Archive for 2015

GALLUP CEO JIM CLIFTON: The Big Lie: 5.6% Unemployment.

Right now, we’re hearing much celebrating from the media, the White House and Wall Street about how unemployment is “down” to 5.6%. The cheerleading for this number is deafening. The media loves a comeback story, the White House wants to score political points and Wall Street would like you to stay in the market.

None of them will tell you this: If you, a family member or anyone is unemployed and has subsequently given up on finding a job — if you are so hopelessly out of work that you’ve stopped looking over the past four weeks — the Department of Labor doesn’t count you as unemployed. That’s right. While you are as unemployed as one can possibly be, and tragically may never find work again, you are not counted in the figure we see relentlessly in the news — currently 5.6%. Right now, as many as 30 million Americans are either out of work or severely underemployed. Trust me, the vast majority of them aren’t throwing parties to toast “falling” unemployment.

There’s another reason why the official rate is misleading. Say you’re an out-of-work engineer or healthcare worker or construction worker or retail manager: If you perform a minimum of one hour of work in a week and are paid at least $20 — maybe someone pays you to mow their lawn — you’re not officially counted as unemployed in the much-reported 5.6%. Few Americans know this.

Yet another figure of importance that doesn’t get much press: those working part time but wanting full-time work. If you have a degree in chemistry or math and are working 10 hours part time because it is all you can find — in other words, you are severely underemployed — the government doesn’t count you in the 5.6%. Few Americans know this.

There’s no other way to say this. The official unemployment rate, which cruelly overlooks the suffering of the long-term and often permanently unemployed as well as the depressingly underemployed, amounts to a Big Lie.

Do tell.

CATHY YOUNG WRITES ABOUT THE COLUMBIA GUY ACCUSED OF RAPE WHO WAS CLEARED BY COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY AND BY THE POLICE.

Sulkowicz has said in interviews that she was too embarrassed and ashamed to talk to anyone about the rape, let alone report it; an account of her mattress protest by New York Times art critic Roberta Smith says that she “suffered in silence” in the aftermath of the assault. Yet Nungesser says that for weeks after that night, he and Sulkowicz maintained a cordial relationship, and says she seemingly never indicated that anything was amiss.

Nungesser provided The Daily Beast with Facebook messages with Sulkowicz from August, September, and October 2012. (In an email to The Daily Beast, Sulkowicz confirmed that these records were authentic and not redacted in any way; while she initially offered to provide “annotations” explaining the context on the messages, she then emailed again to say that she would not be sending them.) On Aug. 29, two days after the alleged rape, Nungesser messaged Sulkowicz on Facebook to say, “Small shindig in our room tonight—bring cool freshmen.” Her response:

lol yusss

Also I feel like we need to have some real time where we can talk about life and thingz

because we still haven’t really had a paul-emma chill sesh since summmmerrrr

On Sept. 9, on a morning before an ADP meeting, it was Sulkowicz who initiated the Facebook contact, asking Nungesser if he wanted to “hang out a little bit” before or after the meeting and concluding with:

whatever I want to see yoyououoyou

respond—I’ll get the message on ma phone

On Oct. 3, Sulkowicz’s birthday, Nungesser sent her an effusive greeting; she responded the next morning with, “I love you Paul. Where are you?!?!?!?!” Nungesser claims that these exchanges represent only a small portion of their friendly communications, which also included numerous text messages. But he also says that during those weeks, they were starting to drift apart; they saw each other at meetings and parties, but plans for one-on-one get-togethers always seemed to end in “missed connections.” Nungesser says that he assumed it was simply a matter of hanging out with a new crowd and, in Sulkowicz’s case, being in a new relationship. He says that “it was very amiable; nothing was changed or different or weird or anything in her behavior.”

Read the whole thing, as there’s much, much more. Of course, doing actual reporting makes Cathy Young some sort of antifeminist according to some, because you should never, ever doubt what a rape accuser says.

Meanwhile, Kathleen McWilliams writes:

Sulkowicz says “Normally I don’t respond to people who use my rapist as collateral in order to make me talk to them…It’s an awful feeling where this reporter is digging through my personal life. At this point I didn’t realize that she’s extremely anti-feminist and would do this in order to shame me.”

In my opinion, Daily Beast reporter Cathy Young did the right thing by contacting Sulkowicz and giving her the opportunity to refute Nungesser’s claims.

In any case, Sulkowicz is absolutely wrong to be upset with Young. Young is a reporter tasked with a difficult story and in today’s journalistic climate one cannot afford to make mistakes, let alone on the subject of sexual assault. As Rolling Stone’s in-depth article on UVA’s alleged sexual assault culture proves, when you report on campus assaults you need to cover every base, check every fact and get every account of what happened. Young was not holding Sulkowicz’s rapist collateral, nor was she shaming Sulkowicz. If Sulkowicz felt ashamed and uncomfortable with the situation she should have simply told Young as much instead of attacking the character of a journalist who approached her for her side of the story.

