLM and Antifa is feeling increasingly like a Roger Stone GOTV campaign for Trump on Jose Conseco levels of steroids.

Incidentally, Osterweil is discovering a strange new respect for private property the hard way: In response to her interview on NPR going viral, she’s locked her Twitter account, which as Ben Sixsmith notes in the above review has the charming handle of ‘Vicky_ACAB’ (“all cops are bastards,” Antifa’s cri de coeur.)

DISPATCHES FROM PORTLANDIA: Chickens Coming Home to Roost? Portland Mob Shines Strobe Lights Into Ted Wheeler’s Condo at Night.

And after all Wheeler has done to appease the mob: “Portland Mayor Ted Wheeler (D) fired back at President Trump after he suggested sending the National Guard to Oregon’s largest city to deal with protests, pleading with him to ‘stay away, please.’”

Can’t blame the rioters on Trump or the National Guard — it’s pure left on left now.