Archive for 2017

TALKING TO PEOPLE INSTEAD OF PROTESTERS: Dallas Observer: From Immigrants and American Day Laborers, Two Views of Trump’s Stance on Deportation. Plus, a surprise:

Pacheco supports Trump even though he’s one of the 11 million undocumented immigrants who could be deported. “Trump for me is a good president,” he says. “He has to fix things here. There’s a lot of drugs being sold around here. A lot of people sell drugs. And they hide within the workers. They even come here, or hide other places around here. They hide among us.”

That doesn’t fit the narrative. But read the whole thing.

YOU HAD ONE JOB: Tweeting accountant blamed for Oscar best picture blunder.

In a gaffe that stunned the Dolby Theatre crowd in Hollywood and a television audience worldwide, “[Accountant Brian] Cullinan mistakenly handed the back-up envelope for Actress in a Leading Role instead of the envelope for Best Picture” to Beatty and Dunaway, PwC said.

“Once the error occurred, protocols for correcting it were not followed through quickly enough by Mr. Cullinan or his partner.”

The Wall Street Journal and celebrity website TMZ.com reported that Cullinan had posted a backstage photo of actress Emma Stone on social network Twitter minutes before the mix-up.

The photo, from Cullinan’s Twitter account, was later deleted but was still viewable on Monday on a cached archive of the page. Cullinan could not immediately be reached for comment.

The mistake was not rectified until the “La La Land” cast and producers were on stage giving their acceptance speeches. It was left to the musical’s producer, Jordan Horowitz, to put things right.

“Guys, guys, I’m sorry. No. There’s a mistake,” Horowitz said. “‘Moonlight,’ you guys won best picture. This is not a joke.”

It took three hours for PricewaterhouseCoopers, which has been overseeing Academy Awards balloting for 83 years, initially to confirm that Beatty and Dunaway received the wrong category envelope.

PwC said it took full responsibility and apologized to the casts and crews of “La La Land” and “Moonlight.”

It’s easy enough to get distracted by Emma Stone, but that’s not what Cullinan was getting paid to do.

OH:

Counselor to the President Kellyanne Conway takes a picture of United States President Donald Trump with members of the Historically Black Colleges and Universities in the Oval Office of the White House, Washington, DC,. Donald Trump meets with Representatives of the Historically Black Colleges and Universities, Washington DC, USA – 27 Feb 2017 (Rex Features via AP Images)

Even WaPo’s Chris Cillizza says the “controversy is so incredibly dumb.”

UNIONS VS. THE PUBLIC: The Walker Model Gains Momentum in the Midwest.

Scott Walker’s successful efforts to curb the bargaining power of public employee unions may not have translated into a successful bid for the GOP nomination, but they are gaining traction among other Republican governors at the state level. . . .

It’s significant that ground zero for public sector union reform is the upper-Midwest, once the capital of organized labor. Democrats try to cast such reforms as a betrayal of workers, but in a post-industrial age when half of union members are public employees whose demands for fatter benefits packages come at direct expense of the taxpayers, many voters don’t see it that way. As James Sherk noted in our pages last year, “A movement formed to defend blue-collar laborers now fights primarily to help white-collar workers expand government.”

FDR was right about public-sector unions and why they should be prohibited: “Unthinkable and intolerable.” Plus: “The founders of the labor movement viewed unions as a vehicle to get workers more of the profits they help create. Government workers, however, don’t generate profits. They merely negotiate for more tax money. When government unions strike, they strike against taxpayers.”

BUDGET SPEECH PREVIEW: Trump Is Planning These Cuts to Make Way for a Military Spending Surge.

Domestic programs and foreign aid would as a whole absorb a 10%, $54 billion cut from currently projected levels—cuts that would match the military increase. The cuts would be felt far more deeply by programs and agencies targeted by Trump and his fellow Republicans, like the Environmental Protection Agency as well as foreign aid. Veterans’ programs would be exempted, as would border security, additional law enforcement functions and some other areas.

“We’re going to start spending on infrastructure big. It’s not like we have a choice—our highways, our bridges are unsafe, our tunnels,” the president told a group of governors at the White House on Monday. He added, “We’re going to do more with less and make the government lean and accountable to the people.”

However, Trump’s final version of the budget is sure to leave large deficits intact—or even add to them if he follows through on his campaign promise for a huge tax cut.

His plan faces strong opposition from Democrats, who possess the power to block it. The immediate reaction from Republicans was mixed, with prominent defense hawks like Sen. John McCain of Arizona saying it would do too little to help the Pentagon and fiscal conservatives and supporters of domestic agencies expressing caution.

This is where we find out if the President has any cat-herding skills.

BYRON YORK: Optimism In Trump’s America.

President Trump’s job approval rating, 44 percent with a 48 percent disapproval rating in a new Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll, makes him “the first president of the post-World War II era with a net negative approval rating in his first gauge of public opinion,” according to the Journal.

Trump’s most strident supporters will no doubt call the polls fake, but the fact is, Trump’s numbers are low, and they’re more evidence — as if any more were needed — that there is no honeymoon for the 45th president.

But at the same time, there are signs of optimism — not for Trump’s political fortunes but for the country. If the Journal numbers are correct, more Americans say they are hopeful and optimistic about the future than have said so in several years. And, at least specifically where the economy is concerned, many attribute their optimism to the presence of Trump in the Oval Office.

