Author Archive: Glenn Reynolds

THIS IS THE 21ST CENTURY, YOU KNOW:

OPEN THREAD: Keep rockin’.

LONGEVITY: Humans Are Surprisingly Good at Predicting When They Will Die – With One Big Bias. “A study that tracked older adults in Japan for up to 28 years suggests people have a surprisingly accurate sense of their own longevity. Those who expected to live longer generally did. But their predictions showed one striking bias: many underestimated how much time they had left. Among participants whose outcomes could be determined, the researchers report that approximately 59 percent outlived their expected lifespan.”

HIGHER EDUCATION BUBBLE UPDATE: College admissions, now like “preapproved” credit cards!

VICTOR DAVIS HANSON: The Elephant in the Canadian Room: America is surging ahead while Canada stagnates, and that growing asymmetry—not trade alone—is driving the acrimony between two longtime allies. “The tragic irony is that Canada once punched well above its demographic weight, with a formidable military and a dynamic economy. . . . Apparently, Canada believes that opening its economy, insisting upon legal, meritocratic, diverse, and measured immigration, and fully developing its natural wealth would be a bitter medicine worse than even its present maladies.”

Nothing is more central to Canadian politics than not being like the USA.

MY LATEST SUBSTACK IS ON THE FUTURE OF ROGUE AI: Demons in the Walls.

“PODCASTS AREN’T REAL.” NOPE.

THAT SELDOM WORKS: Abandoning Core Beliefs Fails To Save Seth Moulton From Humiliating Loss. “At 10 and a half months, Moulton’s Senate bid lasted longer than his 2020 presidential campaign, which expired in August 2019 after 4 months. He managed to win the endorsement of the Boston Globe, the state’s largest newspaper. But Moulton, a 47-year-old ex-Marine with three degrees from Harvard, didn’t win enough votes in the primary to proceed, leaving his Senate race with the same outcome as his presidential campaign: a loss. With 96 percent of the vote in, he was trailing by 30 points. The significance goes beyond Moulton’s political career. It points to the difficulty of dislodging an incumbent senator—news that will come as no solace to John Cornyn, Republican of Texas, but that may help reassure Susan Collins, Republican of Maine. It points to the tenuous road for moderate candidates in Democratic primary politics. Most of all, though, it is a demonstration that totally abandoning whatever principles you had, or were pretending to have, is no recipe for victory.”

MERRICK GARLAND WAS A GARBAGE AG IN A GARBAGE ADMINISTRATION, PROTECTING GARBAGE LOCAL OFFICIALS:

MY LATEST SUBSTACK IS ON THE FUTURE OF ROGUE AI: Demons in the Walls.