Archive for 2014

RESEARCH: OFFICIAL UNEMPLOYMENT NUMBERS UNDERSTATE UNEMPLOYMENT.

What the researchers found was that, for whatever reason, unemployed workers, who are surveyed multiple times are most likely to respond to the survey when they are first given it and ignore the survey later on.

The report notes, “It is possible that unemployed respondents who have already been interviewed are more likely to change their responses to the labor force question, for example, if they want to minimize the length of the interview (now that they know the interview questions) or because they don’t want to admit that they are still unemployed.”

This ends up inaccurately weighting the later responses and skewing the unemployment rate downward. It also seems to have increased the number of people who once would have been designated as officially unemployed but today are labeled as out of the labor force, which means they are neither working nor looking for work.

I know, shocking news.

SHIKHA DALMIA: Why Obama Can’t Lead On Racial Justice. “The cause of racial justice might need not a black Democrat but a white Republican—just as normalization with China required not a liberal peacenik but a security hawk like Richard Nixon.”

JIM TREACHER: My Knee Deal Is Finally Over, I Hope. “Yesterday, I finally received my settlement from the U.S. State Department for crippling me with one of their heavily armored security vehicles as I crossed a DC street legally back in Feb. 2010. It has put me in a reflective mood.”

BEWARE: You May Suffer From Sleep-Drunkenness. “Ohayon explains that while researchers aren’t exactly sure what causes this confused behavior, animal studies give us a clue: Sudden awakenings seem to trigger the startle reflex, which allows animals (and, likely, us) to respond quickly to potential threats. To our poor, half-asleep brains, an abrupt awakening signals an emergency — a time for action, not reason. This is also, incidentally, a reason to reconsider your hilarious idea to wake up your sleeping buddy while wearing a terrifying mask; judging from the (slightly NSFW) evidence on YouTube, sleep-drunk individuals are likely to respond to the prank by punching you in the face.”

Seems fair.

SCIENCE: The Kennewick Man Finally Freed to Share His Secrets: He’s the most important human skeleton ever found in North America—and here, for the first time, is his story.

As work progressed, a portrait of Kennewick Man emerged. He does not belong to any living human population. Who, then, are his closest living relatives? Judging from the shape of his skull and bones, his closest living relatives appear to be the Moriori people of the Chatham Islands, a remote archipelago 420 miles southeast of New Zealand, as well as the mysterious Ainu people of Japan. . . . Not that Kennewick Man himself was Polynesian. This is not Kon-Tiki in reverse; humans had not reached the Pacific Islands in his time period. Rather, he was descended from the same group of people who would later spread out over the Pacific and give rise to modern-day Polynesians. These people were maritime hunter-gatherers of the north Pacific coast; among them were the ancient Jōmon, the original inhabitants of the Japanese Islands. The present-day Ainu people of Japan are thought to be descendants of the Jōmon. Nineteenth-century photographs of the Ainu show individuals with light skin, heavy beards and sometimes light-colored eyes. . . . The discovery of Kennewick Man adds a major piece of evidence to an alternative view of the peopling of North America. It, along with other evidence, suggests that the Jōmon or related peoples were the original settlers of the New World. If correct, the conclusion upends the traditional view that the first Americans came through central Asia and walked across the Bering Land Bridge and down through an ice-free corridor into North America.

This is not as crazy a journey as it sounds. As long as the voyagers were hugging the coast, they would have plenty of fresh water and food. Cold-climate coasts furnish a variety of animals, from seals and birds to fish and shellfish, as well as driftwood, to make fires. The thousands of islands and their inlets would have provided security and shelter. To show that such a sea journey was possible, in 1999 and 2000 an American named Jon Turk paddled a kayak from Japan to Alaska following the route of the presumed Jōmon migration. Anthropologists have nicknamed this route the “Kelp Highway.”

“I believe these Asian coastal migrations were the first,” said Owsley. “Then you’ve got a later wave of the people who give rise to Indians as we know them today.”

The Army Corps of Engineers sure didn’t want this researched, and continues to interfere today. Why?

HAS ANYBODY ASKED OBAMA ABOUT THIS? ERIC HOLDER? Gaza in Manhattan: Individual Jews Held Guilty and Attacked. “So far, I have found only one brief article about this in the New York Post. Are there more such incidents that are not being covered?” Yes. Buy a gun.

READER BOOK PLUG: From reader Christopher Remy, Trophies of War.

SO IT’S NOT JUST A LOCAL PROBLEM: BBC: Child sexual exploitation is happening in a “number of towns” in different parts of the country, according to the author of a damning report into abuse in Rotherham. Are the perpetrators all Pakistani Muslims?

On Facebook, Jason van Steenwyk comments: “This doesn’t happen without some serious enabling. I would start rooting out people within the bureaucracy… public employees of whatever ethnicity… for being part of a ring set up to enable this.”

UPDATE: From the comments: ″Her Majesty’s subjects are surely observing that the more bloodthirsty and savage they are, the more respect they’ll be given. I hope Her Majesty’s Government takes a sober look at the incentive structure they’re putting together.” Yeah, I’ve made this point, too.

WHAT’S THE MATTER WITH KANSAS? The thing is, the NRSC went all-in to deep-six Milt Wolf in favor of doddering nonresident Pat Roberts. Now Roberts faces a “tough re-election fight,” with this observation: “It’s difficult to see how Milton Wolf would have done appreciably worse in this case, and he might have held the Republican base together better.” Especially as the NRSC pissed off — and pissed on — the base in backing Roberts.

As with Mark Foley and Thad Cochran, a better-run party would have found quality replacements for these weak incumbents, instead of encouraging them to stay in and — in Cochran’s and Roberts’ cases — killing off primary challengers. But whatever the folks running the GOP, and in particular the NRSC, are getting paid, it’s too much.