If he delivers, that optimism will transfer to his personal approval ratings. So he’s got to deliver.

CHANGE: Alabama Moves To Separate Marriage And State. “The legislation would abolish all requirements to obtain a marriage license in Alabama. Instead, probate judges would simply record civil contracts of marriage between two individuals based on signed affidavits. . . . The proposed law would maintain a few state requirements governing marriage. Minors between the ages of 16 and 18 would have to obtain parental permission before marrying, the state would not record a marriage if either party was already married, and the parties could not be related by blood or adoption as already stipulated in state law.” How long until Alabama is called a cesspit of bigotry for refusing to recognize plural marriage?

CHANGE: Trump to sign order reviewing EPA water rule.

The order — which is currently in draft form and subject to change before Tuesday afternoon, when Trump is expected to sign it — addresses the “Waters of the United States” rule, which applies to 60% of the bodies of water in the US.

The regulation was created under the Clean Water Act in the early 1970s and essentially gives the federal government authority over major bodies of water, rivers, streams and wetlands, allowing the federal government to police these waterways to ensure they are pollution free.

Trump’s executive order requires the EPA and other applicable departments to review the regulation and ensure it promotes economic growth and minimizes uncertainty when it comes to regulation. The order then requires agencies to rescind or revise aspects of the regulation that are incompatible with the new policy guidance.

By reviewing the regulation, the administration can begin to pick it apart and weaken it.

Critics, including some in the farming community, have complained that the rule restricted how they could use their land and had a negative economic impact on their business.

The CNN report above blandly describes the “Waters of the United States” rule as a four-decade-old holdover, but that simply isn’t true. In its current form it dates back only to 2015, greatly expanded on EPA’s own “authority,” and was controversial then:

On its face, the Waters of the United States rule is largely a technical document, defining which rivers, streams, lakes and marshes fall under the jurisdiction of the Environmental Protection Agency and the Army Corps of Engineers. But opponents condemn it as a massive power grab by Washington, saying it will give bureaucrats carte blanche to swoop in and penalize landowners every time a cow walks through a ditch. And it comes amid years of complaints from Republicans about President Barack Obama’s regulatory agenda, which has encompassed everything from power plants and health insurers to Internet providers and for-profit colleges.

Ideologues at EPA seem to believe that the entire U.S. economy should fall under their purview, and that everything they have not made mandatory ought to be forbidden.

NEW YORK TIMES EDITOR: Trump is the best thing ever to happen to our subscriptions.

“Trump is the best thing to happen to the Times’ subscription strategy,” said Dean Baquet, executive editor of the Times on CNN Sunday. “Every time he tweets it drives subscriptions wildly.”

He added, “Our digital subscriptions are through the roof, our print subscriptions are up.”

So I suppose the answer to my question, “How long can they keep it cranked up to 11?” is: “As long as it’s working.”

THE IMMIGRATION DEBATE WE NEED:

Changes in social policy do not make everyone better off, and immigration policy is no exception. I am a refugee, having fled Cuba as a child in 1962. Not only do I have great sympathy for the immigrant’s desire to build a better life, I am also living proof that immigration policy can benefit some people enormously.

But I am also an economist, and am very much aware of the many trade-offs involved. Inevitably, immigration does not improve everyone’s well-being. There are winners and losers, and we will need to choose among difficult options. The improved lives of the immigrants come at a price. How much of a price are the American people willing to pay, and exactly who will pay it?

This tension permeates the debate over immigration’s effect on the labor market. Those who want more immigration claim that immigrants do jobs that native-born Americans do not want to do. But we all know that the price of gas goes down when the supply of oil goes up. The laws of supply and demand do not evaporate when we talk about the price of labor rather than the price of gas. By now, the well-documented abuses of the H-1B program, such as the Disney workers who had to train their foreign-born replacements, should have obliterated the notion that immigration does not harm competing native workers.

Over the past 30 years, a large fraction of immigrants, nearly a third, were high school dropouts, so the incumbent low-skill work force formed the core group of Americans who paid the price for the influx of millions of workers. Their wages fell as much as 6 percent. Those low-skill Americans included many native-born blacks and Hispanics, as well as earlier waves of immigrants.

Expect Trump to stress that. A friend posted this story on Facebook and lamented that since Trump, the immigration debate has turned into one giant virtue-signal. But I think the virtue-signaling brought us Trump, not the other way around.

KRAZY KIM: North Korea reportedly kills 5 senior officials with antiaircraft guns.

The execution, which was punishment for unspecified “false reports” that were made to Mr. Kim, according to the intelligence report, came amid fresh allegations from Seoul that the Pyongyang government had ordered and coordinated the killing of Mr. Kim’s half brother in Malaysia.

In a closed-door briefing before lawmakers on Monday in Seoul, Lee Byung-ho, the director of South Korea’s National Intelligence Service, said that the daylight slaying of Kim Jong Nam with a deadly nerve agent at Kuala Lumpur International Airport on Feb. 13 was “a state terrorist act, systematically organized by Kim Jong Un,” according to lawmaker Kim Byung-kee, who attended the hearing.

Mr. Lee didn’t say how the intelligence service got its information. South Korea’s spy agency sometimes errs in its assessments of developments inside North Korea, one of the world’s most closed societies. But often it is proven correct.

Message to troublemakers: Kim can kill you anywhere, by any means he desires.