Young was journalistically responsible and other reporters should follow her lead. Just because sexual assault is difficult to talk about, doesn’t mean we shouldn’t. More importantly, just because stories about sexual assault can be painful for victims, doesn’t mean we shouldn’t report responsibly on the subject.

Yeah, some responsible reporting would be nice. It would also be nice if New York’s Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand hadn’t joined the lynch mob, embracing Sulkowicz and calling Nungesser a “rapist” even after he was cleared by two different proceedings (one of which required only a preponderance of the evidence to convict).

As Susan Kruth notes at the Fire Blog, Public Presumption of Guilt Motivates Unfair Policies, Even as Details of Sexual Assault Allegations Come to Light.

In other words, it doesn’t really matter if an accused student is required to prove that he or she obtained consent for every step within a sexual encounter (a nearly impossible task), or if he or she was punished based on three out of five fact-finders’ conclusion that he’s simply more likely than not guilty. The policies that deprive accused students of a fair hearing are not generally of great concern to the public, in part because the public has already decided—frequently based solely on the accuser’s story—that the accused probably did it.

Maybe as the public learns more about cases like Nungesser’s, or that of John Doe at Occidental College, the problem with this uncritical acceptance of an allegation’s veracity will become more apparent. People are, of course, free to judge accused students without evidence or serious thought—but they should not push institutions of higher education, who are making life-altering determinations, to do the same.

See also this referenced piece by University of Chicago civil-liberties professor Geoffrey Stone:

The concern with campus sexual assault has begun to take on the characteristics of a panic in which government officials and school administrators have increasingly lost sight of other fundamental values that must shape the culture of institutions of higher learning. . . .

Women students fought long and hard to be treated by colleges and universities as individuals capable of making responsible decisions for themselves. The days of parietal hours are happily behind us. For the federal government — or for colleges and universities — to suggest that women students are incapable of making appropriate decisions or of expressing their minds clearly denies them equal dignity and reinforces all the wrong messages about the integrity, independence, and maturity of women. Colleges and universities should not treat their women students as if they are frail, helpless, and weak.

No, they shouldn’t. And Kirsten Gillibrand shouldn’t have joined a lynch mob.

Plus, Jim Treacher’s take: “Why are reporters digging into my personal life? Can’t they see I’m carrying a MATTRESS?”

LEADING THE FEMINIST LYNCH MOB: Kirsten Gillibrand’s Cruel Assault on Justice. “By any remotely reasonable standard, Gillibrand’s actions should horrify those who care about basic rights. Unfortunately, the most likely outcome is that this kind of mob mentality will only help her career, since the left has fully embraced turning its declared enemies into ‘former people,’ whether they are philanthropic libertarian business leaders or male college students.”

ASKED BUT NOT ANSWERED: Question for Josh Earnest: Does Obama believe vaccines for kids should be mandated by law?

He was asked this no fewer than three times at today’s briefing. The first comes at around 58:00 in the clip below, the second comes courtesy of Major Garrett at 1:13:00, and the third picks up at around 1:18:00 when Jon Karl revisits it. If you have the patience for only one exchange, watch Karl’s, as he makes clear that he’s not asking about a federal vaccine mandate specifically but a mandate at any level of government. The media’s spent 36 hours treating Chris Christie and Rand Paul as cranks, not because they question the benefits of vaccination (well, Paul questions them in some cases) but because they question the state’s right to overrule parents on the decision to vaccinate children, at least with respect to some diseases. Simple question, then: Does Obama, avatar of liberal enlightenment, share their allegedly crankish belief that parents get the final say? Or does President Mandate think the state, whether at the federal level or lower, should have the final say? Three times Earnest is asked that — and three times he responds by saying we shouldn’t need to compel behavior that’s already clearly compelled by basic common sense. Vaccines are obviously the right thing to do, he says, so why should you need the state to twist people’s arms?

Marin County and Malibu are full of big Democratic donors. They’re also hotbeds of anti-vaccine sentiment. Keep asking this question. . . .

THE TWEET OF THE WEEK COMES FROM NIGERIA:

Screen Shot 2015-02-03 at 10.18.16 PM

YOU DON’T BLOCK DEBATE WHEN THE POLLS ARE ON YOUR SIDE: Democrats Shield Obama’s Amnesty From Debate, For Now. “All 46 Democratic senators voted Feb. 3 to block a debate on President Obama’s unpopular November amnesty, so escalating the increasingly contentious fight over immigration prior to the 2016 primaries.”

Love that pic of Chuck Schumer.

OKAY, I DON’T WANT A KING, BUT I WOULDN’T MIND IT IF WE HAD A PRESIDENT WHO RESPONDED THIS WAY: After ISIS execution, angry King Abdullah quotes Clint Eastwood to U.S. lawmakers. “He mentioned ‘Unforgiven’ and he mentioned Clint Eastwood, and he actually quoted a part of the movie.”

The story doesn’t give the quote, but I wonder if it’s this one? “All right, I’m coming out. Any man I see out there, I’m gonna shoot him. Any sumbitch takes a shot at me, I’m not only gonna kill him, but I’m gonna kill his wife, all his friends, and burn his damn house down.”

