Archive for 2020

MEANWHILE, OVER AT VODKAPUNDIT: Deregulation: It’ll Cure What Ails Ya. “There is good news coming out of the crisis caused by the Chinese coronavirus from Wuhan, a city in China ruled by Chinese Communists where the Chinese-sourced Sino-virus came from. There’s even good news coming out of Washington. In our proper haste in fighting the virus, Washington is eliminating a lot of red tape.”

This one is just for our PJMedia/Townhall VIP members, so I hope you’ll consider joining us using that VODKAPUNDIT promo code.

#NEVERNEEDED: The number of regulations being undone or suspended by the federal or state governments is growing day by day. In most cases, people are realizing that these rules were never needed in the first place. There’s still plenty of regulations that need to be done away with. For more see here for CEI’s ideas and here for the R Street Institute’s.

But that’s just a start. Let’s crowdsource this. If you see a regulation that isn’t needed and is getting in the way of effective response and you’re on Twitter, post it with the hashtag #neverneeded so we can add it to our list. And if your governor or local assembly sees reason and gets rid of a rule, let us know too.

POSSIBLE EXCELLENT NEWS ON COVID-19: This morning, a friend forwarded an abstract of a study from the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine estimating that the CFR (case fatality rate–the number of reported deaths per number of reported cases) is only .1%, i.e., one out of a thousand. I was going to pass it on earlier, but I really couldn’t make heads or tails of how they came up with that figure, so I emailed them, and they updated their post with this:

How do we arrive at this CFR figure?

The current COVID outbreak seems to be following previous pandemics in that initial CFRs start high and then trend downward. In Wuhan, for instance, the CFR has gone down from 17% in the initial phase to near 1% in the late stage. Current testing strategies are also not capturing everybody: at least 50% on Diamond Princess were asymptomatic who usually wouldn’t get a test; in South Korea, considerable numbers who tested positive were also asymptomatics. Asymptomatic people and mild cases are likely driving the rapid worldwide spread. Early CFR rates are subject to selection bias as more severe cases are tested – generally those in the hospital settings or those with more severe symptoms. Mortality in children seems to be near zero (unlike flu) which will drive down the CFR significantly. In Swine flu, the CFR was fivefold less than the lowest estimate in the 1st ten weeks (0.1%)

Therefore, to estimate the CFR, we used the lowest estimate, currently Germany’s 0.25%, and halved this based on the assumption that half the cases go undetected by testing and none of this group dies. Our assumptions, however, do not account for some exceptional cases, as in Italy, where the population is older, smoking rates are higher and antibiotic resistance is the highest in Europe, which all can act to increase the CFR. It is also not clear if the presence of other circulating influenza illnesses acts to increase the CFR and whether certain populations (e.g., those with heart conditions) are more at increased risk.

SINCE WE’RE DISPUTING WHAT TO CALL IT: The Epoch Times editors explain why they are calling it the “CCP virus.” And they are challenging the mainstream media to follow suit, as a matter of accuracy and clarity for readers. Probably don’t want to hold your breath too long waiting for that to happen.

COLORADO: Safe gun storage bill may increase crime with little effect on suicide, accidental deaths.

While the state legislature has temporarily adjourned due to the coronavirus outbreak, a bill requiring people to lock up their guns is awaiting lawmakers when they return to the capitol. House Bill 20-1355 makes it a class 2 misdemeanor to fail to lock up a firearm when “a juvenile can gain access to the firearm without the permission of the juvenile’s parent or guardian” or if “a resident of the premises is ineligible to possess a firearm.” The law would only apply to “any premises that the person owns or controls.”

The potential penalty for violating the law would include a mandatory minimum of three months or up to 12 months in the county jail and/or a $250 to a $1,000 fine.

The bill is sponsored by Rep. Monica Duran, D-Wheat Ridge, Rep. Kyle Mullica, D-Northglenn, Sen. Jeff Bridges, D-Greenwood Village and Sen. Chris Hansen, D-Denver.

The bill requires all firearms have a “locking device” installed or be in a “gun safe or other secure container,” except when the firearm is carried on the person “or within such close proximity thereto that the person can readily retrieve and use the firearm” as if it were.

More at the link, none of it good for law-abiding gun owners.

COLD WAR II: China threatens electronic strikes on Navy.

China has called for using electromagnetic attacks on U.S. warships transiting the South China Sea, according to a state-run Chinese outlet.

The Communist Party-affiliated organ Global Times, quoting a military expert, said the use of nonlethal electromagnetic and laser weapons should be used by the People’s Liberation Army to expel American warships from the disputed sea.

The report followed China’s potentially dangerous use of a laser against a Navy P-8A maritime patrol aircraft near Guam last month, and an earlier lasing two years ago of C-130 aircraft near China’s military base in Djibouti on the coast of Africa.

Any nation that doesn’t support freedom of the seas ought to be excluded from maritime trade.

FOR THOSE STUCK AT HOME, Helen’s trainer, Krystal Goodman (who’s also trainer for The Bachelor’s Hannah Ann, a Knoxvillian), has an online nutrition service. You can also see some of her videos, etc., here. (Bumped).