Archive for 2016

DON’T DO STUPID SH*T: NATO’s Foothold in Eastern Med Is Faltering.

While China and Russia are providing Greece and Turkey with much needed support, their involvement could compromise Western security. Athens and Ankara may side with Beijing and Moscow when it comes to NATO security concerns involving China, North Korea and Russia, for example, if they become too dependent on Chinese and Russian assistance. It would take just one country withholding support to prevent an action by NATO that is not in the interest of China or Russia since NATO only takes action when every member agrees.

Turkish Foreign Minister Cavusoglu has already made some worrying remarks about Turkey’s NATO membership. Cavusoglu has publicly justified Turkey’s growing relationship with Russia bystating, “Turkey wanted to cooperate with NATO members up to this point. But the results we got did not satisfy us. Therefore, it is natural to look for other options.” This is concerning because NATO relations with Russia have been strained since Moscow invaded Ukraine and increased its aggressive behavior on the alliance’s eastern flank. A NATO member making such statements suggests that Turkey finds more value in a closer relationship with Russia. Minister Cavusoglu also warned that “if the West loses Turkey one day, it will not be because of Turkey’s relations with Russia, China or the Islamic world, but rather because of themselves.” The West must address Turkey’s concerns to prevent the loss of a geopolitically significant ally.

Obama wanted us out of the Middle East, and after seven years we’re well on our way — but it won’t stop there.

LOOKING OUT FOR THE LITTLE GUY: Small business owner: FDA rules threaten Florida heritage of hand-rolled cigars.

The FDA recently released its long-dreaded rule that asserted the agency’s authority to regulate a wide variety of nicotine-delivery products. Much of the media attention zeroed in on the fairly new vaping, or “e-cigarette,” industry. By the FDA’s own admission, its new rule would make 98.5 percent of those products on the market illegal. What has been largely missed by the media, but not the small business owners like my wife and me, is that these regulations would devastate the hand-rolled cigar industry.

The new FDA rules would force all new premium cigars to undergo a “pre-market review process.” This process requires that manufacturers prove their products meet certain requirements before they can go to market by submitting hundreds if not thousands of hours of paperwork per product. Since the FDA defines new cigars to include new blends, which can change seasonally for smaller manufacturers, the compliance costs could overwhelm many small-cigar businesses.

This isn’t about promoting health; it’s about securing money and power.

EXCUSES, EXCUSES. Merkel: Germany Had Islamic Extremism Before Refugee Influx.

Merkel said late Wednesday that “the phenomenon of Islamist terrorism by IS isn’t a phenomenon that came to us with the refugees, it’s one that we had before too.”

She conceded, however, “it can be seen that there are attempts to win over refugees (for terrorism), or we had the case of Paris, where refugees were deliberately smuggled in by IS.”

Merkel was speaking at a campaign event in the northeastern state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, where her Christian Democrats face strong competition from the nationalist, anti-immigration Alternative for Germany party in state elections on Sept. 4.

The country was shaken by a string of attacks in July, two of which were the first in Germany claimed by the Islamic State group. In those, only the attackers — both asylum-seekers — were killed.

Would she try treating lung cancer with Marlboros?

THE HILL: Trump hurts GOP, but probably not enough to flip House.

Trump’s combative campaign is hurting Republicans down the ballot — but not enough to flip control of the House in November.

The House advantage has shifted steadily in favor of the Democrats since Trump won the GOP nomination, in the eyes of leading election handicappers.

Yet Democrats still appear far short of flipping the 30 seats they’d need to win back the lower chamber. The GOP’s 247 seats represents the party’s largest majority since before the Great Depression.

“In the House, I have yet to see evidence that Republicans are tanking as a result of Trump being on the ballot,” said David Wasserman, an expert on House races at the Cook Political Report.

Election analysts emphasize that a wave election delivering power back to the Democrats remains possible. But Wasserman put the odds at only between 10 and 20 percent and predicts Democrats will pick up between 10 and 20 House seats — far shy of the 30 needed to win back control.

It’s 2016, so the balance of the House will probably be determined by space aliens.

I HAVE A WEAK SPOT FOR BLACK CATS: And I can tell you they’re almost impossible to photograph, which is why we have one decent photograph of the late great Petronius the Arbiter and so far none of Euclid-cat.  This woman is not just doing something good, she’s doing something amazing. Woman Photographs Black Shelter Cats to Help Them Get Adopted.

IT’S ALL FUN AND GAMES UNTIL YOU KILL YOUR OWN GRANDAD: Professor solved time-reversal violation.  On the serious side, this is fun, but … like a certain branch of mathematics, more or less a beautiful thought experiment.  (Don’t tell my husband I said that.)