Speaking of Eastwood, the empty chair imagery still seems appropriate: “Hunter said there was no mention of President Obama during the bipartisan meeting, either by King Abdullah or by any of the lawmakers in the room.”

UPDATE: Jordan Hangs Two: It’s a Start.

ED DRISCOLL: So, About the MSM’s Vaccination Obsession This Week.

Check out his cool overlay graphic of places that supported Obama vs. places where there are a lot of unvaccinated kids. . . .

vacc-rate-2012-electoral-map-2-3-15-4-sml

I’ll bet if you could find county-level maps, the congruence would be even more striking.

WELL, THIS IS PATHETIC: Herbal Supplements Sold At Major Retailers Contain No Actual Ingredients. “Three out of six herbal products at Target — ginkgo biloba, St. John’s wort and valerian root, a sleep aid — tested negative for the herbs on their labels. But they did contain powdered rice, beans, peas and wild carrots. And at GNC, the agency said, it found pills with unlisted ingredients used as fillers, like powdered legumes, the class of plants that includes peanuts and soybeans, a hazard for people with allergies.”

STANFORD POLITICS: The “Political Correctness” Revival Comes From The Top. “Campus activists might be the most visible practitioners of P.C., but they have been responding to signals — and, in some cases, legal decrees — from federal government officials.”

NIGERIA’S PROBLEM WITH ELECTRICITY. “The quality is as poor as the supply: Light bulbs dim like tired, resentful candles. Robust fans slow to a sluggish limp. Air-conditioners bleat and groan and make sounds they were not made to make, their halfhearted cooling leaving the air clammy. In this assault of low voltage, the compressor of an air-conditioner suffers — the compressor is its heart, and it is an expensive heart to replace. Once, my guest room air-conditioner caught fire. The room still bears the scars, the narrow lines between floor tiles smoke-stained black. . . . For succor, I turn to my generator, that large Buddha in a concrete shed near the front gate. It comes awake with a muted confident hum, and the difference in effect is so obvious it briefly startles: Light bulbs become brilliant and air-conditioners crisply cool. The generator is electricity as electricity should be.”

Nigeria has always had terrible electrical distribution — my brother was telling me stories like this 20 years ago. On the other hand, in a major grid-down event it would do much better than the United States, because Nigerians are used to outages, and have generators for pretty much every place that really matters. How do I think the United States is going to do in the future? Well, I put in my own generator. . . . Related thoughts here.

21ST CENTURY RELATIONSHIPS: STD Care For Two.

To reduce rates of gonorrhea and chlamydia, at least 31 states permit health care providers to treat patients’ sexual partners without ever seeing them in person, a public health intervention known as “expedited partner therapy,” or E.P.T.

When a patient tests positive for a sexually transmitted infection, the clinician provides medication not just for the patient, but for the patient to give to the partner as well (in some jurisdictions, up to five partners). Alternately, the clinician may call the partner’s prescription into a pharmacy. In Washington, the state also purchases the medication, regardless of the partner’s ability to pay.

A large study of Washington’s E.P.T. program, just published in the journal PLOS Medicine, suggests that the strategy lowered infection rates by 10 percent. But though many national health organizations have endorsed E.P.T., most prominently the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, it remains underused because most states do not cover the medications’ cost and many doctors are uncomfortable treating patients they have not evaluated.

Yeah, I can see both upsides and downsides to this approach.

HIGHER EDUCATION BUBBLE UPDATE: Fibbing For Rankings:

The University of Missouri at Kansas City gave the Princeton Review false information designed to inflate the rankings of its business school, which was under pressure from its major donor to keep the ratings up, according to an outside audit released Friday.

The audit — by PricewaterhouseCoopers — described the process by which business school officials came up with creative reasons to provide data that many at the school believed to be false, and that the audit found to be false.

I think there’s a lot more of this going on than is fully appreciated.

GIVING YOU WHAT THE AIRLINES HAVE TAKEN AWAY: “Intercity bus companies have made some surprising moves to win a bigger slice of the business-travel market in the past year. City-to-city express operators like BoltBus, GO Buses, and Megabus are upping their game, and several new luxury services have entered the mix with amenities designed to attract disenchanted frequent flyers who wouldn’t have dreamed of taking an intercity coach a few years ago. Think refreshments, attendants, roomy seating, and even shoe shining services.”

As I noted some years ago, when you count in security, airport traffic, etc., your effective speed on some flights isn’t any faster than driving. So there’s an opportunity here, though I’d rather see air-taxi services flourish, personally.

YEAH, HOW ABOUT THAT? “Quite aside from the problem of new taxes on business, what bothers me here is that Obama’s old and extremely expensive ‘stimulus’ package — back in ’09 — was presented as a transformation of the ‘infrastructure’ — with lots of talk of roads and bridges — but where are all those improvements we were gulled into thinking we were getting for our money?”

Well, they stole that money, but this money will all go to roads and bridges, honest! Well, unless someone complains that it creates too many jobs for burly men.